Colorado
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +7.1 #82
Expected Predictive Rating +6.9 #81
Pace 71.0 #122
Improvement -1.2 #240

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #62 B+ C B+ B C+
Defense #124 C+ C+ C- C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #34 1.26 #73 +6.2 #17
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #188 0.87 #49 +1.0 #125
Three Pointers 35% #311 1.11 #59 -1.5 #232
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #41 +5.7 #42
Freethrows 0.34 #86 77% #35 0.26 #43
Second Chance 32.5% #124 0.99 #246 0.32 #168
Turnovers 13.7% #34
Total Offense +5.8 #62

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #176 1.09 #95 +1.0 #137
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #52 0.81 #270 -2.4 #337
Three Pointers 36% #318 1.02 #182 +2.7 #80
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #140 +1.3 #137
Freethrows 0.29 #162 71% #88 0.21 #135
Second Chance 27.3% #69 1.09 #258 0.30 #120
Turnovers 15.7% #220
Total Defense +1.3 #124

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #113 -1.1% #84
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 9.9% #44 -1.4% #157
Possession Length 16.1 #65 17.8 #256
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 #19 0.15 #112
Improvement -3.1 #341 +2.0 #68

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 7.9% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.5% 7.9% 1.1%
Average Seed 10.6 10.4 10.7
.500 or above 45.7% 77.5% 43.6%
.500 or above in Conference 1.8% 10.2% 1.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.8% 4.7% 15.5%
First Four1.1% 4.8% 0.8%
First Round0.9% 5.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.3% 1.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 6.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 24 - 56 - 15
Quad 36 - 111 - 15
Quad 44 - 116 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 157 Montana St. W 84 - 78 82% +1  1 - 0 +3 +11 A- C- B- -8 F+ A C
 Sat, Nov 8 242 Eastern Washington W 102 - 97 OT 91% +1  2 - 0 -2 +13 B+ D A+ -16 F A- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 67 Providence W 97 - 88 56% +4  3 - 0 +14 +11 B- A- B- +2 A A+ D+
 Mon, Nov 17 318 Alabama St. W 94 - 66 95% +19  4 - 0 +16 +14 B+ C B +2 B C+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 182 UC Davis W 95 - 79 86% +6  5 - 0 +11 +20 A+ C+ A- -9 C F C
 Thu, Nov 27 98 San Francisco W 79 - 69 57% +1  6 - 0 +15 +11 A- C B+ +5 C B B+
 Fri, Nov 28 47 Washington W 81 - 68 34% +9  7 - 0 +24 +15 A- A- C +10 A+ D- F
 Mon, Dec 1 139 California Baptist W 78 - 70 80% -2  8 - 0 +6 +8 B- B C -1 B B+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 97 @Colorado St. L 86 - 91 45% -4  8 - 1 +3 +18 A+ D+ A+ -14 F+ A+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 343 Texas San Antonio W 88 - 64 97% +10  9 - 1 +9 +6 A+ F C +2 C C A-
 Wed, Dec 17 149 Portland St. W 84 - 73 81% +1  10 - 1 +9 +12 B C C+ -4 B F C
 Sat, Dec 20 84 Stanford L 68 - 77 51% -3  10 - 2 -2 -1 C+ C F -1 B+ C- D
 Sun, Dec 28 197 Northern Colorado L 81 - 86 87% -2  10 - 3 -10 +0 D D+ A+ -10 D- C C+
 Sat, Jan 3 80 @Arizona St. W 95 - 89 38% +6  11 - 3 1 - 0 +16 +13 B B- C+ +3 B+ B B
 Wed, Jan 7 104 Utah W 85 - 73 70% +6  12 - 3 2 - 0 +14 +10 B- C C +3 A+ D F+
 Sat, Jan 10 15 Texas Tech L 71 - 73 22% -9  12 - 4 2 - 1 +13 +6 C C- A+ +8 B+ A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 14 55 @Cincinnati L 68 - 77 29% -13  12 - 5 2 - 2 +4 +4 B+ B- F+ +0 C- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 17 56 @West Virginia L 61 - 72 29% -6  12 - 6 2 - 3 +2 +8 C- C- A+ -8 C- F C
 Tue, Jan 20 17 Kansas L 69 - 75 23% -4  12 - 7 2 - 4 +9 +7 C- B+ A+ +2 B C- B+
 Sat, Jan 24 49 Central Florida L 86 - 95 47% -3  12 - 8 2 - 5 -1 +15 A+ D A -16 F A- B-
 Thu, Jan 29 7 @Iowa St. L 70 - 86 6%
 Sun, Feb 1 44 TCU L 75 - 77 44%
 Wed, Feb 4 45 @Baylor L 78 - 85 24%
 Sat, Feb 7 80 Arizona St. W 83 - 80 60%
 Wed, Feb 11 15 @Texas Tech L 73 - 87 9%
 Sat, Feb 14 14 @BYU L 74 - 88 9%
 Sat, Feb 21 63 Oklahoma St. W 85 - 84 54%
 Wed, Feb 25 88 Kansas St. W 84 - 80 63%
 Sat, Feb 28 4 @Houston L 65 - 82 5%
 Tue, Mar 3 104 @Utah L 81 - 82 48%
 Sat, Mar 7 2 Arizona L 75 - 89 10%
Totals 15 - 16 5 - 13 +7 +6 B+ C B+ +1 C+ C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 2.6 0.4 6.0 9th
10th 0.2 3.4 6.5 1.5 0.0 11.6 10th
11th 2.1 9.4 3.9 0.2 15.6 11th
12th 0.4 8.6 7.5 0.6 0.0 17.1 12th
13th 0.0 3.9 11.2 1.9 0.0 16.9 13th
14th 1.1 9.2 4.2 0.1 14.5 14th
15th 0.2 3.8 5.3 0.4 9.7 15th
16th 1.5 3.4 0.8 5.8 16th
Total 1.7 8.4 19.5 26.5 22.5 14.0 5.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.3% 58.6% 58.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 58.6%
9-9 1.5% 36.3% 36.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 36.3%
8-10 5.6% 9.7% 9.7% 10.9 0.1 0.5 0.0 5.0 9.7%
7-11 14.0% 1.7% 0.1% 1.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 13.8 1.6%
6-12 22.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 22.5 0.1%
5-13 26.5% 26.5
4-14 19.5% 19.5
3-15 8.4% 8.4
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5% 10.6 98.5 1.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%