Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
142 Lipscomb 28.9%   15   5 - 4 0 - 0 18 - 11 13 - 5 +1.1      -0.5 178 +1.6 119 72.4 103 +1.6 151 0.0 1
181 Florida Gulf Coast 15.5%   4 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 13 12 - 6 -1.4      +1.1 136 -2.5 255 71.8 123 -4.1 234 0.0 1
191 Queens 14.4%   4 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 14 12 - 6 -1.9      +3.8 84 -5.7 344 70.7 159 -3.3 220 0.0 1
193 Austin Peay 14.2%   4 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 12 11 - 7 -2.0      -3.7 263 +1.7 116 69.7 182 0.0 171 0.0 1
196 North Alabama 12.9%   3 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 12 11 - 7 -2.4      -1.5 208 -0.9 200 66.6 258 +0.8 160 0.0 1
257 Eastern Kentucky 4.9%   1 - 8 0 - 0 10 - 19 9 - 9 -5.3      -0.9 192 -4.4 322 69.8 175 -12.7 332 0.0 1
283 Central Arkansas 3.2%   3 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 18 8 - 10 -6.5      -5.5 318 -1.0 204 72.1 115 -7.5 278 0.0 1
291 Jacksonville 2.9%   3 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 17 8 - 10 -7.2      -4.9 302 -2.2 249 65.4 285 -2.5 207 0.0 1
295 Bellarmine 2.5%   2 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 18 7 - 11 -7.4      -0.2 171 -7.2 354 66.1 271 -8.1 289 0.0 1
315 West Georgia 0.0%   4 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 11 -9.0      -4.3 290 -4.7 328 69.5 187 -3.1 214 0.0 1
344 North Florida 0.4%   0 - 8 0 - 0 6 - 23 5 - 13 -11.6      -3.7 262 -7.9 359 78.2 19 -16.7 355 0.0 1
346 Stetson 0.3%   2 - 8 0 - 0 7 - 22 5 - 13 -11.9      -6.2 333 -5.7 341 68.8 206 -11.1 319 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 10 333 Eastern Illinois 59 257 Eastern Kentucky 68   
Fri, Dec 12 193 Austin Peay 76 123 East Tennessee St. 75   
Fri, Dec 12 191 Queens 102 360 South Carolina St. 78   
Sat, Dec 13 257 Eastern Kentucky 69 106 Miami (OH) 79   
Sat, Dec 13 295 Bellarmine 76 194 Northern Kentucky 80   
Sat, Dec 13 231 Georgia Southern 91 315 West Georgia 85   
Sat, Dec 13 283 Central Arkansas 72 11 Vanderbilt 83   
Sat, Dec 13 72 Dayton 84 344 North Florida 61   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 14 181 Florida Gulf Coast 75 74 New Mexico 87 87%   
Sun, Dec 14 191 Queens 74 51 Wake Forest 89 92%   
Sun, Dec 14 291 Jacksonville 63 49 Texas A&M 84 96%   
Mon, Dec 15 290 Alabama A&M 68 196 North Alabama 70 57%   
Tue, Dec 16 2 Duke 85 142 Lipscomb 61 98%   
Tue, Dec 16 20 Arkansas 93 191 Queens 72 96%   
Wed, Dec 17 257 Eastern Kentucky 68 252 Jacksonville St. 72 62%   
Wed, Dec 17 295 Bellarmine 74 225 Chattanooga 75 53%   
Wed, Dec 17 341 Florida A&M 70 291 Jacksonville 71 55%   
Thu, Dec 18 266 Charleston Southern 85 344 North Florida 76 80%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Lipscomb 2.4 43.2 21.6 13.5 8.6 5.5 3.5 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Florida Gulf Coast 3.7 19.7 17.7 15.9 13.8 10.9 8.3 5.7 3.6 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.2
Queens 3.7 20.0 19.4 16.0 13.0 9.9 7.9 5.4 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.2
Austin Peay 3.9 17.3 17.2 16.1 14.4 11.1 8.6 5.9 4.2 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.3
North Alabama 4.2 15.0 15.8 14.9 14.0 11.9 9.3 6.9 5.0 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.5
Eastern Kentucky 6.3 4.1 6.3 8.3 9.7 11.6 12.2 12.4 11.6 9.4 7.2 4.9 2.4
Central Arkansas 6.7 2.4 4.7 6.5 8.9 11.2 12.6 13.1 12.5 10.8 8.5 5.9 3.0
Jacksonville 7.2 2.0 3.6 5.6 7.4 9.4 11.5 12.9 13.0 12.2 10.3 7.4 4.9
Bellarmine 7.6 1.7 3.0 4.4 6.2 8.2 9.8 11.6 13.0 13.3 12.5 10.2 6.3
West Georgia 8.1 0.9 2.0 3.2 4.9 6.8 9.3 11.1 12.5 13.4 14.0 12.7 9.3
North Florida 9.7 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.6 4.1 6.5 8.6 12.6 16.6 21.2 24.7
Stetson 9.9 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.0 3.4 5.4 8.4 11.8 16.8 22.4 27.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Lipscomb 13 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.0 3.8 6.1 9.7 12.9 16.2 16.7 14.3 10.1 5.4 1.4
