Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.2 217
Results Rating -2.4 205
Consistency 0.17 279
Pace 72.6 70
Improvement -5.7 348

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 228 C+ D C F+ B+
Defense C- 204 C- C+ C+ B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 131 C 59% 150 +1.3 129
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 338 D- 31% 348 -4.1 349
Three Pointers 48% 41 C 34% 167 +3.7 61
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.2 35 C -0.3 181
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 140
Second Chance D- 24.1% 335 C- 1.01 216 D 0.24 320
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 189
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 178
Turnovers C 16.7% 184
Freethrows F 0.22 363 B- 75% 100 F+ 0.17 355
Total Offense C- -2.3 228

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 135 C+ 9.7% 114
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 237 F 9.9% 358
Three Pointers B+ 92% 17 C 1.0% 210
Total B+ 64% 41 C 5.5% 187


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 246 D 63% 309 +0.7 205
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 108 C 38% 186 +0.8 249
Three Pointers 41% 181 C 34% 213 +0.2 194
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 109 D+ +2.0 260
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 235
Second Chance C- 31.1% 224 B- 0.96 79 C+ 0.30 154
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 186
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 90
Turnovers C+ 17.3% 138
Freethrows B- 0.27 97 B- 71% 90 B- 0.19 78
Total Defense C- -0.9 204

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 122 D 7.9% 307
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 19 C 5.0% 157
Three Pointers B 79% 44 C 1.0% 137
Total B 50% 68 D+ 4.4% 272

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.4 82 17.4 193
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 100 0.17 179
Consistency 0.11 80 0.13 265
Improvement -1.9 282 -3.8 332

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 217 217 217
Results Rating Rank 205 205 205
Conference Record 12 - 6 12 - 6 12 - 6
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 415 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 9 @Vanderbilt L 61 - 105 2% -29  0% 0 - 1 F -21 F+ -10 F C F F+ -9 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 189 @Mercer L 77 - 92 33% -8  1% 0 - 2 D- -14 C +1 C C+ B- F -15 F F F
 Tue, Nov 11 236 @UNC Asheville L 64 - 69 44% -4  9% 0 - 3 D+ -7 D- -6 F C C C -1 F+ F+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 78 @Belmont L 68 - 75 10% -7  4% 0 - 4 C+ +4 F -12 F A- F A+ +17 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Nov 22 226 Western Carolina W 83 - 62 63% +12  77% 1 - 4 B+ +14 D+ -3 C C+ C A+ +16 B+ A- A+
 Wed, Nov 26 202 @Marshall W 90 - 67 35% +17  94% 2 - 4 A+ +24 C+ +3 A+ F D- A+ +19 A+ C- A
 Sat, Nov 29 231 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88 - 77 43% +4  76% 3 - 4 B +10 B- +4 A- D D- B +5 B+ B A
 Wed, Dec 3 314 Tennessee Tech W 83 - 80 81% +1  52% 4 - 4 D -9 D+ -3 C- F+ C- D -6 F C D-
 Sun, Dec 7 311 Alabama A&M W 92 - 58 80% +13  95% 5 - 4 A +22 A+ +16 A+ C+ A+ A- +8 A B- B
 Tue, Dec 16 2 @Duke L 73 - 97 1% -5  33% 5 - 5 B- +5 C +1 B+ F C A- +8 B+ F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 41 @Cincinnati L 62 - 89 5% -16  12% 5 - 6 D -11 D+ -3 C B- C D- -7 C F F
