George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#81
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#116
Pace73.3#78
Improvement-5.0#360

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#50
First Shot+5.3#50
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#92
Layup/Dunks+3.5#68
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#59
Freethrows+1.1#109
Improvement-3.1#357

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#147
First Shot+0.6#143
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#195
Layups/Dunks-3.2#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#133
Freethrows+1.6#84
Improvement-1.9#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 13.3% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.7% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.2 11.0 11.4
.500 or above 96.7% 98.9% 94.6%
.500 or above in Conference 88.8% 95.2% 82.8%
Conference Champion 11.9% 17.7% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.7% 1.0% 0.3%
First Round10.3% 12.8% 7.9%
Second Round2.7% 3.5% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 48.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 311 - 10
Quad 49 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 336 Maine W 67-47 96%     1 - 0 +6.2 -4.9 +12.1
  Sat, Nov 8 86 South Florida W 99-95 53%     2 - 0 +10.5 +11.5 -1.7
  Wed, Nov 12 248 American W 107-67 92%     3 - 0 +32.1 +23.0 +6.0
  Sat, Nov 15 216 Old Dominion W 96-73 89%     4 - 0 +16.6 +15.1 +0.5
  Wed, Nov 19 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-52 94%     5 - 0 +27.2 +8.9 +17.7
  Sun, Nov 23 71 McNeese St. L 86-92 48%     5 - 1 +1.9 +13.9 -11.7
  Mon, Nov 24 154 Middle Tennessee W 92-79 75%     6 - 1 +13.2 +17.0 -4.1
  Tue, Nov 25 100 Murray St. L 95-96 59%     6 - 2 +3.9 +19.1 -15.1
  Tue, Dec 2 332 @Army W 84-70 91%     7 - 2 +6.5 +11.1 -4.0
  Sat, Dec 6 121 William & Mary W 99-86 76%     8 - 2 +13.0 +16.6 -4.9
  Wed, Dec 10 282 Delaware L 58-70 93%     8 - 3 -21.5 -17.6 -4.2
  Sat, Dec 13 13 Florida L 70-80 16%     8 - 4 +7.9 +5.1 +3.0
  Wed, Dec 31 102 @Richmond L 80-81 49%    
  Sat, Jan 3 238 La Salle W 82-67 91%    
  Tue, Jan 6 72 @Dayton L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 263 Loyola Chicago W 85-69 93%    
  Wed, Jan 14 128 Davidson W 80-72 77%    
  Mon, Jan 19 75 @George Mason L 73-76 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 102 Richmond W 84-78 70%    
  Tue, Jan 27 42 @Saint Louis L 80-87 25%    
  Sat, Jan 31 198 Fordham W 80-67 88%    
  Wed, Feb 4 171 @Saint Joseph's W 80-75 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 137 @Duquesne W 85-82 60%    
  Tue, Feb 10 116 Rhode Island W 81-74 74%    
  Fri, Feb 13 75 George Mason W 76-73 59%    
  Tue, Feb 17 48 @Virginia Commonwealth L 76-83 27%    
  Tue, Feb 24 238 @La Salle W 79-70 78%    
  Fri, Feb 27 72 Dayton W 79-77 59%    
  Wed, Mar 4 113 St. Bonaventure W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Mar 7 263 @Loyola Chicago W 82-72 81%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 3.2 4.1 2.5 0.8 0.1 11.9 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 5.9 5.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 15.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.6 5.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 15.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.9 5.8 1.4 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.8 1.7 0.1 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.2 5.1 2.0 0.1 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.8 2.5 0.3 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.1 5.8 9.3 13.0 15.8 16.3 14.4 10.3 6.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.9% 0.8    0.7 0.0
16-2 90.7% 2.5    2.1 0.4 0.0
15-3 67.5% 4.1    2.2 1.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 30.6% 3.2    1.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.4% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.9% 11.9 6.3 3.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 72.4% 24.1% 48.3% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 63.6%
17-1 0.8% 52.5% 28.4% 24.2% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 33.7%
16-2 2.8% 35.8% 25.6% 10.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.0 1.8 13.7%
15-3 6.0% 26.3% 22.0% 4.3% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2 0.1 4.4 5.5%
14-4 10.3% 17.8% 16.9% 0.9% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.5 1.0%
13-5 14.4% 14.1% 13.8% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.7 0.0 12.4 0.3%
12-6 16.3% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 11.6 0.0 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.0 14.5 0.0%
11-7 15.8% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 11.7 0.4 0.6 0.1 14.7 0.0%
10-8 13.0% 3.5% 3.5% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.6
9-9 9.3% 2.9% 2.9% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.0
8-10 5.8% 2.0% 2.0% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.7
7-11 3.1% 0.6% 0.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
6-12 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 1.4
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 10.7% 9.7% 0.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.8 3.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 89.4 1.0%