Creighton
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#59
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#101
Pace65.4#283
Improvement-1.0#245

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#60
First Shot+4.9#60
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#125
Layup/Dunks+1.0#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#30
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-0.5#218

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#71
First Shot+3.9#58
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#217
Layups/Dunks-4.1#312
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#63
Freethrows+5.5#4
Improvement-0.5#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.0% 1.7% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.9% 26.3% 12.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.5% 23.4% 10.9%
Average Seed 9.4 9.2 9.7
.500 or above 54.0% 67.8% 42.7%
.500 or above in Conference 52.4% 66.3% 41.0%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 2.1% 7.8%
First Four5.3% 6.6% 4.2%
First Round16.3% 22.9% 10.8%
Second Round7.2% 10.2% 4.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 2.6% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 44.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 11
Quad 25 - 48 - 15
Quad 34 - 111 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 278 South Dakota W 92-76 95%     1 - 0 +6.8 +8.7 -2.5
  Tue, Nov 11 5 @Gonzaga L 63-90 8%     1 - 1 -2.2 -0.9 -0.2
  Fri, Nov 14 343 Maryland Eastern Shore W 84-45 98%     2 - 1 +24.4 +12.7 +15.0
  Wed, Nov 19 342 North Dakota W 75-60 98%     3 - 1 +0.5 +3.3 -1.5
  Mon, Nov 24 32 Baylor L 74-81 35%     3 - 2 +6.3 +7.0 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 25 4 Iowa St. L 60-78 12%     3 - 3 +3.9 +0.2 +3.1
  Thu, Nov 27 66 Oregon W 76-66 54%     4 - 3 +18.3 +9.2 +9.5
  Tue, Dec 2 258 Nicholls St. W 96-76 94%     5 - 3 +11.6 +22.7 -10.6
  Sun, Dec 7 26 @Nebraska L 50-71 21%     5 - 4 -3.1 -10.0 +4.9
  Sat, Dec 13 67 Kansas St. L 76-83 65%     5 - 5 -1.7 +8.2 -10.3
  Wed, Dec 17 77 @Xavier L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Dec 20 88 Marquette W 77-71 73%    
  Mon, Dec 22 262 Utah Tech W 80-62 95%    
  Tue, Dec 30 54 Butler W 78-76 59%    
  Sun, Jan 4 56 @Seton Hall L 67-70 38%    
  Wed, Jan 7 37 @Villanova L 66-72 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 16 St. John's L 73-78 32%    
  Tue, Jan 13 101 Georgetown W 77-70 75%    
  Fri, Jan 16 70 @Providence L 79-81 44%    
  Wed, Jan 21 77 Xavier W 76-71 67%    
  Tue, Jan 27 88 @Marquette W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 6 Connecticut L 65-73 23%    
  Wed, Feb 4 101 @Georgetown W 74-73 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 56 Seton Hall W 70-67 60%    
  Wed, Feb 11 114 @DePaul W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 37 Villanova L 69-70 50%    
  Wed, Feb 18 6 @Connecticut L 62-76 10%    
  Sat, Feb 21 16 @St. John's L 70-81 16%    
  Wed, Feb 25 114 DePaul W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Feb 28 70 Providence W 82-78 65%    
  Wed, Mar 4 54 @Butler L 75-79 38%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 3.9 4.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 5.7 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.1 4.5 1.2 0.1 14.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.1 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.4 3.7 0.7 0.1 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.8 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 3.8 6.4 9.4 11.8 13.2 13.5 12.8 10.2 7.2 4.5 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 68.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 41.7% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 15.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 13.9% 86.1% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.1% 97.9% 14.7% 83.2% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.5%
15-5 2.5% 91.1% 12.3% 78.8% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 89.8%
14-6 4.5% 79.4% 9.7% 69.6% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.9 77.1%
13-7 7.2% 60.9% 5.9% 55.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.6 0.9 0.0 2.8 58.5%
12-8 10.2% 37.1% 4.3% 32.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.7 0.1 6.4 34.3%
11-9 12.8% 17.4% 2.9% 14.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.1 10.6 14.9%
10-10 13.5% 4.9% 2.4% 2.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.8 2.5%
9-11 13.2% 1.4% 1.3% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.0 0.1%
8-12 11.8% 0.5% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8
7-13 9.4% 0.6% 0.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3
6-14 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.3
5-15 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-16 1.9% 1.9
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 18.9% 2.9% 16.0% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.7 3.6 4.7 5.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.1 16.5%