Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#285
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#269
Pace66.5#267
Improvement+0.0#182

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#234
First Shot-0.4#180
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#313
Layup/Dunks+0.5#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
Freethrows-3.2#334
Improvement+0.9#105

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#319
First Shot-5.3#336
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#118
Layups/Dunks-5.0#331
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#229
Freethrows+3.3#21
Improvement-0.9#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.5% 19.7% 14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 66.1% 85.6% 64.8%
.500 or above in Conference 78.1% 86.1% 77.5%
Conference Champion 17.4% 26.0% 16.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 1.9% 3.3%
First Four10.2% 9.9% 10.2%
First Round9.2% 14.7% 8.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 415 - 815 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 73 @Dayton L 71-77 6%     0 - 1 +4.9 +8.7 -4.2
  Tue, Nov 11 359 @Morgan St. W 81-79 68%     1 - 1 -9.6 -0.6 -9.1
  Sun, Nov 16 301 Wagner W 71-70 OT 65%     2 - 1 -9.8 -11.4 +1.5
  Wed, Nov 19 82 @George Washington L 52-89 6%     2 - 2 -26.7 -19.5 -6.6
  Sat, Nov 29 349 Delaware St. W 71-57 78%     3 - 2 -1.0 -2.2 +1.9
  Wed, Dec 3 101 @Georgetown L 81-90 9%     3 - 3 -1.1 +14.9 -16.4
  Sat, Dec 6 304 @Bucknell W 73-66 43%     4 - 3 +2.1 +5.5 -2.8
  Tue, Dec 9 216 Buffalo L 79-83 48%     4 - 4 -10.4 +5.0 -15.7
  Fri, Dec 12 332 Army L 60-63 74%     4 - 5 -16.5 -15.4 -1.2
  Sun, Dec 21 86 @South Florida L 70-86 6%    
  Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 77-68 79%    
  Thu, Jan 8 336 Maine W 69-62 75%    
  Sat, Jan 10 335 New Hampshire W 74-67 74%    
  Thu, Jan 15 297 @Bryant L 69-71 41%    
  Mon, Jan 19 356 @Binghamton W 73-69 66%    
  Thu, Jan 22 352 NJIT W 75-66 80%    
  Sat, Jan 24 302 Umass Lowell W 77-73 65%    
  Thu, Jan 29 186 @Vermont L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 328 @Albany W 74-73 51%    
  Thu, Feb 5 356 Binghamton W 76-66 83%    
  Thu, Feb 12 336 @Maine W 66-65 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 335 @New Hampshire W 71-70 53%    
  Thu, Feb 19 186 Vermont L 70-72 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 328 Albany W 77-71 72%    
  Thu, Feb 26 297 Bryant W 72-68 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 302 @Umass Lowell L 74-76 43%    
  Tue, Mar 3 352 @NJIT W 72-69 60%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.1 5.0 3.0 1.1 0.2 17.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 6.2 8.1 4.9 1.6 0.2 22.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 6.6 7.3 2.5 0.3 18.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 5.7 5.6 1.6 0.1 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.8 1.1 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.7 0.9 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.6 0.9 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.5 9th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.6 6.3 9.4 12.9 14.9 15.7 13.2 10.4 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.0
14-2 93.9% 3.0    2.6 0.4
13-3 75.5% 5.0    3.5 1.4 0.1
12-4 49.5% 5.1    2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0
11-5 19.2% 2.5    0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 17.4% 17.4 10.5 5.3 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 49.2% 49.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.1% 35.0% 35.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7
14-2 3.2% 35.0% 35.0% 15.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.0
13-3 6.6% 28.9% 28.9% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.7
12-4 10.4% 24.6% 24.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.4 7.8
11-5 13.2% 19.3% 19.3% 16.0 0.1 2.5 10.7
10-6 15.7% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 0.0 2.1 13.5
9-7 14.9% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 1.6 13.2
8-8 12.9% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1 11.8
7-9 9.4% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.7 8.7
6-10 6.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.2 6.1
5-11 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 3.5
4-12 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-13 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 13.1 85.5 0.0%