West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#315
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#214
Pace69.5#187
Improvement-2.3#316

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#290
First Shot-4.7#304
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#151
Layup/Dunks-4.2#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#314
Freethrows-1.5#277
Improvement+0.1#177

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#328
First Shot-3.3#291
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#284
Layups/Dunks-5.3#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#84
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement-2.3#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 17.0% 51.2% 16.9%
.500 or above in Conference 27.1% 51.2% 27.0%
Conference Champion 0.9% 0.8% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 6.4% 15.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 49 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 26 @Nebraska L 53-86 1%     0 - 1 -15.1 -12.3 -2.6
  Mon, Nov 10 30 @UCLA L 62-83 2%     0 - 2 -4.1 +1.0 -6.6
  Fri, Nov 14 361 The Citadel W 100-92 80%     1 - 2 -9.8 +8.6 -19.1
  Mon, Nov 17 265 @Tennessee Tech W 61-59 27%     2 - 2 -0.6 -9.3 +8.8
  Fri, Nov 21 261 South Carolina Upstate W 72-64 48%     3 - 2 -0.5 -4.6 +4.0
  Sun, Nov 23 131 @Georgia Tech L 66-82 10%     3 - 3 -11.2 -2.6 -8.1
  Mon, Dec 1 147 @Troy W 93-89 2OT 12%     4 - 3 +7.7 +5.7 +1.3
  Sat, Dec 6 265 Tennessee Tech L 59-87 48%     4 - 4 -36.6 -17.0 -19.6
  Sat, Dec 13 231 Georgia Southern L 85-91 42%     4 - 5 -13.0 +4.1 -16.9
  Mon, Dec 22 19 @Georgia L 68-96 0.4%   
  Thu, Jan 1 295 Bellarmine W 76-75 55%    
  Sat, Jan 3 257 Eastern Kentucky L 75-76 48%    
  Thu, Jan 8 344 @North Florida L 80-81 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 291 @Jacksonville L 68-73 33%    
  Thu, Jan 15 346 @Stetson L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 181 @Florida Gulf Coast L 72-83 17%    
  Thu, Jan 22 283 Central Arkansas W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 191 Queens L 77-81 35%    
  Wed, Jan 28 295 @Bellarmine L 73-78 34%    
  Sat, Jan 31 193 Austin Peay L 69-73 36%    
  Thu, Feb 5 344 North Florida W 84-78 69%    
  Sat, Feb 7 291 Jacksonville W 71-70 54%    
  Wed, Feb 11 196 @North Alabama L 67-77 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 283 @Central Arkansas L 71-76 31%    
  Wed, Feb 18 257 @Eastern Kentucky L 72-79 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 191 @Queens L 74-84 18%    
  Wed, Feb 25 142 Lipscomb L 71-78 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 196 North Alabama L 70-74 38%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.2 1.1 0.1 6.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 4.6 1.7 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.6 5.4 2.6 0.2 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.8 3.9 0.4 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.8 4.5 0.8 0.0 13.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.8 4.8 1.0 0.0 14.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.6 4.0 1.0 0.1 12.7 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.6 0.0 9.3 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 2.9 5.6 9.0 12.6 14.2 14.1 13.0 10.1 7.3 4.8 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 88.2% 0.1    0.1
15-3 65.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.9% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.2% 0.2
14-4 0.7% 0.7
13-5 1.3% 1.3
12-6 2.6% 2.6
11-7 4.8% 4.8
10-8 7.3% 7.3
9-9 10.1% 10.1
8-10 13.0% 13.0
7-11 14.1% 14.1
6-12 14.2% 14.2
5-13 12.6% 12.6
4-14 9.0% 9.0
3-15 5.6% 5.6
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%