Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#283
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#245
Pace71.8#119
Improvement+2.5#51

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#305
First Shot-3.3#273
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#292
Layup/Dunks-0.9#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#321
Freethrows+2.8#40
Improvement+0.0#182

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#222
First Shot+0.9#133
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#325
Layups/Dunks-2.8#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#6
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows-0.9#244
Improvement+2.5#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.1% 34.9% 27.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 79.6% 91.8% 78.2%
.500 or above in Conference 92.8% 95.3% 92.5%
Conference Champion 35.0% 44.2% 33.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 0.8%
First Four22.9% 23.4% 22.8%
First Round16.1% 22.6% 15.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Away) - 10.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 11 - 5
Quad 416 - 816 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 49 Missouri L 67-88 9%     0 - 1 -13.0 -6.3 -6.2
  Sun, Nov 9 282 Grambling St. L 70-73 61%     0 - 2 -12.6 +0.3 -13.1
  Thu, Nov 13 333 Alcorn St. W 72-64 74%     1 - 2 -5.5 -3.5 -1.6
  Wed, Nov 19 345 @Stetson L 60-64 59%     1 - 3 -12.8 -15.5 +2.7
  Sat, Nov 22 353 Niagara W 80-70 74%     2 - 3 -3.1 -3.9 +0.1
  Sun, Nov 23 2 @Duke L 56-93 1%     2 - 4 -11.3 -4.2 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 29 302 @Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 42%     2 - 5 -8.4 -0.1 -8.3
  Tue, Dec 9 304 N.C. A&T W 73-69 54%     3 - 5 -3.7 -0.6 -3.0
  Sat, Dec 13 227 Hampton W 61-57 40%     4 - 5 +0.0 -10.5 +10.6
  Tue, Dec 16 287 @Drexel W 74-66 39%     5 - 5 +4.3 +3.3 +1.3
  Sat, Dec 20 108 @UNC Wilmington L 64-77 11%    
  Tue, Dec 30 59 @Northwestern L 65-84 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 361 @South Carolina St. W 76-71 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 346 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-66 58%    
  Mon, Jan 12 349 Delaware St. W 74-66 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 350 @NC Central W 71-68 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 358 Morgan St. W 82-71 84%    
  Mon, Jan 26 364 @Coppin St. W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Jan 31 226 Norfolk St. W 68-67 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 361 South Carolina St. W 79-68 85%    
  Mon, Feb 9 78 Yale L 71-82 17%    
  Sat, Feb 14 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-63 77%    
  Mon, Feb 16 349 @Delaware St. W 71-69 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 350 NC Central W 74-65 77%    
  Sat, Feb 28 358 @Morgan St. W 79-74 66%    
  Mon, Mar 2 364 Coppin St. W 81-66 91%    
  Thu, Mar 5 226 @Norfolk St. L 65-71 31%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 5.3 10.6 10.4 5.8 1.6 35.0 1st
2nd 0.1 2.8 9.9 12.3 6.8 1.3 33.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 6.8 5.6 1.2 0.1 15.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.7 2.8 0.5 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.6 0.2 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.1 7.7 12.5 17.3 18.8 17.5 11.7 5.8 1.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
13-1 100.0% 5.8    5.4 0.4
12-2 88.7% 10.4    8.2 2.2 0.0
11-3 60.7% 10.6    5.9 4.3 0.4
10-4 28.1% 5.3    1.6 2.8 0.9 0.1
9-5 7.4% 1.3    0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 35.0% 35.0 22.7 10.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.6% 55.2% 55.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7
13-1 5.8% 49.3% 49.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.9
12-2 11.7% 45.6% 45.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.0 6.4
11-3 17.5% 37.5% 37.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.4 11.0
10-4 18.8% 28.4% 28.4% 16.0 0.0 5.3 13.4
9-5 17.3% 22.7% 22.7% 16.0 3.9 13.3
8-6 12.5% 14.2% 14.2% 16.0 1.8 10.7
7-7 7.7% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.9 6.8
6-8 4.1% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.3 3.8
5-9 2.1% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.2 1.9
4-10 0.8% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-11 0.2% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-12 0.1% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 28.1% 28.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 26.8 71.9 0.0%