Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.3 #237
Expected Predictive Rating -6.1 #261
Pace 64.5 #297
Improvement +3.4 #47

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #279 D C D+ B- D-
Defense #171 C- C C D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #310 1.10 #254 -3.8 #306
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% #38 0.71 #249 +2.6 #62
Three Pointers 37% #258 0.93 #286 -3.4 #299
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #314 -4.7 #314
Freethrows 0.33 #109 73% #154 0.24 #107
Second Chance 33.6% #95 0.90 #336 0.30 #205
Turnovers 18.1% #288
Total Offense -4.1 #279

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #69 1.30 #333 -5.5 #348
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #203 0.70 #88 +0.9 #120
Three Pointers 38% #277 0.95 #87 +3.1 #66
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #228 -1.6 #230
Freethrows 0.37 #334 67% #19 0.25 #293
Second Chance 29.8% #147 1.05 #184 0.31 #164
Turnovers 16.2% #194
Total Defense -0.2 #171

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #330 0.9% #246
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.5% #294 2.2% #218
Possession Length 18.8 #312 17.3 #163
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #168 0.21 #309
Improvement -0.6 #219 +4.0 #13

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.5% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.6
.500 or above 5.5% 12.9% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 27.9% 47.0% 20.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 1.6% 6.3%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
First Round1.3% 2.1% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Away) - 27.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 410 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 245 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 40% -6  0 - 1 -6 +1 C C- F -6 C- C- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 22 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2% -24  0 - 2 -18 -9 F C+ C- -10 D+ F A
 Fri, Nov 14 265 @Brown W 72 - 63 44% +4  1 - 2 +6 +9 D A D- -2 F D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 323 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 71% -0  1 - 3 -16 -6 F+ C+ F -11 D F B+
 Tue, Nov 18 131 @Boston College L 52 - 63 20% -12  1 - 4 -6 -10 D- C+ F +3 A- C- C
 Fri, Nov 21 296 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 51% -2  1 - 5 -7 -5 C D F+ -2 C- B+ F+
 Tue, Nov 25 331 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 63% +10  2 - 5 -2 +10 B- C- A- -11 C D- F
 Wed, Dec 3 318 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 78% +15  3 - 5 +10 +9 A+ F D -0 A F A
 Sat, Dec 13 274 Howard L 57 - 61 58% -3  3 - 6 -10 -13 F F B- +3 D+ A+ C-
 Thu, Dec 18 335 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 74% +5  4 - 6 -4 +4 D+ A- F -8 F C D+
 Fri, Dec 19 294 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 62% -7  4 - 7 -16 +1 B- F D -18 F F C+
 Mon, Dec 29 223 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 59% -2  5 - 7 1 - 0 -4 -9 F+ B- D +6 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 168 Towson W 63 - 62 48% +1  6 - 7 2 - 0 -3 +0 D+ C+ F -3 A- D+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 115 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 17% -4  6 - 8 2 - 1 +2 -18 F F C +19 B+ A B+
 Thu, Jan 8 222 @Campbell L 72 - 86 36% -13  6 - 9 2 - 2 -15 -7 D- D+ F -7 D A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 154 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 23% -5  6 - 10 2 - 3 -1 +7 D- B C+ -8 D- C- D-
 Mon, Jan 19 288 N.C. A&T W 82 - 61 71% +5  7 - 10 3 - 3 +11 +11 D+ A+ A+ +2 C A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 199 Monmouth W 65 - 63 54% +3  8 - 10 4 - 3 -3 -3 F B+ C- -0 C- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 115 UNC Wilmington L 67 - 75 34% -3  8 - 11 4 - 4 -8 +5 C+ B+ C -14 D F+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 201 @Drexel L 51 - 58 32% -3  8 - 12 4 - 5 -6 -12 D- F F +5 A D+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 168 @Towson L 61 - 67 27%
 Thu, Feb 5 183 Elon W 73 - 72 51%
 Sat, Feb 7 135 William & Mary L 74 - 77 39%
 Fri, Feb 13 288 N.C. A&T W 74 - 71 60%
 Thu, Feb 19 134 @Hofstra L 64 - 73 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 223 @Stony Brook L 65 - 69 35%
 Thu, Feb 26 154 College of Charleston L 69 - 71 45%
 Sat, Feb 28 252 Northeastern W 77 - 73 64%
 Tue, Mar 3 135 @William & Mary L 71 - 80 20%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -4 -4 D C D+ +0 C- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 1.6 0.2 2.9 3rd
4th 0.4 3.6 0.5 4.5 4th
5th 0.0 2.7 2.6 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.6 6.3 1.1 8.0 6th
7th 0.1 5.6 5.0 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 9.6 1.3 12.3 8th
9th 0.5 8.9 6.0 0.1 15.6 9th
10th 0.5 5.4 10.8 1.0 17.7 10th
11th 0.1 2.8 8.2 3.2 0.0 14.4 11th
12th 0.6 2.5 2.5 0.1 5.7 12th
13th 0.5 0.8 0.2 1.5 13th
Total 1.3 6.6 16.8 24.6 22.9 15.8 8.6 2.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 66.7% 0.1    0.1
12-6 11.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 13.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 2.8% 5.9% 5.9% 14.6 0.1 0.1 2.7
10-8 8.6% 4.2% 4.2% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 8.3
9-9 15.8% 3.0% 3.0% 15.7 0.2 0.3 15.3
8-10 22.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 22.5
7-11 24.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.2 24.4
6-12 16.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.7
5-13 6.6% 6.6
4-14 1.3% 1.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.5 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%