Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.1 #116
Expected Predictive Rating -0.2 #165
Pace 75.4 #36
Improvement +2.4 #77

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #130 B- C D+ B B+
Defense #117 C+ C+ C D C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #93 1.26 #74 +4.1 #51
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% #346 0.67 #308 -4.4 #353
Three Pointers 48% #44 1.01 #197 +3.4 #70
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #89 +3.1 #88
Freethrows 0.35 #44 71% #220 0.25 #74
Second Chance 30.0% #204 1.10 #111 0.33 #155
Turnovers 18.2% #290
Total Offense +1.5 #130

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #152 1.14 #145 -0.3 #187
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #86 0.74 #145 -1.0 #259
Three Pointers 37% #294 0.98 #126 +2.9 #72
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #130 +1.6 #132
Freethrows 0.35 #316 73% #229 0.26 #320
Second Chance 27.1% #62 1.07 #226 0.29 #102
Turnovers 16.3% #186
Total Defense +1.6 #117

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.1% #21 -0.6% #114
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.9% #130 -2.6% #132
Possession Length 15.7 #46 17.3 #174
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #36 0.21 #318
Improvement +0.6 #150 +1.8 #80

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 13.0
.500 or above 47.0% 56.3% 26.1%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 53.8% 23.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.2% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Home) - 69.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 22 - 52 - 10
Quad 35 - 57 - 14
Quad 48 - 115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 349 Niagara W 83 - 63 95% +17  1 - 0 +5 +2 A C- F +2 B B A-
 Fri, Nov 7 277 Sacred Heart W 92 - 80 88% +7  2 - 0 +2 +7 F B+ A+ -5 B C+ F+
 Tue, Nov 11 186 Queens W 87 - 81 OT 78% +9  3 - 0 +1 -8 D+ F+ F +8 B+ A+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 34 @Villanova L 77 - 87 10% -6  3 - 1 +7 +12 A+ D+ F -5 A+ F B+
 Wed, Nov 19 323 Loyola Maryland W 92 - 78 93% +12  4 - 1 +1 +6 B A F -6 D B- D+
 Sat, Nov 22 259 Northeastern L 86 - 93 79% -3  4 - 2 -12 -7 C+ F F -4 F A- A+
 Tue, Dec 2 132 William & Mary L 79 - 83 67% -8  4 - 3 -5 -1 D A+ F -4 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 236 Stony Brook W 84 - 75 84% +8  5 - 3 +2 +9 A F+ C- -7 B- D+ F
 Wed, Dec 10 59 @Boise St. L 64 - 86 19% -12  5 - 4 -10 -3 D- C+ C+ -7 C D+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 74 @Nevada L 75 - 78 23% -5  5 - 5 +8 +10 C A- D -2 B+ D- C-
 Mon, Dec 22 341 Canisius W 103 - 59 94% +22  6 - 5 +29 +22 A+ C+ C +6 C- C+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 133 @Davidson W 89 - 83 2OT 44% -3  7 - 5 1 - 0 +11 +10 C B B +0 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 80 - 93 34% -7  7 - 6 1 - 1 -6 +7 A+ D- C- -13 C F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 137 @Saint Joseph's L 90 - 97 OT 45% +0  7 - 7 1 - 2 -3 +10 A- B- D- -12 F C+ D
 Tue, Jan 13 86 Dayton L 65 - 71 48% -5  7 - 8 1 - 3 -2 +2 C F A -5 C- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 198 @Fordham W 74 - 63 59% +6  8 - 8 2 - 3 +12 +2 B- D+ F+ +9 A B- C
 Tue, Jan 20 26 Saint Louis L 77 - 81 19% -5  8 - 9 2 - 4 +8 +4 D+ A+ D- +5 A D+ A-
 Sat, Jan 24 281 @Loyola Chicago W 71 - 59 75% +4  9 - 9 3 - 4 +8 -2 C+ F D- +11 A B D
 Wed, Jan 28 150 St. Bonaventure W 81 - 75 69%
 Sun, Feb 1 111 Rhode Island W 75 - 73 59%
 Wed, Feb 4 87 @George Mason L 72 - 78 27%
 Sat, Feb 7 65 George Washington L 82 - 84 41%
 Sat, Feb 14 150 @St. Bonaventure L 77 - 78 48%
 Wed, Feb 18 200 La Salle W 79 - 70 79%
 Sat, Feb 21 86 @Dayton L 71 - 78 27%
 Wed, Feb 25 133 Davidson W 76 - 71 67%
 Sat, Feb 28 26 @Saint Louis L 74 - 89 8%
 Wed, Mar 4 111 @Rhode Island L 72 - 76 37%
 Sat, Mar 7 121 Richmond W 80 - 77 62%
Totals 14 - 15 8 - 10 +3 +2 B- C D+ +2 C+ C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 3.5 0.8 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.7 2.1 0.1 9.2 5th
6th 0.3 5.9 4.8 0.2 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 3.3 7.9 1.4 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 8.9 4.4 0.2 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 6.6 7.7 0.8 0.0 15.8 9th
10th 0.2 3.7 7.5 1.7 0.0 13.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 4.7 2.1 0.1 8.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.7 0.1 4.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.1 1.0 4.1 10.8 17.5 22.1 20.4 14.2 7.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 14.3% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 5.4% 5.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 2.4% 7.4% 7.4% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.2
11-7 7.0% 3.2% 3.2% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.7
10-8 14.2% 1.7% 1.7% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.9
9-9 20.4% 1.0% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 20.2
8-10 22.1% 0.6% 0.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 21.9
7-11 17.5% 0.8% 0.8% 14.6 0.1 0.1 17.4
6-12 10.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 10.7
5-13 4.1% 4.1
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 12.5 98.8 0.0%