 Thu, Jan 1 295 Jacksonville W 76 - 57 77% +9  93% 6 - 6 1 - 0 B- +8 A- +10 A- F A+ B- +2 C D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 337 North Florida W 82 - 74 87% +2  50% 7 - 6 2 - 0 D+ -7 D -6 F D A C -1 C+ B C
 Thu, Jan 8 309 @Stetson L 83 - 91 61% -11  2% 7 - 7 2 - 1 D- -14 D+ -4 C+ F F+ F+ -9 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 255 @Florida Gulf Coast W 84 - 77 46% +1  62% 8 - 7 3 - 1 C+ +5 B +6 B C F+ C- -2 D C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 15 282 Bellarmine W 81 - 71 75% +14  97% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C -0 D+ -4 D+ C+ D- B +4 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 182 Austin Peay W 82 - 78 54% +2  70% 10 - 7 5 - 1 C -0 C- -0 B- F+ B- C -0 C+ C- B
 Thu, Jan 22 309 Stetson W 79 - 74 OT 80% +5  81% 11 - 7 6 - 1 D+ -7 F -14 F+ F B B+ +7 B- A A-
 Fri, Jan 23 255 Florida Gulf Coast W 86 - 71 69% +5  68% 12 - 7 7 - 1 B- +7 A+ +16 A+ A+ C+ D- -8 B- F D
 Thu, Jan 29 295 @Jacksonville L 65 - 70 57% -8  0% 12 - 8 7 - 2 D -10 D+ -2 D- A- B+ F+ -8 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 337 @North Florida W 100 - 94 73% -2  38% 13 - 8 8 - 2 C- -3 A +12 A+ F A F -15 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 182 @Austin Peay L 76 - 87 32% -4  32% 13 - 9 8 - 3 D -9 C -0 C C- C+ F+ -9 F A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 169 Central Arkansas L 78 - 86 51% -9  0% 13 - 10 8 - 4 D -11 D+ -2 B D+ D+ F+ -9 C- F C
 Wed, Feb 11 297 Eastern Kentucky W 75 - 61 78% +8  77% 14 - 10 9 - 4 C+ +3 D -5 C- F+ D A +9 C+ A B
 Sat, Feb 14 192 @Queens L 81 - 87 33% -11  5% 14 - 11 9 - 5 C- -5 D- -7 C- D F B- +3 F B A+
 Wed, Feb 18 282 @Bellarmine W 75 - 72 54% +1  57% 15 - 11 10 - 5 C -1 D+ -4 B F D B- +3 B C- F
 Sat, Feb 21 343 North Alabama W 73 - 51 88% +4  53% 16 - 11 11 - 5 B- +6 C- -1 A+ F D- A +10 A+ B- C-
 Wed, Feb 25 302 @West Georgia L 77 - 84 59% -6  10% 16 - 12 11 - 6 D- -13 C- -1 C+ F+ B- F -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 297 @Eastern Kentucky W 80 - 77 58% -1  39% 17 - 12 12 - 6 C- -2 C+ +4 D- C A+ D -6 F A+ B
 Fri, Mar 6 255 Florida Gulf Coast L 53 - 77 58% -14  1% 17 - 13 F -29 F -19 F+ F D+ F -13 F D C-
Totals 17 - 13 12 - 6 -3 C- -2 C- C B+ C- -1 C B- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D- C C 40% 23% 48% B+ C+ D- C- D C F B- F+ C- D C C D+ 37% 23% 41% C+ C- C- B- C+ C+ B- B- B-
1.05 59% 31% 34% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 17% .22 75% .17 1.10 63% 38% 34% +2 0 1.05 31% 1.0 .30 17% .27 71% .16
Nov
3		 Vanderbilt F+ F F F F 34% 18% 48% B F D+ A C F B+ A+ A+ F+ F A+ F F 35% 20% 45% B- F A+ A+ A+ F A A+ A+
0.82 41% 11% 25% -17 0 0.68 24% 1.1 .26 24% .39 95% .37 1.40 76% 25% 63% +23 0 1.48 24% 0.5 .12 8% .25 71% .17
Nov
9		 Mercer C C F B- D+ 42% 9% 49% A- C C B C+ B- F A+ F F F A+ F F 43% 22% 34% D+ F D F F F A+ B A+
1.12 57% 20% 37% 0 +2 1.05 33% 1.1 .36 16% .12 86% .10 1.34 76% 23% 45% +10 0 1.22 37% 1.4 .50 12% .21 69% .15
Nov
11		 UNC Asheville D- D+ A F F 42% 12% 46% B- F A- F C C D B+ C- C D F D F 26% 37% 37% B- F+ C- F F+ A+ F A- F
0.99 55% 50% 21% -9 +1 0.87 39% 0.8 .29 15% .27 73% .20 1.07 64% 50% 38% +8 -3 1.12 31% 1.2 .38 23% .48 63% .30
Nov
19		 Belmont F F B F F 27% 8% 64% B F B A- A- F F A+ F+ A+ C+ B A A+ 33% 7% 60% C A+ D B- C- A+ F D F
