George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.5 #65
Expected Predictive Rating +3.5 #115
Pace 73.4 #63
Improvement -1.5 #261

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #49 B+ B+ C C+ A
Defense #113 C C C+ B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #53 1.24 #94 +4.8 #38
2 Pt. Jumpers 7% #364 0.95 #15 -4.6 #356
Three Pointers 50% #30 1.07 #112 +5.7 #27
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #40 +5.8 #40
Freethrows 0.33 #118 73% #152 0.24 #117
Second Chance 36.1% #41 1.16 #51 0.42 #32
Turnovers 16.6% #186
Total Offense +6.7 #49

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #169 1.19 #232 -1.2 #219
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #212 0.66 #43 +1.4 #84
Three Pointers 42% #167 0.98 #129 +0.5 #158
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #159 +0.7 #156
Freethrows 0.28 #98 71% #113 0.20 #96
Second Chance 28.1% #94 1.12 #282 0.31 #169
Turnovers 17.7% #95
Total Defense +1.8 #113

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 4.3% #7 0.5% #207
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 6.8% #73 -1.9% #147
Possession Length 15.7 #45 17.8 #253
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #89 0.18 #217
Improvement -2.5 #314 +1.0 #126

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 10.5% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 11.6
.500 or above 99.4% 99.6% 97.3%
.500 or above in Conference 94.8% 96.1% 82.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round10.0% 10.4% 6.3%
Second Round2.3% 2.4% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Home) - 90.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 23 - 43 - 8
Quad 38 - 311 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 335 Maine W 67 - 47 97% +7  1 - 0 +6 -4 D+ B+ F +11 A A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 8 69 South Florida W 99 - 95 51% +1  2 - 0 +12 +12 A+ B F -1 A+ F+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 220 American W 107 - 67 91% +20  3 - 0 +33 +24 A+ A+ C+ +7 B- D+ B+
 Sat, Nov 15 232 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 92% +11  4 - 0 +16 +16 B A- A+ -1 B- D A+
 Wed, Nov 19 263 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 93% +24  5 - 0 +29 +9 A+ F D +19 A+ B+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 83 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 56% -6  5 - 1 +1 +11 C A+ F -10 C F D
 Mon, Nov 24 144 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 76% +10  6 - 1 +14 +19 A+ D- B+ -5 C F B+
 Tue, Nov 25 101 Murray St. L 95 - 96 63% -1  6 - 2 +4 +18 A- C A+ -14 D F+ C-
 Tue, Dec 2 339 @Army W 84 - 70 93% +5  7 - 2 +6 +8 D- A+ D- -1 F A C
 Sat, Dec 6 132 William & Mary W 99 - 86 82% +4  8 - 2 +12 +16 A+ A A+ -6 C D C
 Wed, Dec 10 297 Delaware L 58 - 70 95% -6  8 - 3 -23 -18 F F F+ -5 F D- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 10 Florida L 70 - 80 15% -8  8 - 4 +10 +5 B B+ C- +5 D A+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 121 @Richmond W 99 - 85 61% +10  9 - 4 1 - 0 +20 +35 A+ A+ C+ -14 F C D
 Sat, Jan 3 200 La Salle W 77 - 55 90% +6  10 - 4 2 - 0 +16 +8 C+ A+ C +10 B+ A+ D
 Tue, Jan 6 86 @Dayton L 72 - 79 45% +1  10 - 5 2 - 1 +3 +7 A A F -4 A F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 281 Loyola Chicago W 101 - 66 95% +20  11 - 5 3 - 1 +25 +14 A C- B- +8 D+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 133 Davidson L 79 - 84 82% -9  11 - 6 3 - 2 -6 +10 D+ A- A+ -17 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 87 @George Mason L 64 - 69 46% -1  11 - 7 3 - 3 +5 -3 C- C D +7 C- C A
 Sat, Jan 24 121 Richmond W 85 - 69 80% +16  12 - 7 4 - 3 +16 +15 B+ A+ C +1 B B- B-
 Tue, Jan 27 26 @Saint Louis L 76 - 79 18% +5  12 - 8 4 - 4 +15 +7 B+ C D- +9 A B- B
 Sat, Jan 31 198 Fordham W 81 - 67 90%
 Wed, Feb 4 137 @Saint Joseph's W 79 - 75 65%
 Sat, Feb 7 116 @Duquesne W 84 - 82 59%
 Tue, Feb 10 111 Rhode Island W 80 - 72 76%
 Fri, Feb 13 87 George Mason W 79 - 74 68%
 Tue, Feb 17 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 80 - 85 33%
 Tue, Feb 24 200 @La Salle W 80 - 72 78%
 Fri, Feb 27 86 Dayton W 79 - 74 67%
 Wed, Mar 4 150 St. Bonaventure W 85 - 74 84%
 Sat, Mar 7 281 @Loyola Chicago W 84 - 72 87%
Totals 19 - 11 11 - 7 +9 +7 B+ B+ C +2 C C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.3 3.2 7.4 3.0 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 4.8 12.5 6.1 0.2 23.8 3rd
4th 0.1 3.6 13.4 7.9 0.7 25.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 7.8 5.9 0.4 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 0.1 3.3 5.3 0.7 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.7 1.3 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 1.6 0.1 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.2 1.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.0 9.8 18.4 25.0 23.9 14.3 3.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 3.3% 24.4% 21.4% 3.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.0 2.5 3.8%
13-5 14.3% 17.7% 17.1% 0.6% 11.1 0.1 2.2 0.3 11.8 0.8%
12-6 23.9% 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 11.3 0.0 2.1 0.9 0.0 20.9 0.0%
11-7 25.0% 8.1% 8.1% 11.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 23.0
10-8 18.4% 6.2% 6.2% 11.8 0.3 0.8 0.1 17.2
9-9 9.8% 3.7% 3.7% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 9.4
8-10 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 12.3 0.1 0.0 3.8
7-11 1.0% 2.9% 2.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 1.0
6-12 0.2% 2.3% 2.3% 13.0 0.0 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.1% 9.9% 0.2% 11.3 89.9 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 10.3 1.4 2.8 11.9 29.4 53.8 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9% 6.7% 11.1 6.1 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0% 2.6% 11.0 2.6