Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.0 #281
Expected Predictive Rating -9.6 #320
Pace 66.4 #252
Improvement +1.1 #132

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #241 C C- D C- B
Defense #299 C- C F+ C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #197 1.13 #211 -1.0 #218
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #335 0.75 #187 -3.2 #327
Three Pointers 50% #26 0.97 #253 +3.3 #73
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #203 -0.9 #204
Freethrows 0.29 #217 68% #299 0.20 #245
Second Chance 32.2% #140 0.92 #329 0.29 #233
Turnovers 18.6% #313
Total Offense -2.6 #241

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #232 1.05 #57 +3.1 #81
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #132 0.83 #288 -1.3 #290
Three Pointers 41% #170 1.15 #335 -2.9 #298
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #213 -1.1 #213
Freethrows 0.28 #133 78% #362 0.22 #204
Second Chance 31.0% #200 1.05 #198 0.33 #209
Turnovers 12.0% #360
Total Defense -4.3 #299

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.0% #54 -0.6% #117
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.7% #239 2.8% #233
Possession Length 18.1 #258 17.6 #232
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #273 0.19 #239
Improvement -1.8 #278 +2.9 #34

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 87.8% 70.1% 88.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 62 - 9
Quad 31 - 113 - 20
Quad 44 - 57 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 320 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 70% +2  1 - 0 -10 +6 C- F+ A -16 C- F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 306 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 67% -7  1 - 1 -19 -9 D F D- -11 F+ D+ C+
 Sun, Nov 9 140 North Texas L 62 - 64 22% -4  1 - 2 -1 -1 F D+ B +0 C+ A+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 100 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 9% -14  1 - 3 -13 +11 A+ F+ D+ -25 C- F F
 Sun, Nov 16 97 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 19% -12  1 - 4 -11 +3 A- D F -15 C+ F F+
 Fri, Nov 21 310 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 68% -9  1 - 5 -29 -10 C- F F+ -21 F D- F
 Tue, Nov 25 108 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 15% -18  1 - 6 -17 -8 F B C- -12 C- C F
 Wed, Nov 26 249 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 42% -1  1 - 7 -17 -15 C- C F -4 C A- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 304 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 66% +2  2 - 7 -0 +9 D+ B A- -9 F+ C- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 213 Princeton W 73 - 68 47% -1  3 - 7 -1 +5 B- A+ C -6 C+ C+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 358 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 84% -6  3 - 8 -27 -8 F A+ F -18 D- C- D-
 Wed, Dec 17 98 San Francisco L 71 - 85 13% -12  3 - 9 -9 +12 C- A- A+ -23 F B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 50 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 6% +1  4 - 9 +13 +14 A+ D- A+ -2 A+ D F+
 Wed, Dec 31 111 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 11% +7  5 - 9 1 - 0 +11 -3 A B- F +14 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 86 Dayton L 68 - 70 16% +6  5 - 10 1 - 1 +2 +2 B C C -1 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 133 Davidson L 64 - 79 30% -10  5 - 11 1 - 2 -16 -6 F+ B+ C- -12 D D+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 65 @George Washington L 66 - 101 5% -20  5 - 12 1 - 3 -23 -9 B- F F -12 D A F
 Tue, Jan 13 87 George Mason L 74 - 82 16% +3  5 - 13 1 - 4 -4 +9 A A- C+ -15 C F D-
 Fri, Jan 16 86 @Dayton L 51 - 78 7% -6  5 - 14 1 - 5 -17 -13 F D+ F -5 D+ A+ C
 Tue, Jan 20 150 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 84 16% +3  5 - 15 1 - 6 -10 -2 B+ F F -9 B- B+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 116 Duquesne L 59 - 71 25% -4  5 - 16 1 - 7 -12 -12 F+ D+ C -1 C A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 27 137 Saint Joseph's L 64 - 85 31% -20  5 - 17 1 - 8 -23 -3 C- D C -21 F F F+
 Fri, Jan 30 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 67 - 87 3%
 Tue, Feb 3 200 La Salle L 70 - 71 45%
 Fri, Feb 6 133 @Davidson L 64 - 76 14%
 Fri, Feb 13 26 Saint Louis L 67 - 86 4%
 Wed, Feb 18 198 @Fordham L 65 - 73 23%
 Sat, Feb 21 137 @Saint Joseph's L 66 - 77 15%
 Sat, Feb 28 121 Richmond L 71 - 78 27%
 Wed, Mar 4 26 @Saint Louis L 64 - 89 1%
 Sat, Mar 7 65 George Washington L 72 - 84 13%
Totals 6 - 25 2 - 16 -7 -3 C C- D -4 C- C F+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 2.8 1.6 0.1 5.5 12th
13th 0.2 3.7 9.4 6.1 0.9 0.0 20.3 13th
14th 20.5 31.9 17.4 2.7 0.1 72.5 14th
Total 20.7 35.7 27.6 11.9 3.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 0.6% 0.6
5-13 3.5% 3.5
4-14 11.9% 11.9
3-15 27.6% 27.6
2-16 35.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 35.6
1-17 20.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.7
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.1%