Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.2 #356
Expected Predictive Rating -19.3 #359
Pace 68.7 #183
Improvement -0.4 #205

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #364 F F+ D- D+ F+
Defense #244 D D+ B- C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #248 0.91 #362 -5.9 #346
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% #10 0.64 #331 +3.1 #47
Three Pointers 30% #353 0.85 #345 -8.1 #360
1st FG Attempt 0.80 #365 -10.9 #365
Freethrows 0.28 #262 69% #286 0.19 #283
Second Chance 25.0% #326 0.76 #365 0.19 #361
Turnovers 19.3% #334
Total Offense -12.2 #364

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #115 1.36 #361 -5.6 #349
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #331 0.72 #118 +2.3 #27
Three Pointers 44% #96 1.03 #198 -1.7 #261
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #322 -4.9 #322
Freethrows 0.32 #241 71% #107 0.23 #222
Second Chance 30.6% #183 1.17 #320 0.36 #282
Turnovers 18.5% #69
Total Defense -2.1 #244

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.7% #353 1.7% #326
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -18.4% #365 7.9% #317
Possession Length 19.4 #341 15.1 #2
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #132 0.19 #249
Improvement -0.9 #236 +0.5 #154

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.5% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.6% 8.2% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.8% 32.5% 58.0%
First Four3.3% 4.5% 2.3%
First Round1.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 46 - 156 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 147 @Temple L 65 - 83 6% -9  0 - 1 -14 -4 B- F F -11 F D+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 76 @Syracuse L 43 - 83 2% -23  0 - 2 -29 -26 F D- D -3 F+ D A-
 Mon, Nov 10 349 @Niagara L 57 - 68 32% -8  0 - 3 -20 -10 F D- B- -13 F A D-
 Sat, Nov 15 339 @New Haven L 52 - 65 29% -7  0 - 4 -22 -19 F F C -3 D- C- A+
 Sun, Nov 23 40 @Miami (FL) L 41 - 97 1% -31  0 - 5 -40 -24 F F F -15 F C- C
 Sat, Nov 29 260 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57 - 71 14% -8  0 - 6 -17 -14 F F+ C -3 F+ B- B
 Wed, Dec 3 175 Navy L 59 - 66 18% -9  0 - 7 -11 -14 F D- A+ +3 A- F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 278 Delaware W 75 - 72 OT 33% +1  1 - 7 -7 -8 C- D F +1 C C- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 261 @Longwood W 81 - 76 14% +5  2 - 7 +2 +11 A+ F A- -9 F+ C B+
 Thu, Dec 18 139 @Saint Joseph's L 51 - 67 5% -12  2 - 8 -12 -15 F D F +3 C D+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 118 @Rutgers L 50 - 65 4% -9  2 - 9 -9 -18 F D- F +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. L 51 - 53 79% +1  2 - 10 0 - 1 -25 -29 F F F +4 C+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 296 Norfolk St. L 64 - 66 36% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -13 -13 D+ C F +0 F+ B A+
 Mon, Jan 12 274 @Howard L 58 - 84 16% -14  2 - 12 0 - 3 -29 -7 F D+ F -25 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 355 Morgan St. L 79 - 80 61% -5  2 - 13 0 - 4 -18 -6 F F C- -12 F C+ D
 Mon, Jan 26 360 @South Carolina St. L 64 - 70 41% -6  2 - 14 0 - 5 -18 -13 F F C- -5 F A+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 331 Maryland Eastern Shore L 63 - 64 48%
 Sat, Feb 7 364 @Coppin St. W 71 - 68 61%
 Mon, Feb 9 341 @NC Central L 65 - 71 30%
 Sat, Feb 14 296 @Norfolk St. L 62 - 72 18%
 Mon, Feb 16 274 Howard L 65 - 70 33%
 Sat, Feb 21 355 @Morgan St. L 71 - 74 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 341 NC Central W 69 - 68 52%
 Mon, Mar 2 360 South Carolina St. W 71 - 67 65%
 Thu, Mar 5 331 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 60 - 67 27%
Totals 6 - 19 4 - 10 -14 -12 F F+ D- -2 D D+ B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.5 0.4 0.9 3rd
4th 0.5 1.8 0.1 2.5 4th
5th 0.6 3.1 1.2 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.6 4.9 0.1 13.7 6th
7th 0.4 4.6 14.6 18.6 9.3 0.8 48.3 7th
8th 1.3 6.5 10.8 8.1 2.4 0.2 29.3 8th
Total 1.3 6.9 15.4 22.8 22.8 16.7 9.3 3.7 0.9 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 10.0% 0.0    0.0
8-6 10.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.1% 0.1
8-6 0.9% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8
7-7 3.7% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.3 3.4
6-8 9.3% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.6 8.7
5-9 16.7% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.6 16.1
4-10 22.8% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.9 21.9
3-11 22.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.5 22.3
2-12 15.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 15.2
1-13 6.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.9
0-14 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 16.0 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%