Florida Gulf Coast 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.6 6.1 9.3 11.9 14.4 14.9 13.7 10.6 7.1 3.6 1.4 0.3
Queens 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.5 5.8 8.9 11.4 13.6 14.9 14.0 11.1 7.4 4.2 1.6 0.4
Austin Peay 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.1 6.6 9.7 12.6 14.4 14.9 13.4 10.1 6.3 3.2 1.0 0.2
North Alabama 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 4.9 7.6 10.4 13.2 14.2 14.2 11.8 8.9 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.2
Eastern Kentucky 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 3.7 5.9 9.2 12.1 13.4 13.8 13.1 10.1 7.3 4.9 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
Central Arkansas 8 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.2 7.2 10.6 13.3 14.3 14.2 12.4 9.0 6.0 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Jacksonville 8 - 10 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.8 5.7 9.0 12.1 13.9 14.3 13.1 10.5 7.7 4.8 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Bellarmine 7 - 11 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.4 7.6 10.6 13.1 14.2 13.3 11.3 9.3 5.8 3.8 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
West Georgia 7 - 11 0.2 1.1 2.9 5.6 9.0 12.6 14.2 14.1 13.0 10.1 7.3 4.8 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
North Florida 5 - 13 1.0 3.8 8.4 13.2 15.8 16.1 14.2 10.6 7.5 4.6 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Stetson 5 - 13 1.1 4.6 9.4 14.4 16.5 16.3 13.9 9.8 6.7 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Lipscomb 43.2% 30.2 10.1 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Florida Gulf Coast 19.7% 12.1 5.5 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Queens 20.0% 11.6 6.2 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Austin Peay 17.3% 10.3 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
North Alabama 15.0% 8.8 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 4.1% 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
Central Arkansas 2.4% 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jacksonville 2.0% 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bellarmine 1.7% 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
West Georgia 0.9% 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
North Florida 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Stetson 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Lipscomb 28.9% 28.9% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.1 1.8 7.2 10.9 7.5 1.5 71.1 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 15.5% 15.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.7 6.2 4.1 84.5 0.0%
Queens 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 6.0 4.0 85.6 0.0%
Austin Peay 14.2% 14.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 5.9 3.0 85.8 0.0%
North Alabama 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.8 4.9 2.4 87.1 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.9 95.1 0.0%
Central Arkansas 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 96.8 0.0%
Jacksonville 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 97.1 0.0%
Bellarmine 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 97.5 0.0%
West Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%
Stetson 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Lipscomb 28.9% 0.3% 28.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 15.5% 1.4% 14.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Queens 14.4% 1.7% 13.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 14.2% 1.0% 13.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 12.9% 0.8% 12.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 4.9% 3.0% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 3.2% 1.8% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 2.9% 1.2% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bellarmine 2.5% 1.4% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 93.8% 0.9 6.2 93.8
2nd Round 3.3% 0.0 96.7 3.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0