LSU
Southeastern
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#62
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#69
Pace71.4#113
Improvement+0.0#145

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#95
First Shot+3.7#74
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#239
Layup/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#201
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#131
Freethrows+3.7#27
Improvement+0.0#160

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#47
First Shot+4.7#54
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#130
Layups/Dunks+1.2#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#117
Freethrows-0.3#197
Improvement+0.0#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 4.3% 4.4% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.2% 30.9% 14.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.1% 28.8% 13.7%
Average Seed 8.9 8.9 9.5
.500 or above 81.3% 82.3% 57.4%
.500 or above in Conference 36.2% 36.8% 23.1%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 3.3% 5.5%
First Four5.3% 5.4% 3.2%
First Round27.5% 28.1% 13.6%
Second Round12.5% 12.8% 5.3%
Sweet Sixteen3.6% 3.6% 1.7%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.3% 0.7%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Arlington (Home) - 95.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 23 - 36 - 12
Quad 33 - 19 - 12
Quad 49 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 282   UMKC W 74-63 94%     1 - 0 +1.9 -5.7 +7.1
  Nov 12, 2022 270   Arkansas St. W 61-52 93%     2 - 0 +0.6 -7.4 +8.8
  Nov 17, 2022 334   New Orleans W 91-62 97%     3 - 0 +14.1 +6.4 +6.6
  Nov 21, 2022 256   Illinois St. W 77-61 89%     4 - 0 +11.3 -2.4 +12.6
  Nov 22, 2022 137   Akron W 73-58 72%     5 - 0 +17.4 +10.7 +8.5
  Nov 23, 2022 45   Kansas St. L 59-61 44%     5 - 1 +8.0 -5.8 +13.7
  Nov 27, 2022 162   Wofford W 78-75 85%     6 - 1 +0.3 +3.0 -2.6
  Dec 02, 2022 292   Texas Arlington W 73-55 96%    
  Dec 10, 2022 70   Wake Forest W 75-74 51%    
  Dec 13, 2022 263   NC Central W 78-62 94%    
  Dec 17, 2022 208   Winthrop W 81-67 89%    
  Dec 21, 2022 239   East Tennessee St. W 78-63 92%    
  Dec 28, 2022 15   Arkansas L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 03, 2023 18   @ Kentucky L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 07, 2023 56   @ Texas A&M L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 10, 2023 66   Florida W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 14, 2023 12   @ Alabama L 68-79 16%    
  Jan 18, 2023 29   Auburn L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 21, 2023 5   Tennessee L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 24, 2023 15   @ Arkansas L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 28, 2023 27   Texas Tech L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 01, 2023 51   @ Missouri L 78-82 36%    
  Feb 04, 2023 12   Alabama L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 08, 2023 26   @ Mississippi St. L 58-66 24%    
  Feb 11, 2023 56   Texas A&M W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 14, 2023 124   @ Georgia W 68-66 59%    
  Feb 18, 2023 231   South Carolina W 75-60 91%    
  Feb 22, 2023 88   Vanderbilt W 73-68 69%    
  Feb 25, 2023 64   @ Mississippi L 66-69 40%    
  Mar 01, 2023 51   Missouri W 81-79 56%    
  Mar 04, 2023 66   @ Florida L 73-76 42%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.5 0.2 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 4.0 1.1 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.2 5.1 1.9 0.1 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.5 3.1 0.3 10.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 5.0 4.8 0.8 0.0 11.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.5 1.4 0.1 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.8 2.1 0.2 12.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.1 4.4 1.9 0.2 10.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.6 6.4 10.0 13.1 14.4 14.4 12.1 9.6 6.9 4.0 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 71.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 33.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 10.4% 89.6% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.1% 100.0% 9.3% 90.7% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.1% 100.0% 8.3% 91.7% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 4.0% 96.8% 7.6% 89.3% 7.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 96.6%
11-7 6.9% 90.5% 4.7% 85.8% 8.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.7 90.0%
10-8 9.6% 72.2% 3.7% 68.5% 9.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.1 2.7 71.1%
9-9 12.1% 48.4% 3.7% 44.7% 10.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.3 46.4%
8-10 14.4% 17.5% 2.8% 14.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.9 15.1%
7-11 14.4% 4.8% 2.0% 2.8% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.7 2.9%
6-12 13.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.8 0.3%
5-13 10.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.9
4-14 6.4% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.3
3-15 3.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-16 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-17 0.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 30.2% 2.9% 27.3% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.3 4.6 5.2 5.9 5.1 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 69.8 28.1%