Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#204
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#240
Pace64.8#276
Improvement+0.0#192

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#253
First Shot-3.3#274
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#133
Layup/Dunks+0.2#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#161
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#344
Freethrows+3.0#39
Improvement+0.0#185

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#151
First Shot+2.0#120
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#259
Layups/Dunks+4.4#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#257
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement+0.0#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.8% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 32.2% 44.2% 20.4%
.500 or above in Conference 42.3% 49.1% 35.6%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.3% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 3.9% 7.5%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
First Round1.8% 2.6% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Away) - 49.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 48 - 412 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 108   Georgia Tech L 57-59 39%     0 - 1 -0.9 -10.9 +9.9
  Nov 15, 2022 197   Mercer W 85-83 OT 60%     1 - 1 -2.4 -1.6 -1.1
  Nov 18, 2022 247   Eastern Kentucky L 61-62 70%     1 - 2 -8.3 -10.6 +2.2
  Nov 19, 2022 264   Texas A&M - Commerce W 57-53 73%     2 - 2 -4.0 -5.2 +2.0
  Nov 20, 2022 200   UNC Asheville W 74-68 61%     3 - 2 +1.4 -1.9 +3.4
  Nov 27, 2022 139   Belmont L 66-68 47%     3 - 3 -2.9 -5.3 +2.3
  Dec 04, 2022 257   @ Northeastern L 62-63 50%    
  Dec 14, 2022 29   @ Auburn L 55-73 5%    
  Dec 18, 2022 175   Rhode Island W 64-62 56%    
  Dec 29, 2022 61   James Madison L 66-73 25%    
  Dec 31, 2022 144   South Alabama L 64-65 48%    
  Jan 05, 2023 316   @ Louisiana Monroe W 69-65 66%    
  Jan 07, 2023 121   @ Louisiana L 63-71 23%    
  Jan 12, 2023 154   Troy W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 14, 2023 236   Coastal Carolina W 68-63 67%    
  Jan 19, 2023 145   @ Old Dominion L 60-66 29%    
  Jan 21, 2023 294   @ Georgia Southern W 65-63 59%    
  Jan 26, 2023 203   @ Appalachian St. L 62-65 40%    
  Jan 28, 2023 93   @ Marshall L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 02, 2023 294   Georgia Southern W 68-60 77%    
  Feb 04, 2023 111   Southern Miss L 61-64 41%    
  Feb 09, 2023 145   Old Dominion L 63-64 49%    
  Feb 11, 2023 93   Marshall L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 16, 2023 236   @ Coastal Carolina L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 18, 2023 270   @ Arkansas St. W 60-59 52%    
  Feb 22, 2023 203   Appalachian St. W 65-62 61%    
  Feb 24, 2023 61   @ James Madison L 63-76 12%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.2 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.2 1.1 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 5.2 2.0 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.5 3.4 0.4 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 4.9 4.5 0.8 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.9 1.4 0.1 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.5 1.9 0.1 10.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 2.2 3.6 1.6 0.2 8.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.9 5.3 8.6 11.1 13.7 14.2 13.0 10.7 7.9 5.3 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 71.5% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 36.6% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 22.2% 22.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.7% 10.8% 10.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.5% 8.7% 8.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 3.1% 8.8% 8.8% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.8
12-6 5.3% 5.5% 5.5% 14.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 5.0
11-7 7.9% 3.5% 3.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 7.6
10-8 10.7% 2.0% 2.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.4
9-9 13.0% 2.1% 2.1% 15.6 0.1 0.2 12.7
8-10 14.2% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 14.0
7-11 13.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.5
6-12 11.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.0
5-13 8.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.6
4-14 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 97.9 0.0%