Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#267
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#264
Pace72.7#93
Improvement+2.5#42

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#281
First Shot-3.0#263
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#255
Layup/Dunks-4.2#315
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#11
Freethrows-3.4#337
Improvement-0.4#217

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#225
First Shot-1.8#238
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#164
Layups/Dunks-1.5#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#47
Freethrows-0.9#236
Improvement+2.9#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 3.6% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 21.6% 25.0% 8.3%
.500 or above in Conference 23.3% 25.1% 16.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 10.1% 9.1% 13.8%
First Four1.4% 1.5% 1.1%
First Round2.6% 2.9% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 79.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 612 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 63 @Virginia Tech L 67-98 6%     0 - 1 -19.3 -7.7 -8.4
  Mon, Nov 10 361 @The Citadel W 96-86 73%     1 - 1 -1.8 +12.6 -14.7
  Thu, Nov 13 290 @Alabama A&M L 64-68 44%     1 - 2 -8.2 -8.6 +0.4
  Fri, Nov 14 238 Lindenwood L 77-83 45%     1 - 3 -10.2 -4.4 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 18 355 IU Indianapolis W 103-91 86%     2 - 3 -5.1 +4.8 -11.7
  Fri, Nov 21 280 @East Carolina W 77-65 42%     3 - 3 +8.5 +4.2 +4.2
  Fri, Nov 28 87 @South Carolina L 62-74 9%     3 - 4 -2.9 -6.4 +3.5
  Tue, Dec 2 252 @Tennessee Martin L 56-73 37%     3 - 5 -19.1 -12.7 -7.5
  Mon, Dec 8 360 South Carolina St. W 84-44 87%     4 - 5 +22.3 +5.8 +17.4
  Thu, Dec 18 344 North Florida W 85-76 80%    
  Sun, Dec 21 151 @Furman L 69-78 20%    
  Sun, Dec 28 102 @Richmond L 69-82 11%    
  Sat, Jan 3 222 UNC Asheville W 75-74 54%    
  Wed, Jan 7 112 @Winthrop L 73-85 13%    
  Sat, Jan 10 105 High Point L 76-83 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 262 South Carolina Upstate W 75-72 61%    
  Wed, Jan 21 263 @Presbyterian L 65-68 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 308 @Longwood L 76-77 49%    
  Thu, Jan 29 255 Radford W 81-78 59%    
  Wed, Feb 4 105 @High Point L 73-86 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 262 @South Carolina Upstate L 72-75 39%    
  Thu, Feb 12 263 Presbyterian W 68-65 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 255 @Radford L 78-81 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 308 Longwood W 79-73 70%    
  Thu, Feb 26 112 Winthrop L 76-82 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 222 @UNC Asheville L 72-77 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.3 2.8 0.4 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.2 7.2 3.9 0.3 0.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.9 8.5 4.6 0.5 0.0 17.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.3 8.8 4.7 0.6 0.0 20.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 6.4 7.0 3.5 0.4 0.0 20.6 8th
9th 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.8 9th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.4 8.9 13.1 16.5 17.0 15.0 11.2 6.7 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 77.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 41.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 14.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 32.3% 32.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.5% 22.2% 22.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
11-5 1.4% 11.5% 11.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
10-6 3.4% 11.7% 11.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.0
9-7 6.7% 6.6% 6.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 6.2
8-8 11.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 10.6
7-9 15.0% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.1 0.5 14.4
6-10 17.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 16.5
5-11 16.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 16.3
4-12 13.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.0
3-13 8.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.8
2-14 4.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.4
1-15 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 96.8 0.0%