Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#181
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#234
Pace71.8#123
Improvement+1.1#109

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#136
First Shot+0.5#158
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#145
Layup/Dunks+2.6#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#226
Freethrows-1.1#252
Improvement-1.0#262

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#255
First Shot-3.5#298
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#117
Layups/Dunks-1.9#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#143
Freethrows-4.4#358
Improvement+2.1#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.5% 20.4% 14.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.3 14.9
.500 or above 70.7% 87.5% 68.3%
.500 or above in Conference 87.2% 92.0% 86.6%
Conference Champion 19.7% 28.0% 18.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.5%
First Four1.4% 0.4% 1.6%
First Round14.8% 20.2% 14.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 12.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 14 @Illinois L 70-113 3%     0 - 1 -22.2 +0.1 -19.5
  Tue, Nov 11 231 Georgia Southern L 94-95 71%     0 - 2 -8.0 +12.6 -20.6
  Sat, Nov 15 225 Chattanooga W 91-73 69%     1 - 2 +11.3 +13.7 -2.2
  Wed, Nov 19 232 @Samford W 77-62 48%     2 - 2 +14.0 +3.7 +10.5
  Mon, Nov 24 300 Oral Roberts W 93-88 81%     3 - 2 -5.8 +8.3 -14.3
  Tue, Nov 25 210 Rice W 78-63 OT 68%     4 - 2 +8.9 -7.5 +14.6
  Wed, Nov 26 160 Kennesaw St. L 100-102 OT 56%     4 - 3 -4.9 +5.1 -9.6
  Wed, Dec 3 186 @Florida International L 83-89 39%     4 - 4 -4.7 +5.0 -9.2
  Sun, Dec 7 118 Florida Atlantic L 76-81 43%     4 - 5 -4.8 +1.9 -6.7
  Sun, Dec 14 74 @New Mexico L 75-87 13%    
  Sat, Dec 20 57 @Central Florida L 75-89 10%    
  Thu, Jan 1 283 @Central Arkansas W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Jan 3 196 @North Alabama L 74-76 43%    
  Thu, Jan 8 193 Austin Peay W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 142 Lipscomb W 78-77 51%    
  Thu, Jan 15 191 Queens W 84-81 62%    
  Sat, Jan 17 315 West Georgia W 83-72 83%    
  Thu, Jan 22 193 @Austin Peay L 73-75 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 142 @Lipscomb L 74-80 31%    
  Thu, Jan 29 196 North Alabama W 77-73 64%    
  Sat, Jan 31 291 @Jacksonville W 75-72 60%    
  Thu, Feb 5 257 @Eastern Kentucky W 79-78 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 295 @Bellarmine W 80-77 60%    
  Wed, Feb 11 344 North Florida W 90-77 88%    
  Sat, Feb 14 346 Stetson W 83-70 89%    
  Thu, Feb 19 291 Jacksonville W 78-69 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 283 Central Arkansas W 80-72 77%    
  Thu, Feb 26 344 @North Florida W 87-80 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 346 @Stetson W 80-73 75%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.4 5.8 3.5 1.4 0.3 19.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.7 4.5 1.3 0.1 17.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.1 6.8 3.6 0.7 0.1 15.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.6 6.1 9.3 11.9 14.4 14.9 13.7 10.6 7.1 3.6 1.4 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.0
16-2 96.0% 3.5    3.1 0.4 0.0
15-3 81.3% 5.8    4.2 1.5 0.1
14-4 51.0% 5.4    2.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
13-5 20.6% 2.8    0.7 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.7% 19.7 12.1 5.5 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 52.3% 52.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.4% 44.1% 44.1% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8
16-2 3.6% 36.2% 36.2% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.3
15-3 7.1% 31.7% 31.7% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.1 4.9
14-4 10.6% 25.2% 25.2% 14.6 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.2 7.9
13-5 13.7% 19.4% 19.4% 14.9 0.1 0.5 1.5 0.5 11.0
12-6 14.9% 15.6% 15.6% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.8 12.6
11-7 14.4% 11.6% 11.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 12.8
10-8 11.9% 8.7% 8.7% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 10.9
9-9 9.3% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 8.8
8-10 6.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.9
7-11 3.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.5
6-12 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 1.8
5-13 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.5% 15.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.7 6.2 4.1 84.5 0.0%