Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.1 #234
Expected Predictive Rating -6.3 #268
Pace 76.3 #30
Improvement +0.7 #153

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #256 C+ D C- D- B
Defense #213 B C+ F D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #228 1.13 #199 -1.5 #238
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #338 0.73 #219 -3.5 #339
Three Pointers 52% #17 1.07 #104 +6.8 #19
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #129 +1.8 #128
Freethrows 0.26 #300 65% #353 0.17 #335
Second Chance 27.4% #267 0.88 #345 0.24 #331
Turnovers 17.2% #242
Total Offense -3.0 #256

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #89 1.05 #59 +0.2 #163
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #35 0.70 #91 -1.7 #308
Three Pointers 31% #361 0.99 #144 +5.5 #12
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #60 +4.1 #61
Freethrows 0.37 #337 70% #72 0.26 #324
Second Chance 28.7% #107 1.06 #201 0.30 #133
Turnovers 11.4% #363
Total Defense -1.1 #213

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.0% #56 -1.1% #85
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.4% #153 -7.0% #60
Possession Length 15.4 #32 16.6 #61
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #303 0.17 #186
Improvement -0.7 #224 +1.4 #98

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 4.5% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 23.2% 31.0% 8.8%
.500 or above in Conference 31.4% 41.8% 12.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.4%
First Four1.6% 1.5% 1.7%
First Round3.4% 3.8% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 64.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 9
Quad 411 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 59 @Virginia Tech L 67 - 98 7% -13  0 - 1 -19 -6 C F C- -9 B F F
 Mon, Nov 10 351 @The Citadel W 96 - 86 71% +0  1 - 1 +0 +14 B C+ C+ -15 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 297 @Alabama A&M L 64 - 68 52% -5  1 - 2 -9 -10 D C- F +1 A- F B+
 Fri, Nov 14 250 Lindenwood L 77 - 83 53% +6  1 - 3 -11 -4 C+ F D- -6 D+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 340 IU Indianapolis W 103 - 91 84% +13  2 - 3 -3 +6 B+ C D+ -10 B C- F
 Fri, Nov 21 262 @East Carolina W 77 - 65 44% +7  3 - 3 +9 +5 B+ F A- +4 B- C- D-
 Fri, Nov 28 90 @South Carolina L 62 - 74 11% -4  3 - 4 -3 -6 D+ F+ C+ +4 A+ C F
 Tue, Dec 2 231 @Tennessee Martin L 56 - 73 38% +7  3 - 5 -18 -11 D- F+ F -8 C A+ D
 Mon, Dec 8 359 South Carolina St. W 84 - 44 90% +15  4 - 5 +22 +5 C+ F C- +18 A+ A+ C+
 Thu, Dec 18 348 North Florida W 113 - 90 85% +12  5 - 5 +8 +13 A+ F D -8 C+ B- F
 Sun, Dec 21 158 @Furman L 76 - 84 24% -6  5 - 6 -5 +1 C D- B+ -5 B D F
 Sun, Dec 28 117 @Richmond W 77 - 72 17% +4  6 - 6 +11 +4 C C- D+ +7 A A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 79 85% -1  7 - 6 1 - 0 -5 +4 C C D -10 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 3 204 UNC Asheville W 86 - 83 56% +6  8 - 6 2 - 0 -3 +8 A+ A- F -11 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 126 @Winthrop L 77 - 81 19% +2  8 - 7 2 - 1 +1 -2 F A- A+ +3 A- B- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 96 High Point L 82 - 84 OT 26% +2  8 - 8 2 - 2 +1 -4 D+ F+ A +5 A+ A D
 Wed, Jan 14 307 South Carolina Upstate L 81 - 86 OT 76% +1  8 - 9 2 - 3 -17 -5 B+ F C- -11 A- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 269 @Presbyterian L 83 - 87 46% -8  8 - 10 2 - 4 -7 +5 B- A- C- -12 F A- F
 Fri, Jan 23 257 @Longwood L 79 - 81 OT 43% -6  8 - 11 2 - 5 -4 -6 C D F +2 B- A+ C
 Thu, Jan 29 253 Radford W 85 - 81 65%
 Sat, Jan 31 363 Gardner-Webb W 88 - 71 94%
 Wed, Feb 4 96 @High Point L 76 - 89 12%
 Sat, Feb 7 307 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 75 56%
 Thu, Feb 12 269 Presbyterian W 75 - 70 68%
 Sat, Feb 14 253 @Radford L 82 - 84 43%
 Sat, Feb 21 257 Longwood W 80 - 76 65%
 Thu, Feb 26 126 Winthrop L 78 - 81 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 204 @UNC Asheville L 73 - 77 34%
Totals 13 - 15 7 - 9 -4 -3 C+ D C- -1 B C+ F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.0 5.4 2.2 0.1 9.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 9.1 3.6 0.2 14.1 4th
5th 0.6 9.0 7.0 0.3 16.9 5th
6th 0.6 8.6 11.8 1.3 0.0 22.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 10.0 13.7 2.9 0.0 29.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 2.8 3.1 0.7 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.1 1.1 5.4 13.6 23.5 25.0 19.4 9.3 2.5 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.2% 18.2% 18.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-6 2.5% 8.3% 8.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3
9-7 9.3% 7.3% 7.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 8.6
8-8 19.4% 5.7% 5.7% 15.5 0.0 0.6 0.5 18.3
7-9 25.0% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.1 0.9 24.1
6-10 23.5% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.6 22.8
5-11 13.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 13.3
4-12 5.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 5.3
3-13 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 15.6 96.0 0.0%