St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#113
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#68
Pace65.7#281
Improvement-1.3#276

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#125
First Shot+0.6#155
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#119
Layup/Dunks+0.7#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#261
Freethrows-0.3#203
Improvement-2.2#330

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#113
First Shot+2.6#91
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#251
Layups/Dunks+1.8#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows+1.4#94
Improvement+0.8#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.1% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.5 11.5 12.0
.500 or above 94.8% 95.7% 84.2%
.500 or above in Conference 61.6% 62.7% 50.3%
Conference Champion 2.7% 2.8% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.5% 2.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.9% 3.0% 1.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 91.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 33 - 7
Quad 38 - 411 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 117 Bradley W 69-63 51%     1 - 0 +9.2 +3.1 +6.5
  Sat, Nov 8 339 Canisius W 89-70 94%     2 - 0 +4.9 +20.1 -13.3
  Wed, Nov 12 164 Siena W 75-66 74%     3 - 0 +5.7 +8.6 -2.1
  Sat, Nov 15 166 Youngstown St. W 84-80 75%     4 - 0 +0.4 +11.3 -10.9
  Thu, Nov 20 182 Robert Morris W 75-61 78%     5 - 0 +9.4 +2.3 +7.5
  Tue, Nov 25 22 North Carolina L 70-85 14%     5 - 1 +0.2 +3.4 -2.9
  Thu, Nov 27 287 East Carolina W 67-58 83%     6 - 1 +2.1 -8.1 +10.1
  Sun, Nov 30 118 @Florida Atlantic W 70-65 39%     7 - 1 +11.2 +3.6 +8.0
  Sat, Dec 6 209 @Buffalo W 77-69 63%     8 - 1 +7.9 +5.0 +3.3
  Wed, Dec 10 180 Colgate W 85-77 77%     9 - 1 +3.6 +9.6 -5.9
  Sat, Dec 13 175 Ohio L 83-88 OT 67%     9 - 2 -6.0 +0.6 -6.2
  Sat, Dec 20 307 Le Moyne W 83-68 92%    
  Wed, Dec 31 48 @Virginia Commonwealth L 67-77 16%    
  Wed, Jan 7 102 Richmond W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 198 Fordham W 72-63 80%    
  Wed, Jan 14 171 @Saint Joseph's W 71-70 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 238 @La Salle W 70-65 67%    
  Tue, Jan 20 263 Loyola Chicago W 76-64 86%    
  Fri, Jan 23 42 Saint Louis L 73-78 32%    
  Wed, Jan 28 137 @Duquesne L 76-77 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 75 George Mason L 68-69 45%    
  Tue, Feb 3 72 @Dayton L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 198 @Fordham W 69-66 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 137 Duquesne W 79-74 67%    
  Wed, Feb 18 171 Saint Joseph's W 74-67 75%    
  Sat, Feb 21 102 @Richmond L 71-75 35%    
  Wed, Feb 25 116 Rhode Island W 72-69 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 75 @George Mason L 65-72 26%    
  Wed, Mar 4 81 @George Washington L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Mar 7 128 Davidson W 72-68 65%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.2 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.1 4.9 1.1 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.0 1.8 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.1 6.3 3.3 0.2 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 5.2 4.1 0.4 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.8 1.2 0.1 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 1.3 0.1 6.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.0 0.1 3.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.1 7.6 10.6 13.0 15.1 15.0 12.4 8.9 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 92.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 67.8% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 34.1% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 39.1% 17.4% 21.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.3%
16-2 0.3% 31.9% 20.2% 11.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 14.7%
15-3 1.1% 19.2% 15.3% 3.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.9 4.5%
14-4 3.0% 11.5% 10.8% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.7 0.7%
13-5 5.8% 8.2% 7.8% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 5.3 0.4%
12-6 8.9% 6.7% 6.6% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 8.3 0.1%
11-7 12.4% 3.2% 3.2% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.0
10-8 15.0% 2.6% 2.6% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 14.6
9-9 15.1% 1.2% 1.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.9
8-10 13.0% 0.7% 0.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
7-11 10.6% 1.0% 1.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 7.6
5-13 4.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 4.1
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 2.8% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 97.0 0.2%