Wofford
Southern
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#162
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#195
Pace62.5#333
Improvement+0.1#95

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#52
First Shot+4.1#67
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#113
Layup/Dunks+0.8#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#38
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement+0.3#25

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#303
First Shot-5.9#334
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#105
Layups/Dunks-3.0#284
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#344
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#250
Freethrows+1.9#76
Improvement-0.2#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 10.5% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 15.1
.500 or above 70.6% 73.7% 42.4%
.500 or above in Conference 77.1% 78.7% 62.1%
Conference Champion 11.7% 12.4% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.2% 3.3%
First Four1.3% 1.2% 1.9%
First Round9.4% 9.9% 4.1%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 90.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 10
Quad 412 - 315 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 201   @ High Point L 80-91 46%     0 - 1 -9.7 +6.1 -15.5
  Nov 14, 2022 71   @ Drake L 72-80 17%     0 - 2 +2.7 +11.0 -9.1
  Nov 18, 2022 172   Gardner-Webb W 60-58 63%     1 - 2 -1.2 -6.0 +4.9
  Nov 20, 2022 274   N.C. A&T W 78-64 80%     2 - 2 +5.3 +10.8 -3.6
  Nov 27, 2022 62   @ LSU L 75-78 15%     2 - 3 +8.3 +13.1 -4.9
  Dec 01, 2022 322   Presbyterian W 74-60 90%    
  Dec 03, 2022 88   @ Vanderbilt L 67-76 21%    
  Dec 06, 2022 240   Coastal Carolina W 74-67 76%    
  Dec 10, 2022 292   @ Georgia Southern W 71-67 66%    
  Dec 20, 2022 56   @ Texas A&M L 67-79 14%    
  Dec 29, 2022 238   East Tennessee St. W 75-68 74%    
  Dec 31, 2022 223   UNC Greensboro W 70-63 73%    
  Jan 04, 2023 200   @ Mercer L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 07, 2023 270   The Citadel W 77-68 79%    
  Jan 11, 2023 125   @ Samford L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 14, 2023 332   VMI W 83-68 92%    
  Jan 18, 2023 284   @ Western Carolina W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 86   Furman L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 25, 2023 149   @ Chattanooga L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 28, 2023 125   Samford W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 01, 2023 238   @ East Tennessee St. W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 04, 2023 86   @ Furman L 69-78 22%    
  Feb 08, 2023 284   Western Carolina W 80-70 80%    
  Feb 12, 2023 223   @ UNC Greensboro W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 15, 2023 200   Mercer W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 18, 2023 270   @ The Citadel W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 22, 2023 332   @ VMI W 80-71 79%    
  Feb 25, 2023 149   Chattanooga W 70-68 57%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.4 3.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 11.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.4 6.0 3.7 1.0 0.1 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 6.3 6.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 17.9 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 6.4 5.6 1.7 0.1 16.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.8 3.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.2 0.2 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 4.0 6.2 9.0 11.8 13.2 14.2 12.8 10.3 7.5 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 93.5% 2.0    1.7 0.3
15-3 76.0% 3.2    2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.3% 3.4    1.6 1.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 17.2% 1.8    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.7% 11.7 6.8 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 73.0% 58.7% 14.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.6%
17-1 0.7% 45.9% 44.6% 1.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.5%
16-2 2.1% 34.3% 34.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.4
15-3 4.3% 27.4% 27.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 3.1
14-4 7.5% 21.8% 21.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.9
13-5 10.3% 14.8% 14.8% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 8.8
12-6 12.8% 11.4% 11.4% 14.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 11.3
11-7 14.2% 8.3% 8.3% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 13.0
10-8 13.2% 6.0% 6.0% 15.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 12.5
9-9 11.8% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.0 0.5 11.3
8-10 9.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 8.8
7-11 6.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 6.0
6-12 4.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 3.9
5-13 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-14 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.9 2.8 2.0 90.1 0.0%