North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#195
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#158
Pace66.6#260
Improvement+2.2#55

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#207
First Shot-6.8#346
After Offensive Rebound+5.3#4
Layup/Dunks-1.3#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#220
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#265
Freethrows-2.1#304
Improvement+0.4#145

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#200
First Shot+0.3#160
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#279
Layups/Dunks-0.5#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#235
Freethrows+1.5#91
Improvement+1.8#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.6% 15.7% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 71.7% 81.6% 58.9%
.500 or above in Conference 83.3% 86.9% 78.5%
Conference Champion 16.3% 19.5% 12.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 1.6%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.3%
First Round13.2% 15.4% 10.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Away) - 56.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 413 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 80 @Mississippi St. L 62-86 12%     0 - 1 -13.6 -7.3 -5.9
  Tue, Nov 11 273 Northwestern St. W 87-83 OT 73%     1 - 1 -4.9 +2.3 -7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 123 East Tennessee St. L 74-78 41%     1 - 2 -4.1 +2.8 -7.0
  Mon, Nov 17 35 @Clemson L 61-81 6%     1 - 3 -4.4 +2.5 -9.2
  Sat, Nov 22 225 @Chattanooga L 57-71 43%     1 - 4 -14.7 -9.3 -7.6
  Mon, Dec 1 254 @Jacksonville St. W 73-66 49%     2 - 4 +4.9 +5.7 -0.4
  Wed, Dec 3 95 @San Francisco W 65-63 15%     3 - 4 +10.5 +1.4 +9.2
  Mon, Dec 15 290 @Alabama A&M W 70-68 56%    
  Fri, Dec 19 134 @Loyola Marymount L 65-72 25%    
  Thu, Jan 1 347 Stetson W 77-65 88%    
  Sat, Jan 3 185 Florida Gulf Coast W 75-73 58%    
  Thu, Jan 8 260 @Eastern Kentucky L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 295 @Bellarmine W 75-73 57%    
  Thu, Jan 15 344 North Florida W 84-72 87%    
  Sat, Jan 17 305 Jacksonville W 74-65 78%    
  Wed, Jan 21 202 @Queens L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 283 Central Arkansas W 75-68 74%    
  Thu, Jan 29 185 @Florida Gulf Coast L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Jan 31 347 @Stetson W 74-68 72%    
  Wed, Feb 4 283 @Central Arkansas W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 192 @Austin Peay L 68-71 39%    
  Wed, Feb 11 314 West Georgia W 77-67 81%    
  Sat, Feb 14 260 Eastern Kentucky W 77-71 71%    
  Wed, Feb 18 202 Queens W 79-76 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 142 @Lipscomb L 69-76 28%    
  Wed, Feb 25 295 Bellarmine W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 314 @West Georgia W 74-70 63%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.6 4.6 2.9 1.1 0.2 16.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.0 6.4 4.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.3 6.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.4 4.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.8 7.0 10.3 12.7 13.8 14.1 12.4 9.5 6.0 3.1 1.1 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.4% 1.1    1.1 0.0
16-2 94.1% 2.9    2.5 0.3 0.0
15-3 77.4% 4.6    3.2 1.3 0.1
14-4 47.9% 4.6    2.0 2.0 0.6 0.0
13-5 18.6% 2.3    0.5 1.1 0.6 0.1
12-6 3.7% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.3% 16.3 9.6 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 43.5% 43.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.1% 43.9% 43.9% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-2 3.1% 34.1% 34.1% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.0
15-3 6.0% 29.7% 29.7% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.2
14-4 9.5% 24.9% 24.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.0 7.1
13-5 12.4% 19.2% 19.2% 14.6 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.2 10.0
12-6 14.1% 14.5% 14.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.5 12.1
11-7 13.8% 10.9% 10.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 12.3
10-8 12.7% 7.4% 7.4% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 11.8
9-9 10.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.8 0.1 0.5 9.7
8-10 7.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.8
7-11 4.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 4.7
6-12 2.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.6
5-13 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-14 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.6% 13.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.1 4.9 2.7 86.4 0.0%