South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.7#360
Expected Predictive Rating-17.0#357
Pace71.9#119
Improvement-1.8#302

Offense
Total Offense-8.8#357
First Shot-11.4#365
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#40
Layup/Dunks-8.0#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#299
Freethrows-1.1#250
Improvement+0.1#174

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#344
First Shot-1.6#228
After Offensive Rebounds-4.4#358
Layups/Dunks-4.0#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#54
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#65
Freethrows-2.5#324
Improvement-1.9#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.8% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 33.3% 39.3% 31.0%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.0% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 21.0% 17.0% 22.6%
First Four2.9% 3.8% 2.6%
First Round0.9% 1.2% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 27.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 46 - 146 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 10 @Louisville L 45-104 0.3%    0 - 1 -37.2 -26.2 -2.6
  Fri, Nov 7 237 @Samford L 72-82 11%     0 - 2 -11.1 -4.8 -6.0
  Mon, Nov 10 310 @N.C. A&T L 62-85 20%     0 - 3 -28.7 -21.1 -4.5
  Fri, Nov 14 170 @College of Charleston L 61-88 7%     0 - 4 -24.8 -8.8 -17.1
  Wed, Nov 19 225 Chattanooga L 66-78 22%     0 - 5 -18.7 -14.6 -3.7
  Sun, Nov 23 278 @South Dakota L 81-82 14%     0 - 6 -4.2 +3.6 -7.8
  Tue, Nov 25 48 @Missouri L 66-98 1%     0 - 7 -18.0 -2.7 -15.3
  Sat, Nov 29 112 @Winthrop L 79-101 4%     0 - 8 -15.6 +2.8 -17.4
  Fri, Dec 5 227 @Bethune-Cookman L 59-80 10%     0 - 9 -21.9 -10.6 -12.6
  Mon, Dec 8 267 @Charleston Southern L 44-84 13%     0 - 10 -42.6 -27.7 -15.9
  Fri, Dec 12 202 @Queens L 78-102 9%     0 - 11 -23.8 -1.8 -21.5
  Tue, Dec 16 262 South Carolina Upstate L 70-76 28%    
  Mon, Dec 22 87 @South Carolina L 59-83 1%    
  Tue, Dec 30 18 @Tennessee L 55-89 0.1%   
  Sat, Jan 3 299 Howard L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 359 @Morgan St. L 75-78 39%    
  Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 233 Norfolk St. L 64-72 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 67-66 50%    
  Mon, Jan 26 349 Delaware St. W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 350 NC Central W 71-70 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 299 @Howard L 68-78 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 359 Morgan St. W 78-75 61%    
  Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 77-70 73%    
  Sat, Feb 21 233 @Norfolk St. L 61-75 11%    
  Sat, Feb 28 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64-70 29%    
  Mon, Mar 2 349 @Delaware St. L 67-73 30%    
  Thu, Mar 5 350 @NC Central L 68-73 31%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 2.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.0 5.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.2 4.0 7.3 2.7 0.2 14.3 4th
5th 0.3 4.5 8.9 3.2 0.1 17.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.8 9.4 3.7 0.2 18.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.1 8.2 3.3 0.2 18.0 7th
8th 0.4 1.8 4.3 4.3 1.5 0.1 12.4 8th
Total 0.4 1.8 5.4 9.9 14.9 17.5 16.9 13.9 9.7 5.6 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 89.7% 0.2    0.2 0.1
11-3 66.0% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
10-4 29.6% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
9-5 6.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.3% 25.6% 25.6% 16.0 0.1 0.2
11-3 1.1% 18.8% 18.8% 16.0 0.2 0.9
10-4 2.6% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.3 2.3
9-5 5.6% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.4 5.2
8-6 9.7% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.5 9.2
7-7 13.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 13.5
6-8 16.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 16.5
5-9 17.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 17.2
4-10 14.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 14.7
3-11 9.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.8
2-12 5.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.4
1-13 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 16.0 3.0 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%