0.87 31% 40% 24% -17 +1 0.69 36% 1.2 .42 24% .17 90% .15 0.96 60% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.98 31% 1.2 .37 28% .52 72% .38
Nov
22		 Western Carolina D+ B- F B C 35% 10% 55% B+ C C- A C+ C F F F A+ F F A+ B 25% 22% 53% B+ B+ A+ F A- A+ B- A+ A-
1.11 64% 17% 38% +3 +1 1.11 25% 1.2 .30 15% .09 50% .05 0.83 77% 55% 15% -7 -1 0.86 15% 1.8 .26 24% .27 60% .16
Nov
26		 Marshall C+ A- D+ A+ A+ 37% 17% 46% B- A+ F D- F D- A- F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D A+ C+ D- C- A F D- F
1.16 68% 33% 50% +14 0 1.31 18% 0.8 .15 19% .41 65% .27 0.86 53% 25% 17% -15 0 0.70 29% 1.3 .37 22% .36 77% .28
Nov
29		 Southeast Missouri St. B- B- D- A+ A- 43% 11% 45% B A- F A+ D D- C C- C- B B- D- A+ B+ 43% 26% 30% B- B+ D A+ B A F F F
1.10 61% 33% 42% +6 +2 1.17 18% 1.3 .24 20% .40 73% .30 0.96 52% 43% 19% -8 0 0.85 32% 0.8 .26 21% .47 77% .36
Dec
3		 Tennessee Tech D+ C F C- D+ 36% 7% 57% B+ C- D F F+ C- B- F+ C D A+ F F F 30% 32% 39% A F C+ D+ C D- C+ A- B-
1.12 60% 25% 34% 0 +2 1.05 26% 1.0 .26 15% .32 70% .22 1.08 41% 50% 45% +5 -2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 16% .27 71% .19
Dec
7		 Alabama A&M A+ A A+ B- A 53% 5% 42% A A+ F A+ C+ A+ F F F A- A A B A+ 40% 32% 28% C+ A F A+ B- B D- C+ D
1.40 73% 67% 38% +12 +3 1.32 21% 1.7 .36 6% .21 62% .13 0.88 42% 27% 31% -11 -1 0.77 33% 0.7 .23 18% .39 71% .28
Dec
16		 Duke C C- F C+ B- 50% 14% 36% A+ B+ F F F C A A+ A+ A- C F A- A- 50% 6% 44% D+ B+ F D F A+ C- D- D+
0.89 52% 25% 33% -5 +2 0.95 8% 0.0 .00 19% .30 90% .27 1.18 63% 67% 29% +1 +3 1.09 53% 1.3 .68 27% .36 77% .28
Dec
29		 Cincinnati D+ D A F+ D+ 38% 4% 58% A+ C F+ A+ B- C D F F+ D- C- A+ D C+ 40% 15% 45% F+ C D+ F F F A+ B- A+
0.86 47% 50% 28% -9 +2 0.88 16% 1.8 .30 19% .22 54% .12 1.23 63% 22% 37% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.4 .49 11% .14 67% .09
Jan
1		 Jacksonville A- A+ F A+ A 40% 16% 44% C A- F+ F F A+ F A+ F B- D- A- B C- 27% 24% 49% A- C F B+ D+ A+ C+ B+ B-
1.29 75% 25% 45% +12 +1 1.28 21% 0.7 .14 7% .20 91% .18 0.97 64% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 25% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 North Florida D F F C F 26% 18% 56% D- F C- D- D A B+ D+ B C A+ D+ D+ C 23% 12% 65% B- C+ D- A+ B C A+ F A+
1.16 47% 20% 34% -6 0 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 8% .34 68% .23 1.05 43% 43% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 18% .07 100% .07
Jan
8		 Stetson D+ B- A+ D- C 50% 12% 38% B+ C+ F A+ F F+ A+ D+ A F+ F F D+ F 34% 13% 53% D- F A+ A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.08 65% 67% 30% +5 +2 1.15 17% 1.4 .23 18% .38 71% .27 1.19 78% 57% 36% +11 +1 1.25 13% 0.5 .06 14% .44 79% .35
Jan
10		 Florida Gulf Coast B F+ F A+ B 39% 12% 49% B- B D A C F+ C+ A+ A- C- C- F B+ F+ 35% 38% 27% A D B D C+ D+ D- A+ C-
1.17 50% 17% 48% +5 +1 1.14 25% 1.3 .32 20% .37 86% .31 1.08 61% 55% 29% +5 -3 1.08 26% 1.1 .29 15% .31 63% .20
Jan
15		 Bellarmine D+ C+ A D+ D- 39% 9% 52% B+ D+ A- F+ C+ D- A+ F B- B A+ F A+ A+ 32% 21% 47% A+ A+ F A+ D+ F F A+ F
1.22 65% 50% 35% +4 +2 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 18% .42 61% .26 1.07 41% 55% 20% -12 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .27 9% .50 67% .33
Jan
17		 Austin Peay C- B- A+ F+ C 62% 7% 31% A+ B- D F F+ B- F+ A+ B- C A- D D+ C- 33% 33% 34% A+ C+ B- F+ C- B B+ C- B
