Vanderbilt
Southeastern
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#88
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#126
Pace68.8#177
Improvement-0.2#221

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#83
First Shot+2.7#94
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#129
Layup/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#75
Freethrows-1.5#278
Improvement+0.0#115

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#100
First Shot+2.3#108
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#175
Layups/Dunks-0.5#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#93
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement-0.3#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 10.8% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.9% 9.3% 2.6%
Average Seed 10.0 9.9 11.1
.500 or above 28.8% 33.0% 12.6%
.500 or above in Conference 19.6% 21.4% 12.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 7.3% 11.8%
First Four2.4% 2.7% 1.4%
First Round8.3% 9.6% 3.2%
Second Round3.2% 3.8% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 79.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 11
Quad 23 - 45 - 15
Quad 33 - 28 - 17
Quad 46 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 30   Memphis L 67-76 36%     0 - 1 +0.8 +4.3 -4.0
  Nov 11, 2022 109   Southern Miss L 48-60 69%     0 - 2 -10.9 -22.8 +11.8
  Nov 15, 2022 96   @ Temple W 89-87 OT 42%     1 - 2 +10.2 +16.7 -6.6
  Nov 18, 2022 248   Morehead St. W 76-43 89%     2 - 2 +25.7 +3.2 +22.5
  Nov 23, 2022 32   St. Mary's L 65-75 27%     2 - 3 +2.5 +0.4 +2.4
  Nov 24, 2022 154   Fresno St. W 67-59 69%     3 - 3 +8.9 +3.6 +5.9
  Nov 30, 2022 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-70 38%     3 - 4 +4.3 +3.3 +1.0
  Dec 03, 2022 162   Wofford W 76-67 79%    
  Dec 07, 2022 106   Pittsburgh W 73-68 67%    
  Dec 09, 2022 242   Grambling St. W 76-63 89%    
  Dec 17, 2022 31   North Carolina St. L 73-79 28%    
  Dec 22, 2022 344   Alabama A&M W 86-64 98%    
  Dec 30, 2022 273   SE Louisiana W 83-68 91%    
  Jan 03, 2023 232   South Carolina W 74-61 88%    
  Jan 07, 2023 48   @ Missouri L 76-83 27%    
  Jan 10, 2023 5   @ Tennessee L 59-74 8%    
  Jan 14, 2023 15   Arkansas L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 17, 2023 13   Alabama L 70-78 25%    
  Jan 21, 2023 123   @ Georgia L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 24, 2023 17   Kentucky L 68-75 29%    
  Jan 28, 2023 56   @ Texas A&M L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 31, 2023 13   @ Alabama L 67-81 11%    
  Feb 04, 2023 64   Mississippi W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 08, 2023 5   Tennessee L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 11, 2023 67   @ Florida L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 14, 2023 232   @ South Carolina W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 18, 2023 29   Auburn L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 22, 2023 62   @ LSU L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 25, 2023 67   Florida W 75-74 53%    
  Mar 01, 2023 17   @ Kentucky L 65-78 14%    
  Mar 04, 2023 28   Mississippi St. L 61-65 37%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.2 0.2 3.3 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 3.6 1.1 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.3 2.3 0.1 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 1.1 4.9 4.5 0.5 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.7 5.9 1.3 0.1 12.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 4.8 6.7 2.6 0.2 15.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 5.0 6.8 2.7 0.2 15.9 12th
13th 0.1 1.6 4.7 5.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 14.1 13th
14th 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.2 14th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.3 7.2 11.6 14.7 15.5 15.0 12.1 8.7 5.4 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 87.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 66.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 5.1% 94.9% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.6% 96.5% 3.5% 93.0% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.4%
12-6 1.5% 90.1% 3.0% 87.0% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 89.8%
11-7 3.1% 68.6% 3.8% 64.8% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 67.3%
10-8 5.4% 43.4% 2.9% 40.6% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.0 41.8%
9-9 8.7% 16.3% 2.6% 13.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 14.0%
8-10 12.1% 3.4% 1.9% 1.5% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.7 1.6%
7-11 15.0% 2.0% 1.9% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 14.7 0.1%
6-12 15.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.3
5-13 14.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 14.5
4-14 11.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.5
3-15 7.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.1
2-16 3.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 9.3% 1.6% 7.8% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 90.7 7.9%