Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
3 Arizona 100.0%   1   32 - 2 16 - 2 +25.9      +13.1 4 +12.8 3 73.8 42 +30.5 1 +26.2 1
5 Houston 100.0%   2   28 - 6 14 - 4 +22.8      +11.2 13 +11.6 7 60.7 353 +22.3 4 +21.9 2
6 Iowa St. 100.0%   3   27 - 7 12 - 6 +22.6      +10.1 22 +12.5 5 67.5 207 +20.6 11 +17.5 5
18 Texas Tech 100.0%   5   22 - 10 12 - 6 +18.2      +11.1 15 +7.1 26 66.2 242 +18.4 19 +18.7 4
21 Kansas 100.0%   5   23 - 10 12 - 6 +17.2      +6.4 55 +10.9 10 68.6 174 +18.8 18 +19.1 3
23 BYU 100.0%   6   23 - 11 9 - 9 +16.7      +11.5 11 +5.3 46 73.7 45 +16.6 23 +13.9 7
41 Cincinnati 11.9%   18 - 15 9 - 9 +13.3      +2.2 113 +11.1 9 68.9 163 +10.2 58 +13.7 8
43 TCU 93.4%   8   22 - 11 11 - 7 +13.1      +5.0 73 +8.0 21 68.5 178 +15.1 34 +16.0 6
46 Baylor 0.0%   15 - 16 6 - 12 +11.9      +9.6 26 +2.3 114 69.1 158 +10.1 63 +10.1 12
53 Central Florida 78.6%   10   21 - 11 9 - 9 +10.8      +7.7 42 +3.1 90 72.3 79 +14.6 36 +13.1 9
55 West Virginia 13.6%   18 - 14 9 - 9 +10.5      +1.2 135 +9.3 17 59.5 362 +10.2 57 +12.9 10
58 Oklahoma St. 6.0%   19 - 14 6 - 12 +9.7      +8.1 38 +1.6 130 78.4 9 +11.6 47 +9.4 14
66 Arizona St. 1.1%   17 - 16 7 - 11 +9.1      +4.5 77 +4.6 58 71.9 88 +11.3 51 +10.2 11
67 Colorado 0.1%   17 - 15 7 - 11 +8.9      +6.6 52 +2.3 116 70.8 110 +9.0 67 +10.1 13
97 Kansas St. 0.0%   12 - 20 3 - 15 +5.4      +2.6 106 +2.7 102 79.6 6 +5.5 98 +3.6 15
108 Utah 0.0%   10 - 22 2 - 16 +4.1      +4.4 81 -0.3 184 66.4 232 +2.5 124 +1.1 16


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Mar 10 67 Colorado 83 58 Oklahoma St. 92   
Tue, Mar 10 23 BYU 105 97 Kansas St. 91   
Tue, Mar 10 41 Cincinnati 73 108 Utah 66   
Tue, Mar 10 66 Arizona St. 83 46 Baylor 79   
Wed, Mar 11 58 Oklahoma St. 88 43 TCU 95   
Wed, Mar 11 41 Cincinnati 65 53 Central Florida 66   
Wed, Mar 11 23 BYU 68 55 West Virginia 48   
Wed, Mar 11 66 Arizona St. 42 6 Iowa St. 91   
Thu, Mar 12 23 BYU 66 5 Houston 73   
Thu, Mar 12 21 Kansas 78 43 TCU 73   
Thu, Mar 12 6 Iowa St. 75 18 Texas Tech 53   
Thu, Mar 12 3 Arizona 81 53 Central Florida 59   
Fri, Mar 13 3 Arizona 82 6 Iowa St. 80   
Fri, Mar 13 5 Houston 69 21 Kansas 47   
Sat, Mar 14 3 Arizona 79 5 Houston 74   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Arizona 1.0 100.0
Houston 2.0 100.0
Kansas 3.0 100.0
Iowa St. 3.0 100.0
Texas Tech 3.0 100.0
TCU 6.0 100.0
Cincinnati 7.0 100.0
Central Florida 7.0 100.0
West Virginia 7.0 100.0
BYU 7.0 100.0
Colorado 11.0 100.0
Arizona St. 11.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 13.0 100.0
Baylor 13.0 100.0
Kansas St. 15.0 100.0
Utah 16.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Arizona 16 - 2 32 - 2 100.0
Houston 14 - 4 28 - 6 100.0
Kansas 12 - 6 23 - 10 100.0
Iowa St. 12 - 6 27 - 7 100.0
Texas Tech 12 - 6 22 - 10 100.0
TCU 11 - 7 22 - 11 100.0
Cincinnati 9 - 9 18 - 15 100.0
Central Florida 9 - 9 21 - 11 100.0
West Virginia 9 - 9 18 - 14 100.0
BYU 9 - 9 23 - 11 100.0
Colorado 7 - 11 17 - 15 100.0
Arizona St. 7 - 11 17 - 16 100.0
Oklahoma St. 6 - 12 19 - 14 100.0
Baylor 6 - 12 15 - 16 100.0
Kansas St. 3 - 15 12 - 20 100.0
Utah 2 - 16 10 - 22 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Arizona 100.0% 100.0
Houston
Kansas
Iowa St.
Texas Tech
TCU
Cincinnati
Central Florida
West Virginia
BYU
Colorado
Arizona St.
Oklahoma St.
Baylor
Kansas St.
Utah


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Arizona 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   99.4 0.6
Houston 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   29.3 60.4 9.3 1.0 0.0 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   4.2 37.3 36.3 19.5 2.7 0.1 100.0%
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 0.6 4.7 15.2 48.0 28.8 2.6 0.1 100.0%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 0.6 12.2 30.9 47.0 9.0 0.2 100.0%
BYU 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6   0.3 1.1 13.1 52.9 29.2 3.3 0.1 100.0%
Cincinnati 11.9% 0.0% 11.9% 0.0 0.5 9.9 1.5 0.0 88.1 11.9%
TCU 93.4% 0.0% 93.4% 8   0.1 3.4 22.2 38.5 26.0 3.2 0.1 6.6 93.4%
Baylor 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Florida 78.6% 0.0% 78.6% 10   0.0 0.2 4.2 23.5 39.9 10.8 0.0 21.4 78.6%
West Virginia 13.6% 0.0% 13.6% 0.0 1.1 11.2 1.3 0.0 86.4 13.6%
Oklahoma St. 6.0% 0.0% 6.0% 3.2 2.6 0.2 94.0 6.0%
Arizona St. 1.1% 0.0% 1.1% 0.5 0.4 0.2 98.9 1.1%
Colorado 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 8.0 0.9 16.8 60.9 19.7 1.7 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 7.9 1.1 22.8 64.4 11.4 0.4
2nd Round 100.0% 6.2 0.3 4.0 18.9 39.9 30.4 6.3 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 99.9% 3.6 0.1 1.5 10.8 31.6 37.3 16.0 2.7 0.1
Elite Eight 96.1% 2.0 3.9 23.5 44.1 23.6 4.7 0.3
Final Four 79.3% 1.1 20.7 50.3 25.9 3.0 0.1
Final Game 52.2% 0.6 47.8 46.2 6.1
Champion 29.9% 0.3 70.1 29.9

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Arizona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.8% 86.6% 65.7% 48.0% 29.0% 16.9%
Houston 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.1% 79.0% 51.0% 27.3% 14.0% 6.8%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.4% 74.5% 45.8% 22.4% 11.1% 5.1%
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 84.6% 43.4% 15.0% 5.9% 1.9% 0.7%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 86.8% 41.6% 11.8% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3%
BYU 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 72.1% 27.7% 10.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Cincinnati 11.9% 11.1% 7.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TCU 93.4% 0.0% 93.4% 44.1% 6.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Baylor 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Florida 78.6% 7.1% 75.1% 24.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
West Virginia 13.6% 11.9% 7.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 6.0% 6.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arizona St. 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%