IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
New Haven
Northeast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-17.3	#363
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#147
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.9	#361

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.4	#359

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	4.6%	n/a	4.6%
.500 or above in Conference	28.0%	n/a	28.0%
Conference Champion	2.6%	n/a	2.6%
Last Place in Conference	32.0%	n/a	32.0%

First Four	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	n/a	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	n/a	0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	7 - 14	7 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	4	@ Connecticut	L	47-89	0.1%
Nov 07, 2025	265	Columbia	L	72-81	21%
Nov 08, 2025	90	Penn St.	L	63-83	3%
Nov 10, 2025	295	@ Umass Lowell	L	66-79	12%
Nov 15, 2025	338	Delaware St.	L	71-75	37%
Nov 18, 2025	101	@ Seton Hall	L	53-78	1%
Dec 06, 2025	100	@ Boston College	L	58-83	1%
Dec 10, 2025	357	@ NJIT	L	64-70	29%
Dec 22, 2025	164	@ Fordham	L	64-84	5%
Dec 29, 2025	41	@ Vanderbilt	L	57-90	0.3%
Jan 02, 2026	340	@ Stonehill	L	62-71	23%
Jan 04, 2026	305	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	59-71	15%
Jan 08, 2026	347	@ Le Moyne	L	70-78	24%
Jan 10, 2026	354	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	71-72	45%
Jan 17, 2026	343	Wagner	L	57-60	41%
Jan 19, 2026	349	@ Chicago St.	L	67-75	25%
Jan 23, 2026	361	Mercyhurst	W	67-65	55%
Jan 25, 2026	344	St. Francis (PA)	L	68-71	41%
Jan 29, 2026	361	@ Mercyhurst	L	64-68	36%
Jan 31, 2026	344	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	65-74	24%
Feb 05, 2026	300	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	59-72	15%
Feb 07, 2026	349	Chicago St.	L	70-72	42%
Feb 12, 2026	305	Central Connecticut St.	L	62-68	31%
Feb 14, 2026	300	LIU Brooklyn	L	62-69	29%
Feb 19, 2026	340	Stonehill	L	65-68	41%
Feb 21, 2026	354	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	68-75	27%
Feb 26, 2026	343	@ Wagner	L	54-63	24%
Feb 28, 2026	347	Le Moyne	L	73-75	42%
Projected Record						7 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.4	0.3	0.1		2.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.1	0.9	1.4	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0			4.2	2nd
3rd									0.2	1.4	2.4	1.2	0.4	0.0					5.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.2	1.6	2.9	1.3	0.3	0.0						6.3	4th
5th						0.0	0.2	1.7	3.8	1.9	0.2	0.0							7.9	5th
6th					0.0	0.2	1.9	4.6	2.6	0.3	0.0								9.7	6th
7th				0.0	0.3	2.0	4.9	3.1	0.6	0.0									10.9	7th
8th			0.0	0.5	2.7	5.8	4.1	0.6	0.0										13.6	8th
9th		0.1	1.1	4.3	6.1	4.0	0.7	0.0											16.2	9th
10th	1.7	4.7	6.7	6.2	3.0	0.6	0.0												23.0	10th

Total	1.7	4.8	7.8	11.0	12.1	12.6	11.9	10.1	8.9	6.7	4.9	3.2	2.1	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-1	89.4%	0.3		0.2	0.0
14-2	74.1%	0.4		0.3	0.1
13-3	55.9%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
12-4	32.5%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-5	10.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.9%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	2.5%	2.5		1.4	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%																							0.1
15-1	0.3%																							0.3
14-2	0.6%																							0.6
13-3	1.2%																							1.2
12-4	2.1%																							2.1
11-5	3.2%																							3.2
10-6	4.9%																							4.9
9-7	6.7%																							6.7
8-8	8.9%																							8.9
7-9	10.1%																							10.1
6-10	11.9%																							11.9
5-11	12.6%																							12.6
4-12	12.1%																							12.1
3-13	11.0%																							11.0
2-14	7.8%																							7.8
1-15	4.8%																							4.8
0-16	1.7%																							1.7

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.1%