Michigan
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +26.7 1
Results Rating +29.9 2
Consistency 0.17 272
Pace 77.2 14
Improvement -3.6 306

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 6 A A+ B- A- A
Defense A+ 1 A+ B+ C+ A A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% 7 A- 68% 16 +10.3 1
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 350 B 43% 46 -3.5 335
Three Pointers 42% 164 B 37% 39 +2.5 98
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.0 7 A- +6.8 16
1st FG Attempt A 1.21 5
Second Chance A- 38.9% 11 A+ 1.37 1 A+ 0.53 1
Opponents' Steals B- 8.3% 75
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 142
Turnovers B- 15.2% 92
Freethrows A- 0.37 11 B- 74% 115 A- 0.28 13
Total Offense A +12.8 6

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 61% 28 B 8.5% 51
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 166 D 7.1% 307
Three Pointers B 90% 48 B+ 0.2% 34
Total A- 66% 20 B- 4.9% 100


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% 360 A+ 42% 1 -10.8 1
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 10 A- 32% 10 +1.6 310
Three Pointers 42% 125 A 27% 1 -3.4 42
Shot Selection/Accuracy A+ -1.9 8 A+ -10.8 1
1st FG Attempt A+ 0.77 1
Second Chance A- 24.2% 15 B- 0.96 75 B+ 0.23 19
Turnovers from Steals C 9.2% 195
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 45
Turnovers C+ 17.7% 109
Freethrows A 0.21 5 C 73% 213 A 0.15 7
Total Defense A+ +13.9 1

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A+ 29% 2 A+ 23.4% 2
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 49 A- 9.0% 24
Three Pointers A+ 65% 1 B+ 1.8% 40
Total A+ 39% 1 A+ 9.9% 7

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 13.8 2 19.0 352
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 16 0.07 2
Consistency 0.13 232 0.11 110
Improvement -0.9 236 -2.7 304

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 3 1 1
Results Rating Rank 3 2 1
Conference Record 19 - 1 19 - 1 19 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Finish 2nd Round Final 4 Champion

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 39% 42% 22%
#1 Seed 99% 99% 97%
Top 2 Seed 100% 100% 100%
Top 4 Seed 100% 100% 100%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 1.0 1.0 1.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round100% 100% 100%
Sweet Sixteen89% 89% 90%
Elite Eight70% 70% 70%
Final Four52% 52% 52%
Championship Game34% 34% 33%
National Champion20% 20% 19%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a10 - 110 - 1
Quad 1b7 - 117 - 2
Quad 26 - 022 - 2
Quad 36 - 029 - 2
Quad 43 - 031 - 2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 173 Oakland W 121 - 78 99% +27  99% 1 - 0 A+ +39 A+ +28 A+ A+ A A- +7 C A+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 64 Wake Forest W 85 - 84 OT 94% +2  56% 2 - 0 B +10 D+ -4 D- A+ C- A+ +13 A+ D- C+
 Fri, Nov 14 43 @TCU W 67 - 63 84% -2  23% 3 - 0 A +20 C +1 D+ A+ F A+ +19 A+ A+ C+
 Wed, Nov 19 167 Middle Tennessee W 86 - 61 99% +13  89% 4 - 0 A +22 C- -1 D A+ D+ A+ +20 A+ B B+
