Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.7 #278
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 #295
Pace 60.9 #353
Improvement +1.5 #115

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #287 C+ F D+ D- C
Defense #249 C C+ D C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #270 1.11 #240 -2.7 #279
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #192 0.81 #103 +0.3 #162
Three Pointers 45% #107 1.14 #31 +4.6 #47
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #122 +2.1 #121
Freethrows 0.23 #351 72% #212 0.16 #349
Second Chance 20.5% #358 0.90 #338 0.18 #364
Turnovers 18.0% #281
Total Offense -4.3 #287

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #329 1.15 #164 +3.9 #58
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #136 0.77 #201 -0.6 #227
Three Pointers 46% #47 1.08 #266 -4.0 #326
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #199 -0.7 #197
Freethrows 0.25 #47 79% #364 0.20 #115
Second Chance 29.0% #119 1.03 #157 0.30 #127
Turnovers 14.0% #320
Total Defense -2.4 #249

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.3% #205 -1.2% #77
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.5% #104 2.7% #231
Possession Length 19.8 #355 17.1 #143
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 #362 0.18 #200
Improvement -0.1 #186 +1.6 #85

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 68.6% 44.2% 82.0%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UTEP (Away) - 35.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 94 - 13
Quad 45 - 99 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 323 @Bucknell L 70 - 78 50% +4  0 - 1 -15 -6 F B+ D+ -9 C F A
 Tue, Nov 11 14 @BYU L 68 - 85 1% +0  0 - 2 +5 +15 A+ F+ A+ -13 B F D
 Tue, Nov 18 226 St. Peter's W 81 - 70 50% +14  1 - 2 +4 +11 A+ F D+ -6 F+ A- F
 Sun, Nov 23 134 Southern Illinois L 59 - 79 21% -10  1 - 3 -18 -8 B- D- F -11 C+ D- D+
 Tue, Nov 25 305 UNC Greensboro W 73 - 60 57% +1  2 - 3 +5 -0 A+ F F+ +6 A- A+ D+
 Mon, Dec 1 225 Iona L 66 - 89 50% -7  2 - 4 -30 -8 C+ F D+ -22 F A+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 357 @Delaware St. L 72 - 75 OT 67% -1  2 - 5 -14 -8 D+ F F -6 F C- B+
 Wed, Dec 10 65 @George Washington W 70 - 58 5% +6  3 - 5 +24 +2 A+ D+ F +22 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 217 Cal St. Northridge L 66 - 88 49% -19  3 - 6 -28 -8 C- F F -21 F B- F+
 Tue, Dec 16 352 Rider W 65 - 57 81% +6  4 - 6 -8 -6 D F D+ -1 B+ F+ D-
 Mon, Dec 29 183 Missouri St. L 43 - 61 42% -12  4 - 7 0 - 1 -23 -25 F F+ F -0 C A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 184 Jacksonville St. L 64 - 67 43% -4  4 - 8 0 - 2 -8 +0 B+ F B+ -9 C+ D+ C+
 Sun, Jan 4 153 Kennesaw St. W 67 - 52 35% +5  5 - 8 1 - 2 +12 -2 B F C +16 A+ A- B+
 Thu, Jan 8 115 @Sam Houston St. L 60 - 72 12% -7  5 - 9 1 - 3 -6 -3 C- F B+ -4 B B F
 Sat, Jan 10 209 @Louisiana Tech L 68 - 70 OT 26% +5  5 - 10 1 - 4 -2 +2 B D C- -4 C+ C- D+
 Thu, Jan 15 266 UTEP L 69 - 70 58% +2  5 - 11 1 - 5 -10 +2 F+ B- A+ -12 D C- F
 Sat, Jan 17 154 New Mexico St. L 68 - 97 35% -14  5 - 12 1 - 6 -32 +1 C C- A+ -36 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 94 @Liberty L 51 - 67 8% -7  5 - 13 1 - 7 -7 -12 C+ F F +2 C- A+ D
 Wed, Jan 28 154 @New Mexico St. W 73 - 64 17% +5  6 - 13 2 - 7 +12 +12 A+ F D +2 C- C C+
 Sat, Jan 31 266 @UTEP L 63 - 67 35%
 Wed, Feb 4 94 Liberty L 63 - 72 18%
 Sat, Feb 7 142 Middle Tennessee L 63 - 68 32%
 Thu, Feb 12 190 @Florida International L 69 - 77 24%
 Sat, Feb 14 183 @Missouri St. L 62 - 70 22%
 Wed, Feb 18 166 Western Kentucky L 68 - 71 38%
 Sat, Feb 21 142 @Middle Tennessee L 60 - 71 16%
 Thu, Feb 26 184 @Jacksonville St. L 61 - 69 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 153 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 79 18%
 Thu, Mar 5 115 Sam Houston St. L 68 - 75 26%
 Sat, Mar 7 209 Louisiana Tech L 61 - 62 48%
Totals 9 - 21 5 - 15 -7 -4 C+ F D+ -2 C C+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.5 1.8 0.4 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.1 1.9 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 5.6 5.1 0.7 0.0 12.8 10th
11th 0.2 3.8 10.5 8.9 1.8 0.0 25.2 11th
12th 4.2 13.9 18.6 11.6 2.6 0.1 51.0 12th
Total 4.2 14.1 22.4 23.5 17.9 10.7 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.4% 6.0% 6.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.4
9-11 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.7
8-12 5.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.9
7-13 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-14 17.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 17.8
5-15 23.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 23.4
4-16 22.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.4
3-17 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.1
2-18 4.2% 4.2
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.9 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%