New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#336
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#303
Pace63.0#334
Improvement-0.2#190

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#349
First Shot-4.1#293
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#351
Layup/Dunks-0.6#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#290
Freethrows-2.4#311
Improvement+2.0#46

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#278
First Shot-4.3#319
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#88
Layups/Dunks+0.0#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#304
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement-2.2#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 14.2% 30.4% 11.6%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 71.5% 57.8%
Conference Champion 6.7% 10.2% 6.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 5.0% 9.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 13.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 410 - 910 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 6 @Connecticut L 55-79 0.4%    0 - 1 +0.1 -2.5 +1.3
  Fri, Nov 7 133 Columbia L 53-71 19%     0 - 2 -19.3 -17.1 -3.4
  Sat, Nov 8 105 Penn St. L 43-87 13%     0 - 3 -42.9 -26.7 -21.7
  Mon, Nov 10 303 @Umass Lowell W 73-67 27%     1 - 3 +1.5 -0.6 +2.2
  Sat, Nov 15 349 Delaware St. W 65-52 66%     2 - 3 -2.0 -8.4 +7.2
  Tue, Nov 18 58 @Seton Hall L 45-68 3%     2 - 4 -10.3 -13.3 -0.1
  Sat, Dec 6 150 @Boston College L 63-67 9%     2 - 5 -0.2 +2.8 -3.5
  Wed, Dec 10 352 @NJIT L 64-70 47%     2 - 6 -16.1 -6.8 -9.6
  Mon, Dec 22 196 @Fordham L 58-69 14%    
  Mon, Dec 29 10 @Vanderbilt L 56-88 0.1%   
  Fri, Jan 2 339 @Stonehill L 62-65 39%    
  Sun, Jan 4 240 @Central Connecticut St. L 60-69 21%    
  Thu, Jan 8 315 @Le Moyne L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 359 Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-67 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 292 Wagner L 67-68 47%    
  Mon, Jan 19 341 @Chicago St. L 67-70 41%    
  Fri, Jan 23 328 Mercyhurst W 65-63 58%    
  Sun, Jan 25 363 St. Francis (PA) W 72-64 77%    
  Thu, Jan 29 328 @Mercyhurst L 62-66 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 69-67 57%    
  Thu, Feb 5 201 @LIU Brooklyn L 64-75 16%    
  Sat, Feb 7 341 Chicago St. W 70-67 62%    
  Thu, Feb 12 240 Central Connecticut St. L 63-66 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 201 LIU Brooklyn L 67-72 32%    
  Thu, Feb 19 339 Stonehill W 65-62 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 359 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 71-70 53%    
  Thu, Feb 26 292 @Wagner L 64-71 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 315 Le Moyne W 72-71 55%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.3 6.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 3.7 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.9 4.1 1.0 0.1 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 5.7 4.5 1.0 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.8 4.6 1.0 0.1 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.4 5.0 0.8 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.4 5.1 1.1 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.5 4.4 1.1 0.1 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 3.1 1.0 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 5.0 7.8 10.9 12.8 13.6 12.6 11.7 9.2 6.0 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 98.1% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-1 90.8% 0.6    0.6 0.1
14-2 78.8% 1.5    1.1 0.3 0.0
13-3 57.2% 2.1    1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-4 27.0% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
11-5 5.3% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.6% 6.6 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 0.3
15-1 0.7% 0.7
14-2 1.8% 1.8
13-3 3.7% 3.7
12-4 6.0% 6.0
11-5 9.2% 9.2
10-6 11.7% 11.7
9-7 12.6% 12.6
8-8 13.6% 13.6
7-9 12.8% 12.8
6-10 10.9% 10.9
5-11 7.8% 7.8
4-12 5.0% 5.0
3-13 2.4% 2.4
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%