Cincinnati
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#78
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#142
Pace76.6#33
Improvement-1.3#271

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#214
First Shot-2.5#247
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#127
Layup/Dunks-1.0#218
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#93
Freethrows-0.7#220
Improvement-0.2#195

Defense
Total Defense+9.2#11
First Shot+7.1#18
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#53
Layups/Dunks+4.6#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#87
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement-1.1#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 7.4% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.0% 7.3% 2.8%
Average Seed 9.4 9.4 9.8
.500 or above 29.7% 30.9% 12.5%
.500 or above in Conference 15.2% 15.6% 9.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.3% 14.8% 21.9%
First Four2.3% 2.4% 1.1%
First Round5.9% 6.1% 2.2%
Second Round2.4% 2.5% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 93.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 13
Quad 23 - 36 - 16
Quad 32 - 18 - 17
Quad 46 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 294 Western Carolina W 94-63 94%     1 - 0 +20.7 +5.3 +11.6
  Fri, Nov 7 334 Georgia St. W 74-64 96%     2 - 0 -3.6 -8.8 +4.4
  Tue, Nov 11 72 Dayton W 74-62 60%     3 - 0 +16.9 -5.7 +20.9
  Sun, Nov 16 296 Mount St. Mary's W 72-55 94%     4 - 0 +6.6 -8.3 +14.2
  Fri, Nov 21 10 Louisville L 64-74 15%     4 - 1 +8.8 -3.6 +12.6
  Mon, Nov 24 352 NJIT W 104-80 97%     5 - 1 +8.1 +8.9 -5.0
  Wed, Nov 26 228 Eastern Michigan L 56-64 90%     5 - 2 -14.8 -15.4 +0.1
  Mon, Dec 1 199 Tarleton St. W 76-58 89%     6 - 2 +12.4 -0.1 +12.3
  Fri, Dec 5 77 @Xavier L 74-79 38%     6 - 3 +5.6 +3.2 +2.7
  Sat, Dec 13 19 Georgia L 65-84 21%     6 - 4 -3.0 -6.5 +5.2
  Wed, Dec 17 264 Alabama St. W 81-65 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 36 Clemson L 66-71 32%    
  Mon, Dec 29 142 Lipscomb W 77-68 81%    
  Sat, Jan 3 8 Houston L 61-70 19%    
  Tue, Jan 6 63 @West Virginia L 65-69 35%    
  Sun, Jan 11 57 @Central Florida L 75-80 32%    
  Wed, Jan 14 62 Colorado W 76-74 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 4 Iowa St. L 67-78 15%    
  Wed, Jan 21 3 @Arizona L 66-84 5%    
  Sat, Jan 24 61 @Arizona St. L 71-76 34%    
  Wed, Jan 28 32 Baylor L 76-79 40%    
  Sat, Jan 31 8 @Houston L 58-73 8%    
  Thu, Feb 5 63 West Virginia W 68-66 57%    
  Sun, Feb 8 57 Central Florida W 78-77 54%    
  Wed, Feb 11 67 @Kansas St. L 77-81 37%    
  Sun, Feb 15 120 Utah W 78-71 76%    
  Sat, Feb 21 17 @Kansas L 63-75 13%    
  Tue, Feb 24 24 @Texas Tech L 67-77 18%    
  Sat, Feb 28 53 Oklahoma St. W 80-79 51%    
  Tue, Mar 3 9 BYU L 68-77 22%    
  Sat, Mar 7 45 @TCU L 67-73 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.5 1.3 0.1 4.5 7th
8th 0.3 2.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 3.9 1.0 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 4.8 2.4 0.2 8.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 4.2 4.9 0.7 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.1 2.6 6.2 1.7 0.1 10.7 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 6.3 4.0 0.3 12.1 13th
14th 0.1 1.3 5.1 5.5 0.8 0.0 12.7 14th
15th 0.1 1.5 4.7 5.4 1.4 0.0 13.1 15th
16th 0.3 1.3 2.9 2.6 0.9 0.1 8.2 16th
Total 0.3 1.4 4.5 8.7 12.9 16.2 16.4 13.9 10.4 7.3 4.4 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 71.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.9% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 96.3% 96.3% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.3%
13-5 0.4% 97.2% 1.9% 95.3% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.1%
12-6 0.9% 92.4% 1.4% 91.0% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 92.3%
11-7 2.1% 74.8% 1.1% 73.8% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 74.6%
10-8 4.4% 49.5% 0.3% 49.2% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.0 2.2 49.4%
9-9 7.3% 21.5% 0.2% 21.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.0 5.7 21.4%
8-10 10.4% 3.8% 0.1% 3.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 10.0 3.6%
7-11 13.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9 0.3%
6-12 16.4% 16.4
5-13 16.2% 16.2
4-14 12.9% 12.9
3-15 8.7% 8.7
2-16 4.5% 4.5
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 7.1% 0.1% 7.0% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.0 0.1 92.9 7.0%