 Mon, Nov 24 48 San Diego St. W 94 - 54 91% +18  91% 5 - 0 A+ +51 A+ +20 A+ A+ A- A+ +28 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 38 Auburn W 102 - 72 88% +21  96% 6 - 0 A+ +44 A+ +28 A- A+ A+ A+ +15 A+ A+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 11 Gonzaga W 101 - 61 77% +25  100% 7 - 0 A+ +59 A+ +23 A+ C+ B+ A+ +31 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 101 Rutgers W 101 - 60 98% +22  94% 8 - 0 1 - 0 A+ +43 A+ +23 A+ A+ B+ A+ +18 A+ D A+
 Tue, Dec 9 37 Villanova W 89 - 61 92% +23  96% 9 - 0 A+ +39 B+ +9 C+ A+ A+ A+ +26 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 104 @Maryland W 101 - 83 95% +3  59% 10 - 0 2 - 0 A+ +26 A+ +30 A+ C+ A- D+ -4 D F C-
 Sun, Dec 21 216 La Salle W 102 - 50 99% +24  92% 11 - 0 A+ +46 A+ +18 A+ F+ A- A+ +25 A+ B A+
 Mon, Dec 29 80 McNeese St. W 112 - 71 97% +30  99% 12 - 0 A+ +45 A+ +22 A+ A+ A+ A+ +17 A+ A+ D
 Fri, Jan 2 75 USC W 96 - 66 97% +16  99% 13 - 0 3 - 0 A+ +35 B+ +9 B+ B+ A A+ +21 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 123 @Penn St. W 74 - 72 96% +5  80% 14 - 0 4 - 0 B- +8 D+ -2 D D+ B A +10 A+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 23 Wisconsin L 88 - 91 88% +2  56% 14 - 1 4 - 1 B +11 A +13 A B- B+ C- -2 C- F B
 Wed, Jan 14 50 @Washington W 82 - 72 88% +8  91% 15 - 1 5 - 1 A+ +24 A +12 D+ A+ A A+ +12 A+ F B
 Sat, Jan 17 86 @Oregon W 81 - 71 93% +6  91% 16 - 1 6 - 1 A +20 A +14 A+ A+ F+ B+ +6 A+ F C-
 Tue, Jan 20 44 Indiana W 86 - 72 93% +14  98% 17 - 1 7 - 1 A+ +24 A +13 A+ A+ D A +10 A A+ C
 Fri, Jan 23 24 Ohio St. W 74 - 62 89% +2  61% 18 - 1 8 - 1 A+ +25 B+ +8 B- A+ F A+ +18 A+ C+ A
 Tue, Jan 27 14 Nebraska W 75 - 72 85% -4  5% 19 - 1 9 - 1 A +18 B+ +8 A- A+ F A +10 C A+ B-
 Fri, Jan 30 10 @Michigan St. W 83 - 71 66% +7  92% 20 - 1 10 - 1 A+ +35 A+ +16 B A+ D+ A+ +18 A+ A+ B+
 Thu, Feb 5 123 Penn St. W 110 - 69 99% +27  97% 21 - 1 11 - 1 A+ +41 A+ +30 A+ A+ A+ A +10 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Feb 8 24 @Ohio St. W 82 - 61 77% +10  98% 22 - 1 12 - 1 A+ +40 A+ +19 A+ B+ A A+ +23 A+ A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 11 57 @Northwestern W 87 - 75 90% -5  21% 23 - 1 13 - 1 A+ +25 A- +11 B A+ B+ A+ +13 A+ A- D+
 Sat, Feb 14 26 UCLA W 86 - 56 90% +11  99% 24 - 1 14 - 1 A+ +43 A+ +22 A+ B+ A A+ +23 A+ F A+
 Tue, Feb 17 8 @Purdue W 91 - 80 62% +11  84% 25 - 1 15 - 1 A+ +35 A+ +23 A+ A+ D A+ +12 A+ A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 2 Duke L 63 - 68 51% -2  26% 25 - 2 A +21 A- +10 C A A+ A+ +11 A+ D B
 Tue, Feb 24 69 Minnesota W 77 - 67 96% +6  85% 26 - 2 16 - 1 A- +16 A- +11 A+ A+ D- B+ +6 C+ A+ F+
 Fri, Feb 27 7 @Illinois W 84 - 70 57% +7  80% 27 - 2 17 - 1 A+ +39 A+ +22 A A+ D A+ +18 A+ D B+
 Thu, Mar 5 27 @Iowa W 71 - 68 78% +1  63% 28 - 2 18 - 1 A +22 B+ +9 A+ B F A+ +13 A+ A F
 Sun, Mar 8 10 Michigan St. W 90 - 80 83% +2  70% 29 - 2 19 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +21 A+ A+ B+ B +5 B+ A+ F
 Fri, Mar 13 24 Ohio St. W 71 - 67 84% +5  88% 30 - 2 A +20 B- +4 B D- A- A+ +16 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Mar 14 23 Wisconsin W 89 - 79 83%
