Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#137
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#204
Pace77.2#29
Improvement+0.4#159

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#127
First Shot+1.9#123
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#203
Layup/Dunks+2.3#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#155
Freethrows+0.8#123
Improvement+1.6#65

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#165
First Shot+0.6#145
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#227
Layups/Dunks+1.5#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#54
Freethrows-4.0#354
Improvement-1.2#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 13.8
.500 or above 35.6% 37.2% 14.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.8% 35.7% 23.4%
Conference Champion 0.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 5.9% 9.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 93.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 62 - 10
Quad 35 - 57 - 15
Quad 48 - 114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 353 Niagara W 83-63 94%     1 - 0 +3.9 +2.4 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 7 254 Sacred Heart W 92-80 82%     2 - 0 +3.8 +8.2 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 11 191 Queens W 87-81 OT 73%     3 - 0 +1.1 -9.2 +9.2
  Sat, Nov 15 37 @Villanova L 77-87 10%     3 - 1 +5.4 +11.0 -5.6
  Wed, Nov 19 338 Loyola Maryland W 92-78 92%     4 - 1 -0.1 +4.9 -5.8
  Sat, Nov 22 211 Northeastern L 86-93 68%     4 - 2 -10.2 -1.1 -8.0
  Tue, Dec 2 121 William & Mary L 79-83 56%     4 - 3 -4.0 -0.8 -2.9
  Sat, Dec 6 197 Stony Brook W 84-75 75%     5 - 3 +3.6 +9.5 -5.8
  Wed, Dec 10 46 @Boise St. L 64-86 13%     5 - 4 -8.0 -0.8 -7.1
  Sat, Dec 13 99 @Nevada L 75-78 27%     5 - 5 +5.0 +8.4 -3.6
  Mon, Dec 22 339 Canisius W 80-64 93%    
  Tue, Dec 30 128 @Davidson L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 48 Virginia Commonwealth L 76-82 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 171 @Saint Joseph's L 76-77 48%    
  Tue, Jan 13 72 Dayton L 76-79 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 198 @Fordham W 74-73 53%    
  Tue, Jan 20 42 Saint Louis L 79-86 26%    
  Sat, Jan 24 263 @Loyola Chicago W 79-75 65%    
  Wed, Jan 28 113 St. Bonaventure W 77-76 54%    
  Sun, Feb 1 116 Rhode Island W 78-77 55%    
  Wed, Feb 4 75 @George Mason L 70-79 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 81 George Washington L 82-85 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 113 @St. Bonaventure L 74-79 33%    
  Wed, Feb 18 238 La Salle W 79-70 79%    
  Sat, Feb 21 72 @Dayton L 73-82 20%    
  Wed, Feb 25 128 Davidson W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 42 @Saint Louis L 76-89 12%    
  Wed, Mar 4 116 @Rhode Island L 75-80 34%    
  Sat, Mar 7 102 Richmond L 80-81 50%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.3 0.1 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.4 0.3 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 3.6 0.8 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.3 4.9 1.8 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 5.5 3.6 0.3 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 5.4 4.9 1.0 12.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.7 5.6 1.5 0.0 12.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.9 5.4 1.8 0.1 12.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.3 4.2 1.6 0.1 10.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.7 6.9 10.1 13.0 14.7 14.5 12.7 9.0 6.3 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 95.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 66.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 43.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.3% 14.1% 14.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.8% 8.3% 8.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.9% 7.1% 7.1% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.7% 5.1% 5.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.5
11-7 6.3% 3.8% 3.8% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.1
10-8 9.0% 1.9% 1.9% 12.4 0.1 0.1 8.9
9-9 12.7% 0.9% 0.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.6
8-10 14.5% 0.6% 0.6% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4
7-11 14.7% 0.5% 0.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 14.7
6-12 13.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 13.0
5-13 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
4-14 6.9% 6.9
3-15 3.7% 3.7
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.9 0.0%