Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#132
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#182
Pace67.5#236
Improvement-0.3#208

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#159
First Shot-5.1#320
After Offensive Rebound+5.5#3
Layup/Dunks-3.8#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#276
Freethrows+0.7#135
Improvement-0.6#232

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#124
First Shot+2.2#105
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#254
Layups/Dunks-0.3#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#264
Freethrows+3.9#10
Improvement+0.3#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.5 10.5 n/a
.500 or above 2.3% 2.7% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 1.0% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 46.2% 44.3% 54.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Home) - 82.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 13
Quad 22 - 53 - 18
Quad 32 - 15 - 19
Quad 46 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 348 Rider W 81-53 93%     1 - 0 +13.0 +8.6 +5.8
  Mon, Nov 10 336 Maine W 72-60 92%     2 - 0 -1.8 +3.8 -4.4
  Fri, Nov 14 309 Lehigh W 84-72 88%     3 - 0 +0.7 +5.7 -5.0
  Tue, Nov 18 249 American W 80-71 82%     4 - 0 +1.1 +3.6 -2.6
  Fri, Nov 21 242 Central Connecticut St. L 54-67 81%     4 - 1 -20.6 -14.2 -8.1
  Mon, Nov 24 18 Tennessee L 60-85 10%     4 - 2 -8.8 -1.5 -8.6
  Tue, Nov 25 55 Notre Dame L 63-68 22%     4 - 3 +4.7 +2.7 +1.3
  Thu, Nov 27 141 UNLV W 80-65 51%     5 - 3 +16.4 +8.4 +8.2
  Tue, Dec 2 7 Purdue L 65-81 8%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +1.6 +3.2 -2.9
  Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60-101 1%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -11.1 +0.7 -10.3
  Sat, Dec 13 56 @Seton Hall L 59-81 16%     5 - 6 -9.5 -3.3 -7.0
  Sat, Dec 20 256 Penn W 80-70 82%    
  Mon, Dec 29 349 Delaware St. W 78-61 94%    
  Fri, Jan 2 31 Ohio St. L 70-79 20%    
  Mon, Jan 5 66 Oregon L 71-75 37%    
  Thu, Jan 8 14 @Illinois L 66-85 4%    
  Sun, Jan 11 58 Northwestern L 71-76 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 40 @Wisconsin L 69-82 11%    
  Tue, Jan 20 20 @Iowa L 60-77 6%    
  Fri, Jan 23 27 Indiana L 68-78 18%    
  Tue, Jan 27 12 Michigan St. L 62-75 11%    
  Sat, Jan 31 37 @USC L 68-82 10%    
  Tue, Feb 3 30 @UCLA L 62-77 9%    
  Sat, Feb 7 25 Nebraska L 68-78 18%    
  Sun, Feb 15 94 Maryland L 73-74 48%    
  Wed, Feb 18 103 @Penn St. L 73-78 31%    
  Sat, Feb 21 96 @Minnesota L 64-71 28%    
  Tue, Feb 24 50 Washington L 70-76 28%    
  Sun, Mar 1 94 @Maryland L 70-77 27%    
  Thu, Mar 5 12 @Michigan St. L 59-78 4%    
  Sun, Mar 8 103 Penn St. W 76-75 52%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.3 0.2 3.0 12th
13th 0.2 1.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 4.9 13th
14th 0.2 2.0 4.1 1.6 0.1 7.9 14th
15th 0.1 2.0 5.6 3.2 0.4 11.4 15th
16th 0.1 2.3 7.0 5.4 0.9 0.0 15.7 16th
17th 0.2 3.4 9.0 7.4 1.7 0.1 21.7 17th
18th 2.7 7.8 11.5 7.6 1.9 0.1 0.0 31.5 18th
Total 2.7 8.0 15.0 18.9 18.4 15.0 10.3 6.1 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 19.0% 19.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 19.0%
11-9 0.2% 8.9% 8.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.9%
10-10 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 10.0 0.0 0.6 0.5%
9-11 1.5% 1.5
8-12 3.2% 3.2
7-13 6.1% 6.1
6-14 10.3% 10.3
5-15 15.0% 15.0
4-16 18.4% 18.4
3-17 18.9% 18.9
2-18 15.0% 15.0
1-19 8.0% 8.0
0-20 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%