Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.6 #332
Expected Predictive Rating -8.4 #302
Pace 61.7 #347
Improvement +1.4 #123

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #346 D+ D+ F D- D+
Defense #264 C+ D C C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #236 1.15 #188 -1.4 #234
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #74 0.82 #98 +3.0 #54
Three Pointers 37% #259 0.82 #359 -5.5 #335
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #297 -4.0 #295
Freethrows 0.23 #348 71% #216 0.16 #346
Second Chance 29.4% #220 0.90 #335 0.26 #287
Turnovers 22.0% #364
Total Offense -7.8 #346

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #156 1.14 #152 -0.2 #183
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #304 0.65 #31 +2.5 #18
Three Pointers 44% #86 0.96 #103 -0.4 #196
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #123 +1.8 #123
Freethrows 0.32 #229 75% #311 0.24 #265
Second Chance 32.6% #272 1.16 #310 0.38 #311
Turnovers 16.2% #196
Total Defense -2.8 #264

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.7% #297 1.2% #286
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.2% #285 -4.8% #85
Possession Length 20.0 #360 16.1 #22
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 #360 0.18 #215
Improvement +2.2 #74 -0.8 #240

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.5% 20.4% 14.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 6.8% 11.0% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 96.2% 99.1% 93.1%
Conference Champion 56.1% 69.2% 42.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four16.9% 19.3% 14.2%
First Round7.7% 9.3% 6.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Away) - 51.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 10 - 8
Quad 412 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 111 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 6% -0  0 - 1 +3 -15 D- D+ F +18 A+ D C+
 Wed, Nov 5 29 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1% -27  0 - 2 -47 -38 F D- F -6 A+ F C
 Tue, Nov 11 13 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 1% -15  0 - 3 +3 -9 D- D F +11 A+ C- D
 Fri, Nov 14 55 @Creighton L 45 - 84 2% -18  0 - 4 -26 -20 D- F F -10 D+ F C
 Tue, Nov 18 257 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 22% +3  1 - 4 -1 -2 B D+ F +0 A F B
 Fri, Nov 21 342 @Canisius L 57 - 60 43% -3  1 - 5 -12 -6 F+ C F -7 F F C
 Sat, Nov 22 362 Binghamton W 63 - 52 71% +9  2 - 5 -5 -6 D- C+ F +3 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 235 Hampton L 68 - 74 37% -10  2 - 6 -13 +3 D- B- A+ -17 D- C- F
 Tue, Dec 2 262 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 22% -5  2 - 7 -15 -5 C F+ D -12 F C C
 Sat, Dec 6 233 @American L 60 - 78 18% -10  2 - 8 -19 -5 A+ F F -17 F C- D
 Tue, Dec 9 22 @Virginia L 60 - 84 1% -12  2 - 9 -4 -2 B C F -3 C- A+ F+
 Fri, Dec 12 293 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 28% +2  2 - 10 -7 +4 D- A B -11 C- F C
 Sun, Dec 14 59 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 3% -10  2 - 11 -17 -9 D D- D- -10 F B+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 324 @Wagner L 64 - 78 36% -6  2 - 12 -21 -9 B+ F F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 33 @Texas L 71 - 94 1% -11  2 - 13 -6 +2 B- B- F -8 D- A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 356 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 73% +6  3 - 13 1 - 0 -0 -12 F D- D- +13 B+ A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 276 Howard W 69 - 57 46% -2  4 - 13 2 - 0 +3 -8 C- F F +10 B+ C+ A+
 Mon, Jan 12 298 @Norfolk St. W 74 - 70 28% +0  5 - 13 3 - 0 -1 +8 C- D+ B -8 A F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 364 Coppin St. W 70 - 67 87% -0  6 - 13 4 - 0 -20 -3 F A+ F -16 D D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 357 @Delaware St. W 63 - 62 52%
 Mon, Feb 2 343 @NC Central L 66 - 68 43%
 Wed, Feb 4 359 @South Carolina St. W 68 - 67 55%
 Sat, Feb 7 356 @Morgan St. W 71 - 70 51%
 Sat, Feb 14 276 @Howard L 62 - 69 25%
 Mon, Feb 16 298 Norfolk St. W 67 - 66 51%
 Sat, Feb 21 364 @Coppin St. W 71 - 65 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 359 South Carolina St. W 71 - 64 75%
 Mon, Mar 2 343 NC Central W 69 - 65 65%
 Thu, Mar 5 357 Delaware St. W 66 - 59 72%
Totals 12 - 17 10 - 4 -11 -8 D+ D+ F -3 C+ D C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 6.7 17.8 17.8 9.6 3.4 0.6 56.1 1st
2nd 0.0 3.5 10.9 4.0 0.1 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.8 7.1 2.8 0.1 10.8 3rd
4th 0.2 3.5 3.7 0.1 7.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 2.9 0.3 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.3 2.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.1 0.6 3.1 7.6 14.7 20.5 21.9 18.0 9.6 3.4 0.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 100.0% 3.4    3.4
12-2 100.0% 9.6    9.6 0.0
11-3 99.3% 17.8    15.1 2.7 0.0
10-4 81.4% 17.8    8.2 8.0 1.5 0.0
9-5 32.8% 6.7    0.6 2.4 2.8 0.9 0.1
8-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 56.1% 56.1 37.6 13.1 4.4 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 35.3% 35.3% 15.3 0.1 0.1 0.4
13-1 3.4% 32.2% 32.2% 16.0 0.1 1.1 2.3
12-2 9.6% 28.1% 28.1% 16.0 2.7 6.9
11-3 18.0% 24.4% 24.4% 16.0 4.4 13.6
10-4 21.9% 20.9% 20.9% 16.0 4.6 17.3
9-5 20.5% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 2.8 17.7
8-6 14.7% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 1.1 13.6
7-7 7.6% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.4 7.1
6-8 3.1% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.1 2.9
5-9 0.6% 0.6
4-10 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 16.0 82.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.3 66.7 33.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%