Totals 31 - 2 19 - 1 +27 A +13 C A- A A+ +14 B B- A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A A- B B A- 48% 18% 42% A A A- A+ A+ B- A- B- A- A+ A+ A- A A+ 28% 30% 42% A+ A+ A- B- B+ C+ A C A
1.27 68% 43% 37% +7 +2 1.21 39% 1.4 .53 15% .37 74% .28 0.89 42% 32% 27% -11 -2 0.77 24% 1.0 .23 18% .21 73% .27
Nov
3		 Oakland A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 15% 53% C+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A F+ A+ C- A- A+ F F D+ 31% 28% 41% A C A+ F A+ C A F B+
1.56 85% 56% 52% +25 0 1.53 26% 2.3 .61 10% .19 92% .17 1.00 42% 47% 40% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.4 .18 14% .23 87% .20
Nov
11		 Wake Forest D+ B- A+ F F 50% 6% 44% A+ D- B A+ A+ C- A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 30% 28% 42% A+ A+ C- F D- C+ B C+ B
0.99 60% 67% 14% -11 +3 0.86 34% 1.3 .45 20% .53 68% .36 0.97 30% 26% 29% -15 -2 0.69 33% 1.3 .44 15% .29 76% .22
Nov
14		 TCU C C- F F+ D- 55% 14% 32% A D+ A+ D- A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A C+ A 33% 28% 39% A A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A B+ A
0.96 54% 17% 29% -8 +2 0.91 54% 0.9 .50 32% .42 80% .33 0.90 50% 27% 33% -6 -1 0.87 26% 0.6 .15 16% .26 67% .17
Nov
19		 Middle Tennessee C- A F F F+ 49% 13% 38% A- D B A+ A+ D+ A D A- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 17% 31% 53% A+ A+ B C+ B B+ A F+ B+
1.10 70% 29% 14% -6 +2 0.93 31% 1.5 .46 17% .40 73% .29 0.78 40% 22% 29% -12 -3 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 19% .19 75% .14
Nov
24		 San Diego St. A+ A A+ C- A 38% 7% 55% A A+ A+ A+ A+ A- B D C+ A+ A+ A C A+ 18% 45% 36% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ B+ F+ B-
1.24 67% 50% 32% +3 +2 1.11 41% 1.5 .59 17% .35 68% .24 0.71 30% 28% 35% -9 -5 0.75 26% 0.3 .07 23% .27 81% .22
Nov
25		 Auburn A+ C A+ B B+ 38% 5% 57% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ 33% 23% 44% A A+ A+ A+ A+ D- F A+ C+
1.44 57% 67% 38% +4 +2 1.14 44% 1.5 .67 13% .35 82% .29 1.01 35% 8% 43% -8 -1 0.85 30% 0.9 .26 11% .52 55% .29
Nov
26		 Gonzaga A+ A+ F A+ A+ 46% 7% 47% A+ A+ F+ A+ C+ B+ A+ D- B+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ 34% 37% 29% A A+ A+ A+ A+ C A A+ A+
1.25 77% 25% 48% +18 +2 1.42 16% 1.4 .23 17% .38 64% .24 0.76 32% 46% 16% -14 -2 0.69 24% 0.9 .22 14% .22 53% .12
Dec
6		 Rutgers A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 3% 48% A+ A+ A A+ A+ B+ C- F D+ A+ B+ A- A+ A+ 22% 43% 35% A+ A+ C F D A+ A+ A A+
1.39 75% 50% 46% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.3 .54 15% .24 67% .16 0.83 50% 30% 21% -12 -4 0.70 33% 1.3 .42 22% .16 67% .11
Dec
9		 Villanova B+ A A+ F C 35% 15% 51% B+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 14% 25% 61% A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A A A A
1.14 68% 50% 25% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.5 .52 15% .38 56% .21 0.78 38% 43% 26% -9 -2 0.79 14% 1.2 .16 19% .22 64% .14
Dec
13		 Maryland A+ B A+ A+ A+ 57% 8% 36% A+ A+ C- A- C+ A- A- A+ A+ D+ B+ C- F F+ 27% 29% 44% A+ D C+ F F C- A+ B- A+
1.45 63% 50% 63% +20 +3 1.47 25% 1.2 .29 13% .36 86% .31 1.19 50% 40% 43% +5 -2 1.08 35% 1.6 .58 17% .22 69% .16
Dec
21		 La Salle A+ A+ F A+ A+ 38% 11% 51% B A+ B- F F+ A- A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 19% 46% 35% A+ A+ B B- B A+ A- F C
1.37 80% 17% 52% +20 +1 1.43 33% 0.7 .24 13% .46 67% .31 0.67 40% 28% 11% -20 -5 0.52 31% 0.9 .29 25% .27 93% .25
Dec
29		 McNeese St. A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 48% 10% 42% A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ D D+ B C-
1.34 79% 60% 29% +9 +2 1.24 48% 1.7 .83 18% .66 69% .45 0.85 39% 32% 24% -14 -2 0.71 29% 0.7 .21 11% .32 71% .23
Jan
2		 USC B+ A+ F F B 43% 12% 45% A- B+ B- A B+ A A+ D+ A+ A+ D A A+ A+ 18% 41% 41% A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ F A+ D
1.15 80% 29% 23% +1 +1 1.07 31% 1.1 .34 13% .54 72% .39 0.79 67% 30% 25% -7 -4 0.80 28% 0.7 .20 25% .53 64% .34
Jan
6		 Penn St. D+ C+ A+ F F+ 46% 8% 46% A D F+ A+ D+ B A+ C- A A A+ B A+ A+ 26% 26% 47% A+ A+ F+ F F D+ D D D-
1.04 61% 50% 26% -3 +2 1.00 20% 1.4 .29 17% .32 74% .24 1.01 43% 36% 16% -17 -2 0.64 33% 1.5 .49 14% .37 78% .29
Jan
10		 Wisconsin A C A+ B- B+ 51% 11% 38% A+ A B C+ B- B+ A+ A+ A+ C- B F F D+ 31% 13% 56% B C- A- F F B D C D
1.22 56% 67% 35% +3 +2 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 12% .38 92% .35 1.26 56% 57% 41% +8 0 1.19 26% 1.9 .48 14% .37 78% .29
Jan
14		 Washington A A+ F F D 37% 28% 35% B- D+ A+ A+ A+ A B- A B A+ F A- A+ A+ 9% 38% 54% A+ A+ D+ F F B A+ F+ A
1.15 80% 27% 11% -7 -1 0.85 40% 1.5 .60 11% .27 76% .21 1.01 100% 33% 23% -7 -4 0.80 38% 1.4 .52 17% .19 82% .15
Jan
17		 Oregon A D+ A+ A+ A 51% 2% 47% A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A B+ A+ A+ 39% 29% 31% A A+ D F F C- B+ A- A-
1.20 50% 100% 45% +5 +3 1.19 44% 1.0 .44 21% .56 73% .41 1.05 45% 33% 25% -11 -1 0.78 38% 1.3 .51 16% .28 69% .19
Jan
20		 Indiana A B- F A+ A 48% 2% 50% A+ A+ A A+ A+ D A+ F A+ A C+ A+ C A 25% 13% 62% A- A A+ A+ A+ C B- F+ C+
1.23 57% 0% 41% +4 +3 1.16 38% 1.3 .50 19% .58 67% .39 1.03 62% 29% 34% 0 0 1.02 15% 0.8 .12 14% .30 83% .25
Jan
23		 Ohio St. B+ A+ A+ F C- 47% 5% 49% A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F A+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 24% 34% 42% A+ A+ C C+ C+ A A+ A+ A+
1.14 70% 50% 19% -5 +3 0.98 44% 1.9 .85 22% .49 60% .29 0.95 50% 47% 24% -5 -3 0.86 33% 1.1 .36 20% .17 67% .12
Jan
27		 Nebraska B+ A+ F F B 38% 9% 53% A+ A- A A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A D- C+ D C- 32% 16% 52% B C A A+ A+ B- A+ C A+
1.05 76% 25% 25% -1 +1 1.02 36% 1.6 .56 27% .44 83% .36 1.01 72% 33% 38% +7 0 1.16 21% 0.7 .15 15% .07 75% .05
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Michigan St. A+ A- D C B+ 32% 32% 36% D B A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ C A+ A+ 35% 31% 35% B+ A+ B A+ A+ B+ F F F
1.14 63% 31% 33% -1 -2 0.96 34% 1.3 .44 18% .44 88% .39 0.98 65% 40% 18% -6 -2 0.88 38% 0.4 .15 19% .46 85% .39
Feb
5		 Penn St. A+ A+ D A+ A+ 46% 11% 43% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A A D+ B- A+ A+ 37% 30% 33% A A+ A- A+ A+ F D- F+ F
1.54 73% 33% 50% +17 +2 1.39 48% 2.0 .96 13% .27 88% .24 0.97 65% 38% 11% -9 -1 0.81 21% 0.7 .14 7% .39 81% .32
