Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#142
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#151
Pace72.4#103
Improvement+6.7#1

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#178
First Shot-1.1#204
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#144
Layup/Dunks+1.9#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#361
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#34
Freethrows-4.2#351
Improvement+3.7#10

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#119
First Shot-0.1#178
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#69
Layups/Dunks-0.3#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement+3.1#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.9% 41.4% 28.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.0 14.0
.500 or above 94.3% 99.7% 94.3%
.500 or above in Conference 96.7% 99.7% 96.6%
Conference Champion 43.2% 60.4% 43.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round28.8% 41.4% 28.6%
Second Round1.7% 3.1% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 11 - 4
Quad 34 - 44 - 8
Quad 416 - 420 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 11 @Vanderbilt L 61-105 4%     0 - 1 -22.7 -7.9 -12.0
  Sun, Nov 9 169 @Mercer L 77-92 46%     0 - 2 -12.9 +5.7 -18.9
  Tue, Nov 11 227 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 57%     0 - 3 -5.7 -4.9 -1.2
  Wed, