IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.3	#67
Expected Predictive Rating	+8.4	#72

Pace	79.5	#14
Improvement	-2.9	#339

Offense
Total Offense	+5.6	#62

First Shot	+4.1	#75
After Offensive Rebound	+1.6	#87

Layup/Dunks	+3.9	#61
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.8	#319
3 Pt Jumpshots	+3.8	#70
Freethrows	-0.8	#230

Improvement	-1.2	#282

Defense
Total Defense	+2.7	#90

First Shot	+3.3	#72
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.6	#235

Layups/Dunks	-0.9	#211
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.7	#63
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.8	#120
Freethrows	+0.6	#140

Improvement	-1.7	#306

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.9%	0.9%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.8%	16.3%	6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	15.7%	16.2%	6.1%
Average Seed	9.2	9.2	9.7

.500 or above	48.3%	49.7%	21.5%
.500 or above in Conference	19.7%	20.1%	11.4%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	11.5%	11.3%	16.4%

First Four	4.4%	4.5%	2.4%
First Round	13.5%	13.9%	5.0%
Second Round	5.7%	5.8%	2.6%
Sweet Sixteen	1.0%	1.0%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 95.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 8	1 - 8
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 12
Quad 2	5 - 3	8 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 1	11 - 16
Quad 4	5 - 0	16 - 16

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Tue, Nov 4	281 UNC Greensboro	W	93-64	94%	1 - 0			+19.5	+2.7	+13.2
Sat, Nov 8	295 Bellarmine	W	98-71	95%	2 - 0			+16.6	+15.1	+1.1
Thu, Nov 13	82 California	W	99-96	65%	3 - 0			+7.3	+17.2	-10.2
Mon, Nov 17	83 Tulsa	W	84-83	66%	4 - 0			+5.1	+4.1	+0.9
Thu, Nov 20	80 Mississippi St.	W	98-77	54%	5 - 0			+28.3	+22.0	+4.9
Fri, Nov 21	26 Nebraska	L	85-86	26%	5 - 1			+13.9	+12.4	+1.5
Tue, Nov 25	27 @Indiana	L	69-86	18%	5 - 2			+0.8	-0.3	+2.5
Mon, Dec 1	125 Bowling Green	L	66-82	80%	5 - 3			-16.6	+0.2	-18.2
Sat, Dec 6	56 Seton Hall	L	67-78	57%	5 - 4			-4.4	-6.8	+3.4
Mon, Dec 8	365 Mississippi Valley	W	108-49	99.5%	6 - 4			+33.3	+16.0	+12.6
Sat, Dec 13	59 @Creighton	W	83-76	35%	7 - 4			+19.3	+19.4	+0.2
Sat, Dec 20	278 South Dakota	W	97-80	95%
Sun, Dec 28	358 Louisiana Monroe	W	95-69	99%
Sat, Jan 3	9 BYU	L	77-85	23%
Wed, Jan 7	3 @Arizona	L	76-93	5%
Sat, Jan 10	61 @Arizona St.	L	80-84	36%
Wed, Jan 14	57 Central Florida	W	87-85	56%
Sat, Jan 17	53 @Oklahoma St.	L	87-92	33%
Tue, Jan 20	120 Utah	W	87-79	77%
Sat, Jan 24	17 Kansas	L	74-80	30%
Tue, Jan 27	63 @West Virginia	L	73-76	38%
Sun, Feb 1	4 Iowa St.	L	76-87	17%
Sat, Feb 7	45 @TCU	L	76-82	30%
Wed, Feb 11	78 Cincinnati	W	81-77	63%
Sat, Feb 14	8 @Houston	L	66-81	9%
Tue, Feb 17	32 Baylor	L	85-87	43%
Sat, Feb 21	24 @Texas Tech	L	76-86	19%
Wed, Feb 25	62 @Colorado	L	82-86	38%
Sat, Feb 28	45 TCU	W	79-78	51%
Tue, Mar 3	63 West Virginia	W	76-73	60%
Sat, Mar 7	17 @Kansas	L	71-83	15%
Projected Record					15 - 16	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1						0.7	3rd
4th											0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.0						1.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	1.0	1.2	0.4	0.0							2.8	5th
6th									0.1	1.2	2.1	0.8	0.1								4.3	6th
7th								0.0	0.7	3.3	1.6	0.2									5.8	7th
8th								0.3	3.1	3.2	0.5	0.0									7.1	8th
9th							0.1	2.1	4.8	1.3	0.0										8.4	9th
10th						0.0	1.0	5.3	2.9	0.2	0.0										9.3	10th
11th						0.3	4.3	4.9	0.7												10.2	11th
12th					0.1	2.5	6.1	2.1	0.1												10.9	12th
13th				0.1	1.4	5.9	3.9	0.3	0.0												11.5	13th
14th			0.1	1.0	4.4	4.9	0.8	0.0													11.3	14th
15th		0.1	1.0	3.6	4.2	1.2	0.0														10.1	15th
16th	0.2	0.9	2.1	2.0	0.8	0.1															6.0	16th

Total	0.2	1.0	3.2	6.6	10.8	14.8	16.2	15.0	12.5	9.3	5.4	2.9	1.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0					Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	75.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	42.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	19.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	2.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%									0.0	0.0
15-3	0.0%									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	0.2%		100.0%	3.5%	96.5%	5.7				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
13-5	0.5%		100.0%	2.1%	97.9%	6.4					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0										100.0%
12-6	1.4%		99.0%	1.5%	97.5%	7.5					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0							0.0		99.0%
11-7	2.9%		92.4%	1.7%	90.7%	8.2						0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.7	0.3	0.0						0.2		92.3%
10-8	5.4%		77.5%	0.6%	76.9%	9.1							0.1	0.2	0.9	1.5	1.2	0.4	0.0					1.2		77.4%
9-9	9.3%		49.8%	0.4%	49.4%	10.0							0.0	0.0	0.4	0.8	1.6	1.8	0.0					4.7		49.6%
8-10	12.5%		15.3%	0.2%	15.0%	10.8								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.4	0.1					10.6		15.1%
7-11	15.0%		2.2%	0.0%	2.2%	11.0										0.0	0.0	0.3	0.0					14.7		2.2%
6-12	16.2%		0.2%	0.1%	0.2%	11.0												0.0						16.1		0.2%
5-13	14.8%																							14.8
4-14	10.8%																							10.8
3-15	6.6%																							6.6
2-16	3.2%																							3.2
1-17	1.0%																							1.0
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		15.8%	0.2%	15.6%	9.2				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.7	3.2	3.5	3.9	0.2					84.2		15.7%