Colorado
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#62
Expected Predictive Rating+15.0#31
Pace70.6#161
Improvement+1.2#98

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#42
First Shot+8.7#15
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#271
Layup/Dunks+8.0#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#262
Freethrows+3.7#21
Improvement-0.7#236

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#121
First Shot+1.3#125
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#172
Layups/Dunks-0.7#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#196
Freethrows+2.8#39
Improvement+1.9#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.8% 3.1% 0.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.4% 33.1% 18.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.3% 32.9% 18.5%
Average Seed 9.1 9.1 9.4
.500 or above 86.6% 88.8% 69.4%
.500 or above in Conference 28.6% 29.7% 20.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 8.0% 12.7%
First Four8.6% 8.9% 5.8%
First Round26.6% 28.0% 15.2%
Second Round11.6% 12.3% 5.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.4% 2.6% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Home) - 88.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 26 - 48 - 13
Quad 35 - 113 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 174 Montana St. W 84-78 88%     1 - 0 +2.0 +11.7 -9.6
  Sat, Nov 8 240 Eastern Washington W 102-97 OT 93%     2 - 0 -2.5 +11.8 -14.8
  Fri, Nov 14 70 Providence W 97-88 65%     3 - 0 +13.9 +11.7 +1.1
  Mon, Nov 17 264 Alabama St. W 94-66 94%     4 - 0 +19.4 +13.9 +5.2
  Fri, Nov 21 201 UC Davis W 95-79 90%     5 - 0 +10.4 +21.5 -11.0
  Thu, Nov 27 96 San Francisco W 79-69 63%     6 - 0 +15.4 +10.4 +5.2
  Fri, Nov 28 47 Washington W 81-68 42%     7 - 0 +23.9 +13.9 +10.2
  Mon, Dec 1 127 California Baptist W 78-70 82%     8 - 0 +7.3 +6.9 +0.6
  Sat, Dec 6 69 @Colorado St. L 86-91 42%     8 - 1 +5.9 +17.7 -12.0
  Sat, Dec 13 286 Texas San Antonio W 88-64 95%     9 - 1 +14.1 +9.6 +3.8
  Wed, Dec 17 178 Portland St. W 81-68 89%    
  Sat, Dec 20 93 Stanford W 82-79 62%    
  Sun, Dec 28 156 Northern Colorado W 85-73 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 61 @Arizona St. L 78-81 38%    
  Wed, Jan 7 120 Utah W 85-76 79%    
  Sat, Jan 10 24 Texas Tech L 76-79 39%    
  Wed, Jan 14 78 @Cincinnati L 74-76 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 63 @West Virginia L 70-73 40%    
  Tue, Jan 20 17 Kansas L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 57 Central Florida W 84-82 58%    
  Thu, Jan 29 4 @Iowa St. L 70-86 7%    
  Sun, Feb 1 45 TCU W 76-75 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 32 @Baylor L 79-86 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 61 Arizona St. W 81-78 60%    
  Wed, Feb 11 24 @Texas Tech L 73-82 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 9 @BYU L 71-85 11%    
  Sat, Feb 21 53 Oklahoma St. W 86-84 56%    
  Wed, Feb 25 67 Kansas St. W 86-82 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 8 @Houston L 64-78 10%    
  Tue, Mar 3 120 @Utah W 82-79 59%    
  Sat, Mar 7 3 Arizona L 75-86 17%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.2 1.4 0.1 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.6 0.3 7.8 7th
8th 0.4 3.4 4.2 0.7 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 5.6 1.6 0.1 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 5.5 3.3 0.3 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.3 3.9 5.2 0.8 0.0 10.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.9 5.8 1.9 0.1 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 4.8 3.4 0.3 0.0 9.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.0 0.9 0.1 6.7 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.1 4.3 16th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.4 7.9 11.7 14.9 15.7 14.3 11.6 8.2 4.9 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 41.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 16.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 3.4% 96.6% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 2.9% 97.1% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.1% 99.4% 2.9% 96.5% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3%
12-6 2.4% 98.4% 1.9% 96.4% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 98.3%
11-7 4.9% 94.6% 1.0% 93.6% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.3 94.6%
10-8 8.2% 85.0% 0.5% 84.5% 8.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.3 1.6 0.5 1.2 85.0%
9-9 11.6% 69.9% 0.1% 69.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.5 69.9%
8-10 14.3% 36.6% 0.0% 36.5% 10.4 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.9 0.1 9.1 36.6%
7-11 15.7% 13.5% 0.0% 13.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.1 13.6 13.5%
6-12 14.9% 3.0% 0.0% 2.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 14.5 2.9%
5-13 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 11.7 0.2%
4-14 7.9% 7.9
3-15 4.4% 4.4
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 31.4% 0.2% 31.2% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.8 4.6 6.3 7.2 7.5 0.3 68.6 31.3%