Feb
8		 Ohio St. A+ C+ D A+ A+ 44% 22% 35% A- A+ A+ F+ B+ A F A+ F A+ A+ B- B A+ 25% 35% 40% A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A- F B-
1.24 58% 33% 47% +6 0 1.15 44% 0.8 .36 12% .12 86% .10 0.92 42% 41% 32% -4 -3 0.88 25% 1.0 .25 18% .30 88% .26
Feb
11		 Northwestern A- B- F D C 53% 8% 39% A+ B A+ A A+ B+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F A A+ 30% 33% 37% A A+ B- A+ A- D+ A+ F A-
1.16 59% 25% 30% -3 +3 1.02 49% 1.1 .54 16% .43 70% .30 1.00 39% 50% 27% -5 -2 0.87 29% 1.0 .29 11% .21 93% .19
Feb
14		 UCLA A+ A+ A+ B A+ 51% 13% 36% A+ A+ C+ A B+ A A+ F A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 28% 35% 37% A A+ D+ F F A+ A A+ A+
1.34 83% 50% 35% +15 +2 1.36 30% 1.1 .35 14% .47 65% .31 0.87 62% 19% 24% -12 -3 0.74 36% 1.4 .50 20% .24 50% .12
Feb
17		 Purdue A+ B- A A+ A+ 38% 25% 38% B A+ A+ A- A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- C- A+ 32% 29% 39% B+ A+ B A+ A+ F+ D+ F F
1.31 61% 50% 50% +13 -1 1.27 43% 1.2 .53 20% .41 78% .32 1.15 50% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 35% 0.9 .33 9% .31 90% .28
Feb
21		 Duke A- D A+ F C- 34% 20% 46% B C C A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A- C- A+ A+ 42% 24% 33% A+ A+ C+ F+ D B C+ B- B-
1.02 47% 50% 22% -10 0 0.82 22% 1.4 .31 11% .33 72% .24 1.10 53% 45% 27% -4 0 0.93 39% 1.4 .55 18% .33 71% .24
Feb
24		 Minnesota A- A+ C+ A A+ 29% 10% 61% A- A+ A A+ A+ D- F A+ F B+ F A+ C+ C+ 28% 11% 61% B- C+ A+ F A+ F+ A+ F A+
1.19 71% 40% 40% +10 +1 1.22 37% 1.5 .56 22% .10 100% .10 1.04 80% 17% 33% +3 0 1.09 3% 3.0 .10 12% .11 83% .09
Feb
27		 Illinois A+ A B+ C+ A 34% 24% 42% B+ A A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A- A+ 18% 29% 53% A+ A+ A F D B+ A+ B A+
1.27 65% 42% 33% +3 -1 1.06 38% 2.0 .76 15% .30 82% .25 1.05 44% 33% 30% -7 -3 0.82 34% 1.7 .57 15% .21 75% .16
Mar
5		 Iowa B+ B- B A+ A+ 59% 14% 27% A+ A+ A D B F A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ A A A+ 40% 22% 38% B+ A+ A A- A F A+ F A
1.09 64% 40% 50% +10 +2 1.27 35% 0.9 .30 28% .47 77% .36 1.04 55% 33% 29% -6 0 0.91 25% 0.9 .23 8% .20 92% .18
Mar
8		 Michigan St. A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% D A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B C B+ C B+ 38% 32% 30% B+ B+ A+ A A+ F B+ D B-
1.27 77% 33% 45% +11 -2 1.19 27% 1.4 .37 14% .47 90% .43 1.12 62% 33% 35% 0 -2 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 10% .31 80% .25
Mar
13		 Ohio St. B- C+ B- C- B- 43% 24% 33% B+ B D F+ D- A- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ B C A+ 24% 30% 46% A A+ A A+ A+ C B+ F+ C+
1.06 57% 42% 31% -1 0 1.00 21% 0.8 .18 13% .41 75% .31 1.00 42% 40% 35% -3 -2 0.92 26% 0.9 .24 15% .32 83% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 100.0% 100.0% 65.5% 34.5% 1.0 98.6 1.4 100.0%
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 65.5% 34.5% 1.0 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 65.5% 100.0% 1.0 99.4 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 18.9% 100.0% 1.0 97.7 2.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 15.6% 100.0% 1.0 96.5 3.5