La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.6 #200
Expected Predictive Rating -2.0 #202
Pace 64.2 #305
Improvement +3.1 #49

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #212 D+ C+ D+ B C-
Defense #206 C- C- C A- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #120 1.08 #277 -0.2 #188
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #70 0.77 #150 +2.4 #65
Three Pointers 33% #332 0.98 #230 -4.8 #326
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #252 -2.6 #252
Freethrows 0.35 #59 73% #161 0.25 #70
Second Chance 34.1% #80 1.01 #228 0.34 #122
Turnovers 18.1% #287
Total Offense -1.6 #212

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #162 1.12 #127 +0.2 #167
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #245 0.83 #292 +0.2 #170
Three Pointers 42% #136 1.06 #250 -1.7 #264
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #220 -1.3 #221
Freethrows 0.23 #21 68% #22 0.16 #15
Second Chance 31.5% #227 1.06 #215 0.34 #231
Turnovers 16.6% #172
Total Defense -1.0 #206

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.2% #263 0.8% #235
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.0% #246 1.7% #214
Possession Length 18.5 #291 17.5 #211
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #245 0.18 #209
Improvement +2.9 #47 +0.2 #180

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 12.1% 23.2% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 0.5% 4.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 37.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 72 - 11
Quad 34 - 95 - 20
Quad 45 - 210 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 59 96% +22  1 - 0 +5 -1 C F F+ +5 A- B- C
 Sat, Nov 8 185 Monmouth W 73 - 60 59% +3  2 - 0 +8 +4 C- C+ C +5 C+ C- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 143 @Temple L 63 - 90 26% -16  2 - 1 -23 -5 F C C -19 F F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 112 Penn St. L 69 - 83 28% -11  2 - 2 -11 +2 C- A- F+ -14 F B D-
 Wed, Nov 19 34 Villanova L 55 - 70 11% -11  2 - 3 -4 -3 C+ F+ F -3 F A- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 128 Hofstra L 58 - 63 33% -3  2 - 4 -3 -13 F+ C F +10 C+ A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 29 193 @Penn L 71 - 73 37% +3  2 - 5 -1 +5 F A+ C- -6 D F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 205 Merrimack L 60 - 66 51% -4  2 - 6 -9 -7 C C F -3 C D+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 201 Drexel W 69 - 64 50% +8  3 - 6 +2 +1 C+ C C +2 A+ F D+
 Sat, Dec 13 224 @LIU Brooklyn L 60 - 70 43% -5  3 - 7 -11 -9 F B F -2 B- F B+
 Fri, Dec 19 96 @High Point L 72 - 84 15% -8  3 - 8 -3 +5 D+ D+ B- -9 D- D C-
 Sun, Dec 21 1 @Michigan L 50 - 102 1% -24  3 - 9 -24 -11 F C+ F -10 F A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 31 87 George Mason L 75 - 80 28% +5  3 - 10 0 - 1 -1 +11 C B- A+ -13 A F F
 Sat, Jan 3 65 @George Washington L 55 - 77 10% -6  3 - 11 0 - 2 -10 -10 F+ F B -2 B- F C
 Wed, Jan 7 111 @Rhode Island W 79 - 72 19% +2  4 - 11 1 - 2 +14 +18 A+ A+ C+ -4 D- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 26 Saint Louis L 72 - 84 9% -12  4 - 12 1 - 3 +0 +8 C C+ A+ -9 F B A-
 Wed, Jan 14 121 @Richmond L 53 - 74 21% -8  4 - 13 1 - 4 -15 -15 F F B+ -2 C- B F
 Sat, Jan 17 150 St. Bonaventure W 78 - 74 49% +2  5 - 13 2 - 4 +2 +10 A+ A+ F -8 F A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 21 86 Dayton W 67 - 64 27% +9  6 - 13 3 - 4 +7 +4 C C+ C- +3 A- D- A-
 Wed, Jan 28 198 @Fordham L 65 - 68 38%
 Sat, Jan 31 137 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 47%
 Tue, Feb 3 281 @Loyola Chicago W 71 - 70 55%
 Sat, Feb 7 26 @Saint Louis L 64 - 85 3%
 Wed, Feb 11 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 70 - 80 17%
 Wed, Feb 18 116 @Duquesne L 70 - 79 21%
 Sat, Feb 21 111 Rhode Island L 67 - 70 38%
 Tue, Feb 24 65 George Washington L 72 - 80 22%
 Sun, Mar 1 133 @Davidson L 64 - 71 25%
 Wed, Mar 4 198 Fordham W 68 - 65 59%
 Sat, Mar 7 137 @Saint Joseph's L 66 - 73 26%
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 11 -3 -2 D+ C+ D+ -1 C- C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.3 2.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 1.0 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 3.1 0.3 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 5.5 1.5 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 6.0 5.3 0.3 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 6.6 10.2 1.6 0.0 19.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 6.0 12.2 4.0 0.1 23.0 11th
12th 0.3 3.7 8.5 3.9 0.3 16.7 12th
13th 1.2 4.2 2.4 0.2 8.0 13th
14th 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 14th
Total 2.0 8.8 17.5 23.6 21.5 14.6 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 0.9% 0.9
10-8 3.1% 0.5% 0.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 3.1
9-9 7.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 7.9
8-10 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
7-11 21.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.5
6-12 23.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.6
5-13 17.5% 17.5
4-14 8.8% 8.8
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.4 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%