1.10 65% 50% 29% +3 +3 1.15 26% 0.5 .13 16% .24 100% .24 1.04 47% 42% 35% -2 -2 0.95 26% 1.3 .34 19% .26 75% .20
Jan
22		 Stetson F C F D F 41% 19% 41% C F+ F F F B C- B+ C B+ C B+ C B- 36% 28% 36% B- B- D A+ A A- B F C-
0.98 62% 25% 31% -3 0 0.97 18% 0.5 .09 12% .27 79% .21 0.92 57% 31% 33% -3 -1 0.95 29% 0.5 .16 22% .24 87% .21
Jan
23		 Florida Gulf Coast A+ D+ F A+ A+ 19% 15% 66% D A+ A- A A+ C+ D A+ C+ D- F A+ D C+ 17% 28% 54% A- B- C- F F D F A F+
1.36 56% 0% 55% +15 -1 1.30 37% 1.3 .48 16% .30 88% .26 1.13 75% 15% 36% -2 -2 0.93 31% 1.6 .50 14% .37 65% .24
Jan
29		 Jacksonville D+ C- B- F F 58% 10% 32% A D- F A+ A- B+ F C F F+ F+ C- D F 43% 21% 36% C- F C+ D C- F C F D+
1.08 59% 40% 25% -4 +3 1.00 19% 2.0 .38 12% .19 70% .13 1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.1 .32 12% .28 80% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 North Florida A A- F A+ A 59% 5% 36% A+ A+ F A+ F A F A- F+ F D+ A+ F F 33% 5% 62% D- F F C- F C- D+ F F+
1.37 69% 33% 45% +13 +4 1.34 18% 1.6 .29 8% .19 77% .15 1.29 61% 0% 44% +8 +2 1.22 37% 1.2 .43 18% .27 94% .25
Feb
4		 Austin Peay C A F F C- 51% 9% 40% A- C F A C- C+ F A+ F F+ F C+ F F 36% 36% 27% A+ F A+ A- A+ D+ A- A- A
1.06 71% 20% 27% +1 +2 1.09 22% 1.0 .22 17% .17 90% .15 1.21 85% 35% 60% +19 -2 1.36 8% 1.0 .08 15% .25 67% .16
Feb
7		 Central Arkansas D+ A- D A B+ 22% 13% 65% D B C D- D+ D+ A+ D- A- F+ F C+ B- F+ 25% 40% 36% A+ C- F C- F C F C- F+
1.07 70% 33% 40% +8 0 1.17 29% 1.0 .29 21% .38 68% .26 1.18 92% 33% 32% +5 -3 1.06 36% 1.1 .38 17% .35 71% .25
Feb
11		 Eastern Kentucky D C- B+ B- D+ 33% 8% 59% B+ C- C+ F F+ D F A+ D+ A A- F B- C+ 33% 24% 43% D+ C+ D+ A+ A B A- A+ A+
1.15 59% 50% 37% +4 +1 1.12 34% 0.7 .23 17% .24 92% .22 0.93 47% 50% 32% -2 -1 0.96 34% 0.7 .24 20% .19 50% .10
Feb
14		 Queens D- C+ A+ F D 54% 7% 39% A C- C+ F D F D- F+ F B- F A F F 43% 14% 43% D+ F A+ F B A+ F A D
1.03 61% 50% 27% -1 +3 1.05 35% 0.8 .30 19% .28 67% .19 1.11 81% 29% 43% +14 +1 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 23% .40 67% .26
Feb
18		 Bellarmine D+ A F A+ B- 24% 6% 69% B B F F F D F A+ F B- D A+ B B 44% 15% 41% C+ B F+ A C- F A+ A+ A+
1.17 75% 0% 44% +12 +1 1.29 17% 0.8 .14 17% .19 90% .17 1.13 67% 25% 32% +1 +1 1.06 26% 1.0 .26 11% .19 64% .12
Feb
21		 North Alabama C- A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 13% 52% C- A+ F F F D- F F F A C+ C A+ A+ 41% 33% 25% A+ A+ D A+ B- C- A+ A A+
1.17 88% 67% 42% +20 +1 1.43 17% 0.5 .09 18% .17 56% .10 0.82 52% 35% 0% -16 -1 0.67 34% 0.8 .27 18% .19 60% .12
Feb
25		 West Georgia C- B- A+ F C- 61% 5% 33% A C+ C F F+ B- D F+ D- F F F D F 50% 20% 30% F F A+ A A+ F D+ A+ A-
1.09 63% 67% 26% +1 +4 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 13% .29 67% .19 1.19 75% 55% 35% +12 +1 1.29 18% 0.8 .15 10% .28 44% .13
Feb
28		 Eastern Kentucky C+ F A+ C- F+ 32% 12% 56% B- D- C+ C- C A+ F F F D C+ B F F 22% 12% 66% F+ F F A+ A+ B C F D-
1.22 50% 57% 34% 0 +1 1.04 35% 1.0 .35 8% .18 55% .10 1.18 55% 33% 45% +10 0 1.22 39% 0.5 .19 20% .27 86% .23
Mar
6		 Florida Gulf Coast F D A F F 40% 4% 55% A- F+ F D F D+ F F F F F F B F 38% 22% 40% D F F A D C- A F B
0.84 53% 50% 27% -8 +2 0.91 9% 1.0 .09 17% .23 58% .13 1.22 74% 55% 30% +7 0 1.16 42% 0.8 .35 16% .17 89% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%