Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#68
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#85
Pace69.7#180
Improvement-2.3#319

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#96
First Shot+1.4#139
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#69
Layup/Dunks+3.9#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#209
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#182
Freethrows-1.9#295
Improvement+0.0#188

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#53
First Shot+7.0#20
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#315
Layups/Dunks+2.2#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#41
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#94
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-2.2#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 10.8% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.3% 10.4% 4.2%
Average Seed 9.6 9.6 9.8
.500 or above 67.5% 68.2% 39.7%
.500 or above in Conference 37.7% 38.0% 26.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 3.8% 7.3%
First Four3.8% 3.9% 2.1%
First Round8.6% 8.8% 2.7%
Second Round3.6% 3.6% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.8% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 97.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 10
Quad 24 - 36 - 13
Quad 34 - 210 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 356 Binghamton W 85-47 98%     1 - 0 +20.8 +4.6 +16.8
  Sat, Nov 8 349 Delaware St. W 83-43 97%     2 - 0 +25.0 +4.0 +20.1
  Sat, Nov 15 272 Drexel W 80-50 90%     3 - 0 +24.2 +11.9 +14.8
  Tue, Nov 18 220 Monmouth W 78-73 91%     4 - 0 -1.6 +0.8 -2.4
  Mon, Nov 24 8 Houston L 74-78 OT 13%     4 - 1 +15.9 +6.9 +9.3
  Tue, Nov 25 17 Kansas L 60-71 20%     4 - 2 +5.9 +2.0 +3.1
  Wed, Nov 26 4 Iowa St. L 64-95 10%     4 - 3 -9.1 +0.7 -8.9
  Tue, Dec 2 18 Tennessee W 62-60 31%     5 - 3 +15.2 -2.8 +18.0
  Thu, Dec 11 173 Saint Joseph's W 71-63 87%     6 - 3 +4.0 -1.7 +5.7
  Sat, Dec 13 114 Hofstra L 69-70 77%     6 - 4 -0.7 +10.6 -11.4
  Wed, Dec 17 329 Mercyhurst W 79-58 98%    
  Sat, Dec 20 209 Northeastern W 79-65 91%    
  Mon, Dec 22 341 Stonehill W 80-58 98%    
  Wed, Dec 31 35 Clemson L 69-71 44%    
  Tue, Jan 6 130 @Georgia Tech W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 107 @Pittsburgh W 71-70 55%    
  Tue, Jan 13 104 Florida St. W 83-76 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 148 @Boston College W 71-67 65%    
  Wed, Jan 21 63 Virginia Tech W 76-74 58%    
  Sat, Jan 24 33 Miami (FL) L 73-75 42%    
  Tue, Jan 27 29 @North Carolina St. L 72-81 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 55 Notre Dame W 71-70 55%    
  Mon, Feb 2 23 @North Carolina L 69-79 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 26 @Virginia L 69-79 19%    
  Wed, Feb 11 81 California W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 38 SMU L 76-77 46%    
  Mon, Feb 16 2 @Duke L 63-81 5%    
  Sat, Feb 21 23 North Carolina L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 42 @Wake Forest L 72-79 27%    
  Tue, Mar 3 10 @Louisville L 72-86 11%    
  Sat, Mar 7 107 Pittsburgh W 74-67 74%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.2 0.1 3.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 2.3 0.4 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.4 3.2 0.2 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 5.0 1.2 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 5.2 3.3 0.2 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 4.0 5.3 0.8 0.0 10.5 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 5.7 2.0 0.1 10.3 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 4.8 3.5 0.3 9.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.9 0.8 0.0 8.0 14th
15th 0.1 1.5 3.3 1.3 0.1 6.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.5 0.2 4.8 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.2 0.2 3.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 18th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.6 9.1 12.9 15.1 15.5 13.9 10.4 6.6 4.1 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 78.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 40.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 17.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 98.3% 10.0% 88.3% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.1%
14-4 0.7% 89.7% 4.4% 85.3% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 89.2%
13-5 1.8% 82.8% 2.6% 80.2% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 82.4%
12-6 4.1% 63.1% 1.7% 61.3% 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.5 62.4%
11-7 6.6% 38.5% 1.3% 37.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.0 4.0 37.7%
10-8 10.4% 20.5% 0.5% 20.0% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 0.0 8.3 20.1%
9-9 13.9% 5.9% 0.3% 5.6% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.0 13.0 5.6%
8-10 15.5% 1.2% 0.2% 1.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.4 1.0%
7-11 15.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 15.1 0.1%
6-12 12.9% 12.9
5-13 9.1% 9.1
4-14 5.6% 5.6
3-15 2.7% 2.7
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.6% 0.4% 10.2% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.0 3.4 0.1 89.4 10.3%