Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#191
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#220
Pace70.7#159
Improvement+0.5#152

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#84
First Shot+4.5#67
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#219
Layup/Dunks-0.6#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#33
Freethrows+0.2#163
Improvement+4.0#4

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#344
First Shot-3.7#303
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#304
Layups/Dunks-5.5#341
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#212
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows+0.4#157
Improvement-3.6#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 19.5% 14.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.3 14.9
.500 or above 63.1% 84.2% 61.5%
.500 or above in Conference 87.4% 93.2% 86.9%
Conference Champion 20.0% 29.2% 19.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four1.7% 0.7% 1.8%
First Round13.6% 19.1% 13.2%
Second Round0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 6.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 415 - 417 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 112 Winthrop L 74-81 30%     0 - 1 -3.5 -2.2 -1.1
  Sat, Nov 8 37 @Villanova L 74-94 6%     0 - 2 -4.6 +9.4 -14.5
  Tue, Nov 11 137 @Duquesne L 81-87 OT 27%     0 - 3 -1.4 -5.3 +5.0
  Sat, Nov 15 254 Sacred Heart W 81-64 73%     1 - 3 +8.8 +2.9 +6.0
  Thu, Nov 20 281 UNC Greensboro W 101-94 77%     2 - 3 -2.5 +25.3 -27.6
  Sun, Nov 23 148 @Furman L 79-90 29%     2 - 4 -7.3 +15.8 -24.3
  Fri, Nov 28 25 @Virginia L 69-94 4%     2 - 5 -7.1 +8.4 -17.7
  Wed, Dec 3 357 Gardner-Webb W 107-74 92%     3 - 5 +15.8 +20.9 -6.5
  Fri, Dec 12 360 South Carolina St. W 102-78 92%     4 - 5 +6.4 +19.5 -13.7
  Sun, Dec 14 51 @Wake Forest L 74-90 7%    
  Tue, Dec 16 20 @Arkansas L 72-93 3%    
  Mon, Dec 29 28 @Auburn L 73-92 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 257 Eastern Kentucky W 84-78 72%    
  Sat, Jan 3 295 Bellarmine W 85-77 79%    
  Thu, Jan 8 291 @Jacksonville W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 344 @North Florida W 90-83 73%    
  Thu, Jan 15 181 @Florida Gulf Coast L 81-84 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 346 @Stetson W 82-75 74%    
  Wed, Jan 21 196 North Alabama W 79-75 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 315 @West Georgia W 81-77 65%    
  Wed, Jan 28 283 Central Arkansas W 82-74 76%    
  Sat, Jan 31 295 @Bellarmine W 82-80 59%    
  Thu, Feb 5 291 Jacksonville W 80-72 77%    
  Sat, Feb 7 344 North Florida W 93-80 87%    
  Wed, Feb 11 193 Austin Peay W 78-75 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 142 Lipscomb L 79-80 50%    
  Wed, Feb 18 196 @North Alabama L 76-78 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 315 West Georgia W 84-74 82%    
  Wed, Feb 25 257 @Eastern Kentucky W 82-81 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 283 @Central Arkansas W 79-77 56%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.3 5.5 4.0 1.6 0.4 20.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.5 7.1 5.0 1.8 0.3 19.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.1 6.6 3.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 16.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 4.8 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.1 0.3 5.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.5 5.8 8.9 11.4 13.6 14.9 14.0 11.1 7.4 4.2 1.6 0.4 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.6    1.5 0.1
16-2 93.7% 4.0    3.3 0.6 0.0
15-3 74.4% 5.5    3.5 1.9 0.1 0.0
14-4 48.2% 5.3    2.3 2.3 0.7 0.1
13-5 19.4% 2.7    0.6 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.0% 20.0 11.6 6.2 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 47.7% 47.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.6% 37.7% 37.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-2 4.2% 32.0% 32.0% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.9
15-3 7.4% 28.7% 28.7% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.1 5.2
14-4 11.1% 22.8% 22.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.2 8.6
13-5 14.0% 17.2% 17.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.6 11.6
12-6 14.9% 13.9% 13.9% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.8 12.8
11-7 13.6% 10.2% 10.2% 15.5 0.0 0.6 0.8 12.2
10-8 11.4% 8.9% 8.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 10.4
9-9 8.9% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.4
8-10 5.8% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.2 5.6
7-11 3.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.4
6-12 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-13 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 6.0 4.0 85.6 0.0%