Baylor
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.3#32
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#38
Pace72.8#87
Improvement-0.9#240

Offense
Total Offense+10.0#15
First Shot+6.7#29
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#27
Layup/Dunks-1.9#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#201
Freethrows+2.9#35
Improvement+0.2#164

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#77
First Shot+2.4#97
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#128
Layups/Dunks+7.6#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-8.4#364
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#99
Freethrows+1.0#123
Improvement-1.0#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 1.2% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 8.8% 8.8% 2.4%
Top 6 Seed 25.4% 25.5% 10.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 66.8% 66.9% 40.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.1% 66.2% 40.2%
Average Seed 7.2 7.2 7.9
.500 or above 86.9% 87.1% 58.8%
.500 or above in Conference 54.0% 54.1% 37.6%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 2.5% 6.5%
First Four7.5% 7.5% 4.1%
First Round63.3% 63.4% 38.2%
Second Round39.1% 39.2% 20.0%
Sweet Sixteen14.4% 14.4% 3.5%
Elite Eight5.2% 5.2% 0.6%
Final Four1.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 11
Quad 26 - 211 - 13
Quad 32 - 013 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 208 UT Rio Grande Valley W 96-81 95%     1 - 0 +8.9 +12.4 -5.0
  Sun, Nov 9 47 Washington W 78-69 70%     2 - 0 +16.9 +6.3 +10.5
  Fri, Nov 14 199 Tarleton St. W 94-81 95%     3 - 0 +7.4 +14.9 -8.0
  Mon, Nov 24 59 Creighton W 81-74 65%     4 - 0 +16.3 +14.5 +2.0
  Tue, Nov 25 16 St. John's L 81-96 35%     4 - 1 +2.3 +14.5 -11.8
  Wed, Nov 26 52 San Diego St. W 91-81 61%     5 - 1 +20.4 +21.9 -1.6
  Tue, Dec 2 280 Sacramento St. W 110-88 97%     6 - 1 +12.7 +24.9 -13.9
  Sat, Dec 6 76 @Memphis L 71-78 60%     6 - 2 +3.6 +3.5 +0.3
  Wed, Dec 10 234 Norfolk St. W 97-67 96%     7 - 2 +22.9 +16.2 +4.3
  Fri, Dec 19 331 Alcorn St. W 94-67 99%    
  Sun, Dec 21 203 Southern W 93-74 96%    
  Sat, Jan 3 45 @TCU L 77-78 47%    
  Wed, Jan 7 4 Iowa St. L 77-83 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 8 Houston L 70-74 37%    
  Tue, Jan 13 53 @Oklahoma St. L 87-88 50%    
  Fri, Jan 16 17 @Kansas L 73-80 27%    
  Tue, Jan 20 24 Texas Tech W 80-79 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 45 TCU W 80-75 68%    
  Wed, Jan 28 78 @Cincinnati W 79-76 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 63 @West Virginia W 74-72 56%    
  Wed, Feb 4 62 Colorado W 86-79 75%    
  Sat, Feb 7 4 @Iowa St. L 74-86 15%    
  Tue, Feb 10 9 BYU L 78-81 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 10 Louisville L 82-88 31%    
  Tue, Feb 17 67 @Kansas St. W 87-85 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 61 Arizona St. W 84-77 74%    
  Tue, Feb 24 3 Arizona L 80-86 29%    
  Sat, Feb 28 57 @Central Florida W 85-84 53%    
  Wed, Mar 4 8 @Houston L 67-77 19%    
  Sat, Mar 7 120 Utah W 88-75 88%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.3 1.1 0.1 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.4 1.9 0.2 9.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.5 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.2 4.0 0.6 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.3 3.8 5.3 1.0 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 5.6 2.0 0.1 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.5 3.2 0.3 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 2.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 3.5 1.2 0.1 5.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.9 0.2 4.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.8 0.3 3.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.1 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.6 9.2 11.8 14.5 14.9 13.4 10.3 7.4 4.3 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 89.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 56.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 16.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 13.3% 86.7% 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.0% 100.0% 10.1% 89.9% 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.3% 100.0% 9.6% 90.4% 3.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 4.3% 100.0% 6.4% 93.6% 4.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 7.4% 100.0% 5.2% 94.8% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.4 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 10.3% 99.6% 3.8% 95.8% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.0 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
10-8 13.4% 98.5% 1.6% 96.9% 7.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 4.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 98.5%
9-9 14.9% 92.2% 0.9% 91.3% 8.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 3.7 3.4 2.3 0.6 1.2 92.1%
8-10 14.5% 67.8% 0.7% 67.0% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.0 3.0 0.1 4.7 67.5%
7-11 11.8% 30.7% 0.3% 30.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 0.2 8.2 30.5%
6-12 9.2% 7.1% 0.1% 7.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 8.5 7.0%
5-13 5.6% 0.5% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 5.5 0.5%
4-14 2.9% 2.9
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 66.8% 1.9% 64.8% 7.2 0.3 0.9 2.9 4.7 7.6 9.0 10.8 9.5 7.6 6.7 6.3 0.4 33.2 66.1%