Campbell
Big South
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#195
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#185
Pace63.5#312
Improvement+0.0#114

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#228
First Shot+3.7#75
After Offensive Rebound-5.6#363
Layup/Dunks+3.7#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#128
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement+0.0#119

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#167
First Shot+0.8#151
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#222
Layups/Dunks-1.0#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#148
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#77
Freethrows-1.7#285
Improvement+0.0#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.5% 17.6% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 75.8% 87.6% 67.7%
.500 or above in Conference 78.0% 84.3% 73.7%
Conference Champion 17.1% 21.6% 14.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.6% 1.5%
First Four2.1% 1.6% 2.4%
First Round12.5% 16.8% 9.6%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 40.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 54 - 7
Quad 412 - 516 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 31   @ North Carolina St. L 67-73 7%     0 - 1 +9.5 +0.1 +9.5
  Nov 18, 2022 204   @ Appalachian St. W 63-58 40%     1 - 1 +6.2 -1.3 +8.0
  Nov 19, 2022 273   SE Louisiana L 69-70 66%     1 - 2 -6.6 -10.5 +4.0
  Nov 20, 2022 215   Kennesaw St. W 85-61 55%     2 - 2 +21.2 +13.2 +9.5
  Nov 23, 2022 136   Jacksonville L 43-64 47%     2 - 3 -21.6 -21.4 -3.5
  Nov 27, 2022 203   Stetson W 87-85 OT 62%     3 - 3 -2.7 +3.8 -6.6
  Dec 02, 2022 207   @ East Carolina L 66-69 40%    
  Dec 07, 2022 315   @ Evansville W 65-60 67%    
  Dec 17, 2022 292   @ Georgia Southern W 65-62 59%    
  Dec 21, 2022 138   UNC Wilmington L 63-64 48%    
  Dec 29, 2022 322   @ Presbyterian W 65-59 71%    
  Dec 31, 2022 184   Longwood W 67-65 58%    
  Jan 04, 2023 172   Gardner-Webb W 63-61 56%    
  Jan 07, 2023 199   @ UNC Asheville L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 11, 2023 349   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-64 78%    
  Jan 14, 2023 209   Winthrop W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 18, 2023 208   Radford W 66-62 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 306   @ Charleston Southern W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 25, 2023 201   @ High Point L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 28, 2023 199   UNC Asheville W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 01, 2023 349   South Carolina Upstate W 76-61 90%    
  Feb 04, 2023 184   @ Longwood L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 08, 2023 201   High Point W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 11, 2023 172   @ Gardner-Webb L 60-64 35%    
  Feb 15, 2023 306   Charleston Southern W 75-65 81%    
  Feb 18, 2023 322   Presbyterian W 68-56 85%    
  Feb 22, 2023 209   @ Winthrop L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 25, 2023 208   @ Radford L 63-65 41%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 3.5 5.1 4.1 2.3 0.8 0.1 17.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.4 5.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 15.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.7 5.2 1.5 0.1 14.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.6 5.3 1.2 0.1 13.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.8 5.0 1.2 0.1 12.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.0 4.3 1.1 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 3.1 1.0 0.1 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.9 6.0 8.8 11.6 13.5 13.8 12.9 10.6 7.7 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 98.0% 2.3    2.1 0.2
15-3 89.6% 4.1    3.3 0.8 0.0
14-4 66.4% 5.1    3.0 1.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 33.1% 3.5    1.1 1.7 0.6 0.1
12-6 8.6% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.1% 17.1 10.5 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 64.2% 61.2% 3.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7%
17-1 0.8% 47.4% 47.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.3% 40.0% 40.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4
15-3 4.6% 31.3% 31.3% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 3.2
14-4 7.7% 28.0% 28.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.1 5.5
13-5 10.6% 21.7% 21.7% 14.8 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 8.3
12-6 12.9% 15.5% 15.5% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 10.9
11-7 13.8% 12.1% 12.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 12.2
10-8 13.5% 8.2% 8.2% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 12.4
9-9 11.6% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.1 0.7 10.9
8-10 8.8% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.4
7-11 6.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 5.8
6-12 3.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.8
5-13 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.5% 13.4% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.5 4.8 4.0 86.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 78.6% 11.4 3.6 7.1 25.0 35.7 7.1