Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#142
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#148
Pace72.5#105
Improvement+6.6#1

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#178
First Shot-1.0#202
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#144
Layup/Dunks+1.9#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#361
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#32
Freethrows-4.1#352
Improvement+3.6#8

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#117
First Shot-0.2#184
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#63
Layups/Dunks-0.3#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#180
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement+3.0#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.6% 37.8% 30.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.0 14.0
.500 or above 94.6% 99.7% 94.5%
.500 or above in Conference 96.7% 99.7% 96.7%
Conference Champion 45.0% 59.8% 44.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round30.4% 37.8% 30.4%
Second Round1.7% 5.2% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 11 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 416 - 420 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 11 @Vanderbilt L 61-105 4%     0 - 1 -22.8 -7.9 -12.0
  Sun, Nov 9 168 @Mercer L 77-92 46%     0 - 2 -12.8 +5.8 -18.8
  Tue, Nov 11 222 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 57%     0 - 3 -5.6 -4.9 -1.2
  Wed, Nov 19 85 @Belmont L 68-75 21%     0 - 4 +2.6 -7.8 +11.1
  Sat, Nov 22 296 Western Carolina W 83-62 86%     1 - 4 +10.6 +1.0 +8.4
  Wed, Nov 26 161 @Marshall W 90-67 42%     2 - 4 +26.1 +9.2 +14.6
  Sat, Nov 29 214 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88-77 56%     3 - 4 +10.7 +4.9 +4.4
  Wed, Dec 3 266 Tennessee Tech W 83-80 82%     4 - 4 -5.6 +2.0 -7.8
  Sun, Dec 7 290 Alabama A&M W 92-58 85%     5 - 4 +23.8 +22.0 +4.1
  Tue, Dec 16 2 @Duke L 61-85 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 78 @Cincinnati L 68-77 19%    
  Thu, Jan 1 305 Jacksonville W 78-66 87%    
  Sat, Jan 3 344 North Florida W 89-73 93%    
  Thu, Jan 8 347 @Stetson W 79-69 82%    
  Sat, Jan 10 185 @Florida Gulf Coast L 76-77 49%    
  Thu, Jan 15 295 Bellarmine W 82-70 85%    
  Sat, Jan 17 192 Austin Peay W 75-69 71%    
  Thu, Jan 22 347 Stetson W 82-66 92%    
  Sat, Jan 24 185 Florida Gulf Coast W 79-73 70%    
  Thu, Jan 29 305 @Jacksonville W 75-69 70%    
  Sat, Jan 31 344 @North Florida W 86-76 80%    
  Thu, Feb 5 192 @Austin Peay W 72-71 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 283 Central Arkansas W 79-68 83%    
  Wed, Feb 11 260 Eastern Kentucky W 81-71 80%    
  Sat, Feb 14 202 @Queens W 81-80 53%    
  Thu, Feb 19 295 @Bellarmine W 79-73 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 195 North Alabama W 76-69 72%    
  Wed, Feb 25 314 @West Georgia W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 260 @Eastern Kentucky W 78-74 63%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.3 9.8 12.7 10.1 5.7 1.5 45.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.0 8.0 6.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 21.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.4 3.2 0.8 0.1 13.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 3.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.5 6.2 9.5 12.6 15.8 16.5 14.9 10.5 5.8 1.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.5    1.5
17-1 99.7% 5.7    5.6 0.1
16-2 96.6% 10.1    9.1 1.0 0.0
15-3 85.3% 12.7    9.4 3.1 0.3 0.0
14-4 59.1% 9.8    4.9 3.9 0.9 0.0
13-5 27.1% 4.3    1.2 1.9 1.0 0.2
12-6 6.4% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 45.0% 45.0 31.9 10.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.5% 58.0% 58.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6
17-1 5.8% 51.9% 51.9% 13.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.6 0.0 2.8
16-2 10.5% 47.7% 47.7% 13.4 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.0 0.3 5.5
15-3 14.9% 38.5% 38.5% 13.8 0.2 1.7 2.9 0.9 0.0 9.2
14-4 16.5% 33.8% 33.8% 14.1 0.1 1.0 2.8 1.6 0.1 10.9
13-5 15.8% 27.7% 27.7% 14.4 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.0 0.2 11.4
12-6 12.6% 22.8% 22.8% 14.7 0.2 0.9 1.6 0.2 9.7
11-7 9.5% 19.5% 19.5% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 7.7
10-8 6.2% 12.7% 12.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 5.4
9-9 3.5% 9.4% 9.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.1
8-10 1.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.7
7-11 1.0% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9
6-12 0.4% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 30.6% 30.6% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 7.3 11.4 8.0 1.7 69.4 0.0%