Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#272
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#302
Pace63.3#327
Improvement+0.7#132

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#262
First Shot-2.6#252
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#246
Layup/Dunks-0.7#209
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#141
Freethrows-1.8#289
Improvement+0.1#171

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#247
First Shot-3.0#274
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#127
Layups/Dunks-1.1#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#106
Freethrows-2.1#310
Improvement+0.6#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 12.5% 16.3% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 20.5% 23.1% 15.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 19.5% 17.0% 24.5%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 66.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 93 - 13
Quad 49 - 712 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 173 @Saint Joseph's L 65-76 23%     0 - 1 -9.0 -6.4 -2.3
  Tue, Nov 11 180 @Colgate L 83-90 24%     0 - 2 -5.4 +10.8 -16.3
  Sat, Nov 15 68 Syracuse L 50-80 10%     0 - 3 -22.0 -13.7 -10.9
  Tue, Nov 18 352 NJIT W 75-43 83%     1 - 3 +16.1 -2.0 +18.2
  Fri, Nov 21 256 Penn L 68-84 59%     1 - 4 -24.2 -7.3 -17.6
  Sun, Nov 23 215 Old Dominion W 75-71 52%     2 - 4 -2.4 +3.4 -5.5
  Tue, Nov 25 359 @Morgan St. W 71-66 71%     3 - 4 -6.6 -3.3 -3.0
  Wed, Dec 3 249 @American L 73-75 35%     3 - 5 -3.9 +3.4 -7.4
  Sat, Dec 6 239 La Salle L 64-69 44%     3 - 6 -9.3 -5.6 -4.0
  Tue, Dec 16 299 Howard W 72-67 67%    
  Fri, Dec 19 298 Mount St. Mary's W 71-66 67%    
  Sun, Dec 21 336 Maine W 67-59 77%    
  Mon, Dec 29 170 @College of Charleston L 65-73 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 108 @UNC Wilmington L 61-74 12%    
  Sat, Jan 3 114 Hofstra L 65-71 28%    
  Thu, Jan 8 197 Stony Brook L 67-68 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 121 William & Mary L 72-78 29%    
  Thu, Jan 15 220 @Monmouth L 67-72 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 139 @Towson L 60-70 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 209 Northeastern W 69-68 51%    
  Thu, Jan 29 229 Hampton W 67-66 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 310 N.C. A&T W 73-67 71%    
  Thu, Feb 5 228 @Campbell L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 190 @Elon L 70-77 26%    
  Thu, Feb 12 220 Monmouth W 70-69 52%    
  Mon, Feb 16 197 @Stony Brook L 64-70 28%    
  Thu, Feb 19 209 @Northeastern L 66-72 31%    
  Sat, Feb 21 139 Towson L 63-67 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 228 Campbell W 72-71 54%    
  Tue, Mar 3 114 @Hofstra L 62-74 14%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.4 0.6 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.7 1.3 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.8 4.4 0.7 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.8 1.7 0.1 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.0 3.1 0.2 12.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.3 4.2 0.5 14.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 3.3 6.1 4.3 1.0 0.0 15.7 12th
13th 0.3 1.3 3.2 3.6 2.4 0.6 0.1 11.6 13th
Total 0.3 1.4 4.1 7.3 11.4 14.2 14.9 14.3 11.6 8.7 5.7 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 88.9% 0.0    0.0
15-3 96.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 67.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 7.1% 7.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 10.9% 10.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.7% 8.1% 8.1% 14.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
12-6 1.6% 9.8% 9.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
11-7 3.4% 4.3% 4.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.2
10-8 5.7% 2.1% 2.1% 15.5 0.1 0.1 5.5
9-9 8.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.1 0.1 8.6
8-10 11.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.5
7-11 14.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 14.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.9
5-13 14.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.1
4-14 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.4
3-15 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.3
2-16 4.1% 4.1
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 99.1 0.0%