Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#244
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#193
Pace72.1#112
Improvement+0.8#121

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#286
First Shot-2.2#234
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#311
Layup/Dunks-5.9#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#50
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#101
Freethrows-1.7#285
Improvement+2.5#32

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#181
First Shot+0.7#138
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#278
Layups/Dunks+5.3#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#87
Freethrows-3.4#342
Improvement-1.7#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 4.4% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 14.8
.500 or above 45.8% 62.1% 36.6%
.500 or above in Conference 53.4% 69.8% 44.1%
Conference Champion 3.5% 6.8% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 0.8% 4.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.8% 4.3% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Away) - 36.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 33 - 74 - 9
Quad 411 - 715 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 253 @Western Michigan L 71-76 40%     0 - 1 -7.1 -8.9 +2.1
  Tue, Nov 11 112 Winthrop W 72-66 31%     1 - 1 +6.4 -5.0 +11.2
  Fri, Nov 14 254 @Jacksonville St. L 67-74 40%     1 - 2 -9.1 -1.4 -8.0
  Fri, Nov 21 354 @Western Illinois W 84-64 72%     2 - 2 +9.3 +2.1 +6.1
  Sat, Nov 22 342 North Dakota W 75-58 74%     3 - 2 +5.5 -5.9 +10.4
  Sun, Nov 23 90 @Illinois St. L 42-94 11%     3 - 3 -43.2 -30.0 -10.1
  Sun, Nov 30 290 Alabama A&M W 67-60 70%     4 - 3 -3.2 -8.0 +5.0
  Wed, Dec 3 262 @South Carolina Upstate L 78-85 OT 41%     4 - 4 -9.5 -4.3 -4.3
  Sat, Dec 6 112 @Winthrop W 88-84 15%     5 - 4 +10.4 +15.8 -5.4
  Sat, Dec 13 91 @Grand Canyon L 61-82 11%     5 - 5 -12.2 -3.5 -9.5
  Thu, Dec 18 231 @Appalachian St. L 65-69 36%    
  Sat, Dec 20 215 @Old Dominion L 72-76 34%    
  Mon, Dec 22 173 @Saint Joseph's L 68-75 26%    
  Thu, Jan 1 230 Georgia Southern W 79-77 58%    
  Sat, Jan 3 334 Georgia St. W 77-68 79%    
  Thu, Jan 8 215 Old Dominion W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 231 Appalachian St. W 68-66 58%    
  Wed, Jan 14 161 @Marshall L 71-79 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 230 @Georgia Southern L 76-80 37%    
  Thu, Jan 22 240 Texas St. W 71-68 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 201 Southern Miss W 74-73 54%    
  Thu, Jan 29 179 @South Alabama L 66-72 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 358 @Louisiana Monroe W 78-71 73%    
  Wed, Feb 4 153 Arkansas St. L 77-79 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 325 @Louisiana W 67-65 57%    
  Wed, Feb 18 182 James Madison L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 161 Marshall L 74-76 44%    
  Tue, Feb 24 334 @Georgia St. W 74-71 61%    
  Fri, Feb 27 182 @James Madison L 70-76 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 5.1 1.1 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.0 2.5 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.2 0.5 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.2 1.2 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.1 2.4 0.1 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 3.5 6.0 9.0 12.1 13.8 13.7 13.2 10.4 7.6 4.6 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.5% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 76.6% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 50.2% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 19.0% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 21.9% 21.9% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 26.8% 26.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 27.3% 27.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.3% 18.6% 18.6% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.8
13-5 4.6% 12.6% 12.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 4.0
12-6 7.6% 8.3% 8.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 7.0
11-7 10.4% 3.8% 3.8% 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.0
10-8 13.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.0
9-9 13.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 13.6
8-10 13.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 13.7
7-11 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.1
6-12 9.0% 9.0
5-13 6.0% 6.0
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.4 97.2 0.0%