Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#116
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#115
Pace69.1#198
Improvement-0.8#229

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#149
First Shot-0.4#185
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#123
Layup/Dunks+1.1#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#301
Freethrows+1.7#90
Improvement-1.4#294

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#88
First Shot+5.3#39
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#326
Layups/Dunks+1.3#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#53
Freethrows+0.1#181
Improvement+0.7#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 2.8% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 12.1
.500 or above 79.3% 80.7% 52.6%
.500 or above in Conference 60.0% 60.8% 45.0%
Conference Champion 2.9% 2.9% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.5% 3.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.7% 2.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 95.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 64 - 9
Quad 35 - 48 - 13
Quad 410 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 346 Stetson W 93-62 94%     1 - 0 +16.1 +8.1 +6.4
  Fri, Nov 7 83 Tulsa L 65-82 35%     1 - 1 -9.9 -2.6 -8.5
  Tue, Nov 11 340 Stonehill W 80-57 94%     2 - 1 +8.7 +1.1 +7.2
  Fri, Nov 14 329 Albany W 80-61 93%     3 - 1 +5.9 +4.9 +2.2
  Tue, Nov 18 79 @Yale W 86-77 25%     4 - 1 +19.4 +17.9 +1.9
  Mon, Nov 24 139 Towson L 55-62 57%     4 - 2 -5.5 -9.4 +2.9
  Tue, Nov 25 185 Vermont W 80-65 68%     5 - 2 +13.3 +11.1 +3.6
  Wed, Nov 26 163 Temple W 90-75 63%     6 - 2 +14.8 +13.5 +1.3
  Tue, Dec 2 219 Brown W 66-56 82%     7 - 2 +3.6 -1.9 +6.1
  Sat, Dec 6 70 @Providence L 71-90 23%     7 - 3 -8.1 +0.2 -8.4
  Tue, Dec 9 71 McNeese St. L 64-66 44%     7 - 4 +2.9 -3.7 +6.6
  Tue, Dec 16 339 Canisius W 75-58 95%    
  Wed, Dec 31 263 Loyola Chicago W 77-65 87%    
  Sat, Jan 3 75 @George Mason L 65-72 25%    
  Wed, Jan 7 238 La Salle W 74-63 83%    
  Sat, Jan 10 128 @Davidson L 69-71 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 48 Virginia Commonwealth L 70-75 34%    
  Wed, Jan 21 102 @Richmond L 72-76 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 75 George Mason L 68-69 45%    
  Tue, Jan 27 72 @Dayton L 68-76 24%    
  Sun, Feb 1 137 @Duquesne L 77-78 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 102 Richmond W 75-73 56%    
  Tue, Feb 10 81 @George Washington L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 198 Fordham W 72-63 79%    
  Tue, Feb 17 42 Saint Louis L 74-79 31%    
  Sat, Feb 21 238 @La Salle W 71-66 66%    
  Wed, Feb 25 113 @St. Bonaventure L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 171 Saint Joseph's W 75-68 74%    
  Wed, Mar 4 137 Duquesne W 80-75 66%    
  Sat, Mar 7 198 @Fordham W 69-66 59%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.1 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.1 4.6 0.9 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.3 3.2 5.6 1.9 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.2 6.1 3.1 0.2 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 5.2 4.2 0.5 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.4 0.9 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.2 1.2 0.1 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.0 1.3 0.1 6.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.0 0.1 4.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.4 7.7 11.1 13.4 15.0 14.3 12.0 8.5 5.5 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 91.0% 0.3    0.3 0.1
15-3 69.6% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1
14-4 34.2% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 8.8% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 17.2% 6.9% 10.3% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.1%
16-2 0.4% 29.7% 23.4% 6.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.2%
15-3 1.3% 16.9% 13.0% 3.9% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.1 4.5%
14-4 2.9% 12.4% 12.0% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.5 0.4%
13-5 5.5% 8.8% 8.7% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.0 0.1%
12-6 8.5% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.0 0.0%
11-7 12.0% 3.5% 3.5% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.6
10-8 14.3% 2.1% 2.1% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 14.0
9-9 15.0% 1.2% 1.2% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.9
8-10 13.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3
7-11 11.1% 0.5% 0.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 7.7% 0.4% 0.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.4
4-14 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.8% 2.7% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.2 0.1%