Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
32 Saint Louis 93.1%   10   27 - 4 15 - 3 +14.1      +7.8 41 +6.3 34 76.3 21 +13.9 39 +13.0 2
49 Virginia Commonwealth 70.3%   11   25 - 7 15 - 3 +11.2      +6.9 49 +4.4 66 71.6 95 +12.4 44 +13.9 1
79 Dayton 12.6%   22 - 10 12 - 6 +7.5      +1.2 133 +6.3 37 67.8 195 +9.4 65 +8.7 4
84 George Washington 0.0%   17 - 15 8 - 10 +6.8      +5.7 64 +1.2 137 72.1 82 +2.1 127 +1.0 9
99 George Mason 0.0%   22 - 9 11 - 7 +5.3      +2.9 99 +2.4 108 61.3 345 +6.8 87 +6.6 5
108 Saint Joseph's 5.1%   20 - 10 13 - 5 +4.1      -1.2 198 +5.3 46 69.9 136 +6.0 92 +8.8 3
114 Davidson 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 8 +3.2      0.0 162 +3.2 87 61.1 348 +4.2 109 +4.4 6
121 Duquesne 0.0%   16 - 15 9 - 9 +2.7      +1.2 136 +1.5 131 71.1 108 +2.6 123 +4.2 7
130 St. Bonaventure 0.0%   16 - 17 4 - 14 +2.0      +3.2 93 -1.2 214 67.5 207 +0.8 143 -4.5 14
136 Rhode Island 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 11 +1.5      -2.6 240 +4.0 72 65.3 264 +1.0 138 +0.4 10
141 Richmond 0.0%   14 - 17 5 - 13 +1.0      +1.7 122 -0.7 198 68.7 169 -1.2 184 -1.9 12
152 Fordham 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 10 +0.4      -3.2 258 +3.6 78 62.4 333 -1.8 194 +2.0 8
216 La Salle 0.0%   8 - 23 5 - 13 -3.2      -2.1 222 -1.1 210 65.1 272 -3.1 219 -1.3 11
245 Loyola Chicago 0.0%   9 - 24 4 - 14 -5.0      -3.7 271 -1.3 218 65.2 269 -5.2 248 -2.8 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 11 245 Loyola Chicago 75 141 Richmond 67   
Wed, Mar 11 216 La Salle 80 130 St. Bonaventure 99   
Thu, Mar 12 99 George Mason 57 130 St. Bonaventure 63   
Thu, Mar 12 114 Davidson 64 245 Loyola Chicago 59   
Thu, Mar 12 121 Duquesne 67 136 Rhode Island 61   
Thu, Mar 12 152 Fordham 62 84 George Washington 66   
Fri, Mar 13 79 Dayton 68 130 St. Bonaventure 63   
Fri, Mar 13 121 Duquesne 66 49 Virginia Commonwealth 71   
Fri, Mar 13 84 George Washington 81 32 Saint Louis 88   
Fri, Mar 13 114 Davidson 58 108 Saint Joseph's 70   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Mar 14 79 Dayton 73 32 Saint Louis 79 74%   
Sat, Mar 14 108 Saint Joseph's 71 49 Virginia Commonwealth 78 75%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Saint Louis 1.0 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth 1.0 100.0
Saint Joseph's 3.0 100.0
Dayton 4.0 100.0
George Mason 5.0 100.0
Davidson 6.0 100.0
Duquesne 7.0 100.0
George Washington 8.0 100.0
Fordham 8.0 100.0
Rhode Island 10.0 100.0
La Salle 11.0 100.0
Richmond 11.0 100.0
Loyola Chicago 13.0 100.0
St. Bonaventure 13.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Saint Louis 15 - 3 28 - 4 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth 15 - 3 26 - 7 100.0
Saint Joseph's 13 - 5 20 - 11 100.0
Dayton 12 - 6 22 - 11 100.0
George Mason 11 - 7 22 - 9 100.0
Davidson 10 - 8 18 - 13 100.0
Duquesne 9 - 9 16 - 15 100.0
George Washington 8 - 10 17 - 15 100.0
Fordham 8 - 10 14 - 15 100.0
Rhode Island 7 - 11 16 - 16 100.0
La Salle 5 - 13 8 - 23 100.0
Richmond 5 - 13 14 - 17 100.0
Loyola Chicago 4 - 14 9 - 24 100.0
St. Bonaventure 4 - 14 16 - 17 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Saint Louis 100.0% 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth 100.0% 100.0
Saint Joseph's
Dayton
George Mason
Davidson
Duquesne
George Washington
Fordham
Rhode Island
La Salle
Richmond
Loyola Chicago
St. Bonaventure


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Saint Louis 93.1% 50.2% 42.9% 10   0.1 0.9 3.2 11.6 26.7 36.2 14.4 0.0 7.0 86.1%
Virginia Commonwealth 70.3% 33.9% 36.5% 11   0.1 0.8 4.9 20.8 42.8 1.0 29.7 55.1%
Dayton 12.6% 10.9% 1.7% 0.0 0.6 9.7 2.2 0.0 87.4 1.9%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.6 3.1 1.3 94.9 0.0%
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Bonaventure 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rhode Island 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Richmond 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.8 26.2 66.6 7.2
1st Round 100.0% 1.6 39.1 57.3 3.6
2nd Round 53.9% 0.6 46.1 45.5 8.4 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 12.1% 0.1 88.0 11.8 0.3
Elite Eight 3.8% 0.0 96.3 3.7 0.0
Final Four 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Saint Louis 93.1% 8.9% 89.4% 41.3% 8.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Virginia Commonwealth 70.3% 24.0% 58.4% 18.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dayton 12.6% 1.7% 11.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 5.1% 0.0% 5.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Bonaventure 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rhode Island 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richmond 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%