Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.7 #147
Expected Predictive Rating +0.8 #148
Pace 64.6 #291
Improvement -1.2 #246

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #120 C D+ B+ A C
Defense #214 C C D+ B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #101 1.15 #185 +1.5 #124
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #160 0.80 #111 +0.8 #133
Three Pointers 37% #263 1.05 #134 -1.4 #229
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #147 +1.0 #146
Freethrows 0.39 #7 76% #49 0.30 #5
Second Chance 28.3% #249 0.97 #275 0.28 #268
Turnovers 13.6% #30
Total Offense +1.9 #120

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #108 1.16 #180 -1.8 #242
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #106 0.78 #225 -1.0 #264
Three Pointers 36% #305 1.02 #183 +2.5 #94
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #191 -0.3 #190
Freethrows 0.27 #82 70% #68 0.19 #75
Second Chance 30.3% #166 1.06 #200 0.32 #185
Turnovers 14.7% #289
Total Defense -1.2 #214

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #181 0.0% #160
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.7% #147 0.7% #195
Possession Length 18.5 #289 17.7 #242
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #189 0.14 #77
Improvement -4.8 #355 +3.5 #22

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 3.5% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.1
.500 or above 83.3% 94.2% 78.1%
.500 or above in Conference 76.7% 91.2% 69.7%
Conference Champion 1.6% 4.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.3% 3.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Home) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 35 - 77 - 13
Quad 411 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 357 Delaware St. W 83 - 65 94% +9  1 - 0 +1 +11 B+ C- A+ -10 F A A
 Tue, Nov 11 202 La Salle W 90 - 63 73% +16  2 - 0 +21 +20 A B A +3 A B- D
 Sat, Nov 15 132 Boston College L 71 - 76 58% -5  2 - 1 -6 +3 D C+ A+ -9 C D- D-
 Wed, Nov 19 129 Hofstra W 81 - 76 57% +1  3 - 1 +4 +6 A F C- -2 D+ A+ C-
 Mon, Nov 24 112 UC San Diego L 76 - 91 40% -9  3 - 2 -12 +7 D+ B A+ -19 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 212 Princeton W 79 - 75 65% -1  4 - 2 +1 +9 A+ F D -8 F C+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 109 Rhode Island L 75 - 90 39% -7  4 - 3 -11 +6 C D A+ -17 F B- F
 Mon, Dec 1 36 @Villanova L 56 - 74 7% -5  4 - 4 -1 +3 C- D B -7 B- B C
 Sat, Dec 6 139 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 48% -2  4 - 5 +0 +7 B D- D -7 B- D B-
 Sun, Dec 14 354 St. Francis (PA) W 95 - 67 94% +17  5 - 5 +11 +15 A+ F A -4 C- D- C-
 Thu, Dec 18 136 @Davidson W 68 - 63 35% +6  6 - 5 +10 +8 C- F A+ +3 A+ F+ F+
 Mon, Dec 22 212 Princeton W 65 - 61 74% +3  7 - 5 -2 +1 C+ D C+ -3 B- C+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 165 @Charlotte W 76 - 73 43% +8  8 - 5 1 - 0 +6 +4 B+ D C +2 B+ B C
 Sat, Jan 3 341 Texas San Antonio W 76 - 57 92% +9  9 - 5 2 - 0 +4 +1 D- B+ C +4 B+ C A+
 Wed, Jan 7 262 East Carolina W 75 - 67 81% +9  10 - 5 3 - 0 -1 +6 F+ A- B -6 F B- C
 Wed, Jan 14 100 @Memphis L 53 - 55 24% -4  10 - 6 3 - 1 +6 -7 F D+ D +13 A+ A D+
 Sun, Jan 18 101 Florida Atlantic L 73 - 79 45% +2  10 - 7 3 - 2 -4 -7 D- C D +3 A+ F D+
 Wed, Jan 21 230 @Rice W 69 - 65 56% +0  11 - 7 4 - 2 +3 +4 D B- A+ -1 C D C
 Sat, Jan 24 341 @Texas San Antonio W 70 - 64 81% +0  12 - 7 5 - 2 -3 +2 C- D- B- -4 D+ D- C
 Wed, Jan 28 165 Charlotte L 76 - 80 OT 66% +3  12 - 8 5 - 3 -7 +14 C A- A- -23 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 31 67 South Florida L 76 - 81 33%
 Sat, Feb 7 262 @East Carolina W 73 - 70 62%
 Wed, Feb 11 175 @Tulane L 72 - 73 47%
 Sun, Feb 15 144 North Texas W 67 - 64 61%
 Wed, Feb 18 118 UAB W 76 - 75 54%
 Sat, Feb 21 99 @Wichita St. L 68 - 75 25%
 Wed, Feb 25 101 @Florida Atlantic L 72 - 79 25%
 Sun, Mar 1 230 Rice W 76 - 68 76%
 Thu, Mar 5 175 Tulane W 75 - 70 68%
 Sun, Mar 8 70 @Tulsa L 73 - 83 17%
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +1 +2 C D+ B+ -1 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 1.7 0.2 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.0 4.4 0.5 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 7.2 2.3 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.4 6.6 6.5 0.3 13.8 5th
6th 0.1 3.6 10.8 1.6 16.1 6th
7th 1.6 10.5 4.8 0.2 17.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 6.5 7.1 0.5 14.6 8th
9th 0.2 3.1 5.8 0.8 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 2.6 0.6 4.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.2 2.0 6.5 14.6 22.4 23.8 17.5 8.9 3.2 0.7 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 69.7% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
13-5 29.5% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.7% 8.3% 8.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.7
13-5 3.2% 10.6% 10.6% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.8
12-6 8.9% 5.7% 5.7% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.4
11-7 17.5% 3.3% 3.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 17.0
10-8 23.8% 1.7% 1.7% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 23.4
9-9 22.4% 0.8% 0.8% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 22.3
8-10 14.6% 0.9% 0.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.5
7-11 6.5% 0.6% 0.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 6.4
6-12 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 12.9 97.7 0.0%