West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.4 #329
Expected Predictive Rating -6.2 #263
Pace 70.2 #143
Improvement -2.1 #285

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #302 D- C C D+ F+
Defense #335 D C D+ C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #296 1.02 #327 -4.7 #329
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% #8 0.78 #139 +5.5 #9
Three Pointers 32% #343 0.92 #302 -6.4 #345
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #331 -5.6 #330
Freethrows 0.27 #286 73% #166 0.19 #267
Second Chance 30.6% #184 1.05 #175 0.32 #170
Turnovers 16.9% #206
Total Offense -4.8 #302

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% #3 1.23 #281 -7.3 #360
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #305 0.82 #279 +1.1 #106
Three Pointers 36% #312 1.09 #283 +1.4 #129
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #318 -4.8 #318
Freethrows 0.32 #235 72% #140 0.23 #222
Second Chance 31.4% #224 1.05 #187 0.33 #215
Turnovers 14.4% #306
Total Defense -5.6 #335

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -4.0% #353 2.5% #356
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.4% #302 6.7% #305
Possession Length 18.3 #265 16.4 #41
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #223 0.25 #358
Improvement -0.6 #211 -1.5 #271

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 11.7% 23.8% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 27.1% 47.6% 18.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 1.3% 8.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Away) - 30.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 410 - 1012 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 13 @Nebraska L 53 - 86 1% -11  0 - 1 -11 -9 F B B+ -2 A F C
 Mon, Nov 10 37 @UCLA L 62 - 83 1% -11  0 - 2 -5 +1 A- D+ F -7 D+ B- B
 Fri, Nov 14 351 The Citadel W 100 - 92 70% +8  1 - 2 -8 +10 C+ A B- -19 F B F
 Mon, Nov 17 337 @Tennessee Tech W 61 - 59 42% +6  2 - 2 -6 -12 F F F +6 A- C B+
 Fri, Nov 21 307 South Carolina Upstate W 72 - 64 54% +4  3 - 2 -3 -6 D- A- F +2 A B D-
 Sun, Nov 23 113 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 82 7% -3  3 - 3 -10 -3 D+ D+ B -6 D+ F+ C
 Mon, Dec 1 115 @Troy W 93 - 89 2OT 7% -0  4 - 3 +10 +5 D+ D+ A+ +5 D+ A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 337 Tennessee Tech L 59 - 87 65% -11  4 - 4 -42 -20 F C+ F -23 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 246 Georgia Southern L 85 - 91 39% -9  4 - 5 -14 +3 D+ A+ F -17 D- F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 28 @Georgia L 74 - 103 1% -20  4 - 6 -11 -3 F+ C D+ -4 B D- D+
 Thu, Jan 1 302 Bellarmine W 87 - 85 53% +6  5 - 6 1 - 0 -9 +5 D D- A+ -14 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 258 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 76 42% -1  6 - 6 2 - 0 +4 +9 C- B+ B- -5 D+ C F
 Thu, Jan 8 348 @North Florida W 85 - 73 45% +6  7 - 6 3 - 0 +3 +0 C- D+ C +2 B+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 10 283 @Jacksonville L 43 - 75 28% -20  7 - 7 3 - 1 -36 -23 F F+ F -19 F A F
 Thu, Jan 15 330 @Stetson L 86 - 95 39% -4  7 - 8 3 - 2 -16 +5 F+ B- B+ -22 F C- B
 Sat, Jan 17 231 @Florida Gulf Coast L 72 - 90 19% -6  7 - 9 3 - 3 -19 -4 F+ F A- -15 F F C+
 Thu, Jan 22 233 Central Arkansas L 65 - 86 38% -9  7 - 10 3 - 4 -28 -8 C+ A+ F -21 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 186 Queens W 74 - 66 30% +4  8 - 10 4 - 4 +3 -2 B D- F+ +5 A- D+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 302 @Bellarmine L 76 - 81 30%
 Sat, Jan 31 175 Austin Peay L 71 - 77 28%
 Thu, Feb 5 348 North Florida W 88 - 83 67%
 Sat, Feb 7 283 Jacksonville L 70 - 71 49%
 Wed, Feb 11 328 @North Alabama L 73 - 76 39%
 Sat, Feb 14 233 @Central Arkansas L 70 - 79 19%
 Wed, Feb 18 258 @Eastern Kentucky L 74 - 82 23%
 Sat, Feb 21 186 @Queens L 74 - 86 14%
 Wed, Feb 25 167 Lipscomb L 73 - 80 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 328 North Alabama W 76 - 73 60%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 10 -10 -5 D- C C -6 D C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 2.0 6.5 4.0 0.6 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 8.9 6.3 0.9 0.0 17.5 6th
7th 0.3 6.7 9.3 1.5 0.0 17.9 7th
8th 0.0 3.2 10.2 2.6 0.1 16.2 8th
9th 0.6 7.7 4.4 0.2 12.9 9th
10th 0.1 2.9 5.0 0.5 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.5 3.0 0.9 0.0 4.5 11th
12th 1.1 1.0 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 1.7 7.5 17.2 23.3 23.1 15.4 8.0 2.9 0.7 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 28.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.7% 0.7
11-7 2.9% 2.9
10-8 8.0% 8.0
9-9 15.4% 15.4
8-10 23.1% 23.1
7-11 23.3% 23.3
6-12 17.2% 17.2
5-13 7.5% 7.5
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%