Kansas
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +17.9 #17
Expected Predictive Rating +17.5 #18
Pace 68.2 #200
Improvement +1.7 #105

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #32 B B+ B+ B- C
Defense #11 A+ A- D+ A B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #153 1.39 #7 +5.2 #28
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #144 0.71 #242 +0.2 #167
Three Pointers 38% #240 1.09 #83 -0.1 #181
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #48 +5.3 #48
Freethrows 0.31 #150 77% #44 0.24 #108
Second Chance 32.8% #118 1.26 #10 0.41 #36
Turnovers 13.4% #27
Total Offense +8.3 #32

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #328 0.97 #12 +6.8 #16
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #117 0.58 #7 +1.4 #86
Three Pointers 46% #51 0.79 #2 +2.7 #78
1st FG Attempt 0.80 #2 +11.0 #2
Freethrows 0.22 #11 67% #17 0.15 #8
Second Chance 26.1% #41 0.81 #6 0.21 #7
Turnovers 14.4% #305
Total Defense +9.6 #11

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.3% #206 -1.3% #74
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 10.7% #34 -20.4% #3
Possession Length 16.4 #86 18.5 #331
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #87 0.10 #18
Improvement +2.4 #67 -0.7 #227

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.4% 2.0% 0.5%
Top 2 Seed 6.5% 9.4% 2.3%
Top 4 Seed 39.8% 50.3% 25.0%
Top 6 Seed 81.5% 89.0% 70.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.6% 99.9% 99.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.5% 99.9% 99.0%
Average Seed 5.0 4.5 5.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.3% 99.3% 94.5%
Conference Champion 2.7% 4.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% 0.1% 1.3%
First Round99.4% 99.9% 98.7%
Second Round83.3% 87.0% 78.1%
Sweet Sixteen43.8% 48.6% 36.9%
Elite Eight18.8% 21.6% 14.8%
Final Four8.2% 9.4% 6.6%
Championship Game3.4% 4.0% 2.6%
National Champion1.4% 1.7% 1.0%

Next Game: BYU (Home) - 58.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 85 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 28 - 10
Quad 28 - 015 - 10
Quad 34 - 019 - 10
Quad 44 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 243 Green Bay W 94 - 51 98% +23  1 - 0 +35 +22 A+ D+ A+ +17 A+ A+ D-
 Fri, Nov 7 29 @North Carolina L 74 - 87 51% -2  1 - 1 +5 +7 A- A- F -2 D- A+ B
 Tue, Nov 11 188 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77 - 46 97% +19  2 - 1 +26 +4 A+ C F +21 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Nov 15 213 Princeton W 76 - 57 98% +6  3 - 1 +13 +0 C+ D F +12 A+ C+ B-
 Tue, Nov 18 3 Duke L 66 - 78 30% -3  3 - 2 +11 +9 C+ A+ A+ +2 A+ B D-
 Mon, Nov 24 81 Notre Dame W 71 - 61 84% +6  4 - 2 +17 +7 B B C+ +11 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 77 Syracuse W 71 - 60 83% +7  5 - 2 +19 +7 C+ A+ F +12 A+ B- F
 Wed, Nov 26 20 Tennessee W 81 - 76 53% -3  6 - 2 +22 +18 B B A+ +4 A- A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 9 Connecticut L 56 - 61 54% +2  6 - 3 +12 -0 C D- B+ +12 A+ C A-
 Sun, Dec 7 54 Missouri W 80 - 60 85% +8  7 - 3 +27 +14 C+ A+ A- +14 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 24 @North Carolina St. W 77 - 76 OT 47% +1  8 - 3 +20 +7 B- D A+ +12 A+ A+ D-
 Tue, Dec 16 164 Towson W 73 - 49 97% +14  9 - 3 +21 +8 C- A+ B +15 A+ B+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 133 Davidson W 90 - 61 95% +20  10 - 3 +28 +13 A+ A+ D- +14 A+ B A
 Sat, Jan 3 49 @Central Florida L 75 - 81 66% -2  10 - 4 0 - 1 +8 +8 D+ A- C -0 A B F
 Tue, Jan 6 44 TCU W 104 - 100 OT 81% -4  11 - 4 1 - 1 +13 +18 A B A+ -6 D+ D B+
 Sat, Jan 10 56 @West Virginia L 75 - 86 69% -1  11 - 5 1 - 2 +2 +14 B- B A+ -13 D D+ D+
 Tue, Jan 13 7 Iowa St. W 84 - 63 52% +15  12 - 5 2 - 2 +38 +27 A+ C+ A+ +13 A+ A+ A-
 Fri, Jan 16 45 Baylor W 80 - 62 81% +11  13 - 5 3 - 2 +27 +13 A- D- A+ +15 A+ A+ B
 Tue, Jan 20 82 @Colorado W 75 - 69 77% +4  14 - 5 4 - 2 +16 +8 C+ A D+ +9 A+ C F
 Sat, Jan 24 88 @Kansas St. W 86 - 62 79% +5  15 - 5 5 - 2 +33 +24 B+ A+ B +11 A+ A- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 14 BYU W 77 - 75 59%
 Mon, Feb 2 15 @Texas Tech L 74 - 77 38%
 Sat, Feb 7 104 Utah W 85 - 69 94%
 Mon, Feb 9 2 Arizona L 75 - 78 39%
 Sat, Feb 14 7 @Iowa St. L 71 - 76 31%
 Wed, Feb 18 63 @Oklahoma St. W 83 - 77 72%
 Sat, Feb 21 55 Cincinnati W 75 - 64 85%
 Mon, Feb 23 4 Houston L 69 - 70 49%
 Sat, Feb 28 2 @Arizona L 72 - 81 20%
 Tue, Mar 3 80 @Arizona St. W 81 - 73 76%
 Sat, Mar 7 88 Kansas St. W 84 - 70 91%
Totals 22 - 9 12 - 6 +18 +8 B B+ B+ +10 A+ A- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 1.3 0.3 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 2.3 4.2 0.9 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 7.7 2.3 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 9.4 6.0 0.2 17.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 8.8 9.8 1.1 0.0 21.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 6.7 10.5 2.3 0.0 20.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.4 2.1 0.1 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 2.7 1.1 0.0 4.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 7.2 15.6 23.2 24.0 17.0 7.7 2.2 0.3 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.1
15-3 60.3% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 12.6% 1.0    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
13-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 25.8% 74.2% 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.2% 100.0% 17.9% 82.1% 2.3 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 7.7% 100.0% 14.8% 85.2% 2.9 0.6 1.9 3.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 100.0%
13-5 17.0% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 3.7 0.2 1.6 5.2 6.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 100.0%
12-6 24.0% 100.0% 6.8% 93.2% 4.5 0.0 0.5 3.1 7.6 8.6 3.5 0.5 0.0 100.0%
11-7 23.2% 100.0% 4.6% 95.4% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.5 8.2 7.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8 15.6% 99.9% 3.2% 96.7% 6.3 0.1 0.7 2.8 5.3 4.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 99.9%
9-9 7.2% 99.2% 2.4% 96.9% 7.3 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.2%
8-10 2.1% 92.0% 0.9% 91.0% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 91.9%
7-11 0.5% 74.0% 1.0% 73.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 73.7%
6-12 0.1% 0.0 0.1
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.6% 6.8% 92.8% 5.0 0.4 99.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 2.0 17.2 65.5 17.2