Preseason Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#325
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.7#22
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#312
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#319
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 12.5% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.8 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 30.1% 73.7% 29.8%
.500 or above in Conference 58.9% 88.2% 58.7%
Conference Champion 6.0% 14.6% 6.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.0% 1.1%
First Four2.6% 6.6% 2.6%
First Round3.6% 10.5% 3.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 412 - 912 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2025 34   @ Indiana L 63-89 1%    
  Nov 13, 2025 318   Charleston Southern W 75-73 58%    
  Nov 16, 2025 327   Lindenwood W 77-74 62%    
  Nov 28, 2025 42   @ Clemson L 58-83 1%    
  Nov 30, 2025 275   @ Coastal Carolina L 68-74 29%    
  Dec 03, 2025 259   Tennessee St. L 78-79 45%    
  Dec 07, 2025 188   @ Lipscomb L 67-78 17%    
  Dec 15, 2025 195   North Alabama L 72-77 35%    
  Dec 17, 2025 30   Mississippi L 63-87 2%    
  Dec 21, 2025 125   Chattanooga L 71-80 23%    
  Jan 03, 2026 364   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 85-75 81%    
  Jan 05, 2026 365   @ Mississippi Valley W 76-63 85%    
  Jan 10, 2026 326   Alcorn St. W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 12, 2026 238   Jackson St. L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 17, 2026 292   @ Alabama St. L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 24, 2026 285   @ Texas Southern L 72-78 31%    
  Jan 26, 2026 341   @ Prairie View L 77-78 46%    
  Jan 31, 2026 332   Florida A&M W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 02, 2026 246   Bethune-Cookman L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 07, 2026 186   @ Southern L 68-79 19%    
  Feb 09, 2026 283   @ Grambling St. L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 14, 2026 365   Mississippi Valley W 79-60 93%    
  Feb 16, 2026 364   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 88-72 91%    
  Feb 19, 2026 332   @ Florida A&M L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 21, 2026 246   @ Bethune-Cookman L 72-80 26%    
  Feb 28, 2026 292   Alabama St. W 75-74 52%    
  Mar 03, 2026 283   Grambling St. W 69-68 51%    
  Mar 05, 2026 186   Southern L 71-76 35%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.0 1.9 0.7 0.1 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.4 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.9 2.4 0.3 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.4 2.6 0.2 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.2 5.2 8.4 10.3 11.9 13.0 12.2 10.8 8.7 6.1 4.1 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.0
16-2 90.1% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 69.7% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
14-4 41.1% 1.7    0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0
13-5 15.5% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
12-6 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 49.8% 49.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 38.5% 38.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.1% 29.9% 29.9% 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8
15-3 2.3% 20.9% 20.9% 17.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.9
14-4 4.1% 16.4% 16.4% 18.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 3.4
13-5 6.1% 12.2% 12.2% 18.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 5.4
12-6 8.7% 7.3% 7.3% 18.2 0.1 0.7 8.1
11-7 10.8% 5.1% 5.1% 17.7 0.1 0.6 10.3
10-8 12.2% 3.2% 3.2% 16.5 0.4 11.8
9-9 13.0% 1.7% 1.7% 17.5 0.2 12.8
8-10 11.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.4
5-13 5.2% 5.2
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.7 95.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%