Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#229
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#283
Pace64.5#307
Improvement+0.1#180

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#251
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#169
Layup/Dunks-5.6#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#268
Freethrows+3.0#34
Improvement-1.5#293

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#201
First Shot+0.5#149
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#287
Layups/Dunks-3.8#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#43
Freethrows-2.6#326
Improvement+1.5#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.3% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 19.9% 25.0% 8.8%
.500 or above in Conference 35.2% 38.6% 27.6%
Conference Champion 1.6% 1.9% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 9.3% 13.8%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round1.8% 2.2% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Neutral) - 68.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 74 - 11
Quad 49 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 236 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86-90 39%     0 - 1 -5.1 +1.5 -6.1
  Tue, Nov 11 26 @Virginia L 53-91 3%     0 - 2 -20.2 -11.2 -10.6
  Fri, Nov 14 218 @Brown W 72-63 37%     1 - 2 +8.6 +9.9 -0.5
  Sun, Nov 16 289 Holy Cross L 61-67 62%     1 - 3 -13.0 -4.5 -9.6
  Tue, Nov 18 148 @Boston College L 52-63 23%     1 - 4 -7.3 -12.0 +3.8
  Fri, Nov 21 233 @Norfolk St. L 60-62 39%     1 - 5 -3.1 -2.0 -1.4
  Tue, Nov 25 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-68 68%     2 - 5 -2.7 +9.0 -10.9
  Wed, Dec 3 339 Loyola Maryland W 93-71 83%     3 - 5 +7.9 +7.4 -0.5
  Sat, Dec 13 299 Howard L 57-61 64%     3 - 6 -11.6 -15.6 +3.9
  Thu, Dec 18 315 Jackson St. W 70-65 68%    
  Fri, Dec 19 284 Grambling St. W 68-65 60%    
  Mon, Dec 29 197 Stony Brook W 68-67 56%    
  Wed, Dec 31 139 Towson L 64-66 41%    
  Sat, Jan 3 108 @UNC Wilmington L 63-74 16%    
  Thu, Jan 8 228 @Campbell L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 170 @College of Charleston L 66-72 29%    
  Mon, Jan 19 310 N.C. A&T W 75-67 76%    
  Thu, Jan 22 220 Monmouth W 71-68 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 108 UNC Wilmington L 66-71 33%    
  Thu, Jan 29 272 @Drexel L 66-67 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 139 @Towson L 61-69 23%    
  Thu, Feb 5 190 Elon W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 121 William & Mary L 74-78 36%    
  Fri, Feb 13 310 N.C. A&T W 73-68 66%    
  Thu, Feb 19 114 @Hofstra L 63-73 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 197 @Stony Brook L 65-70 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 170 College of Charleston L 69-70 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 209 Northeastern W 70-68 58%    
  Tue, Mar 3 121 @William & Mary L 71-81 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.6 0.8 0.1 6.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 3.9 1.4 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.9 2.3 0.2 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.8 3.6 0.4 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.1 1.2 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.6 2.1 0.1 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.8 2.9 0.2 11.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.6 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.4 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.7 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.9 6.9 10.0 13.5 14.1 14.0 12.2 9.3 6.3 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 55.6% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
12-6 5.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 15.0% 15.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 14.9% 14.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.9% 13.5% 13.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 2.1% 11.7% 11.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 4.0% 6.9% 6.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.7
11-7 6.3% 5.3% 5.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.0
10-8 9.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.0
9-9 12.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.0
8-10 14.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.8
7-11 14.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.0
6-12 13.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.5
5-13 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.0
4-14 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-15 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
2-16 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.6 98.0 0.0%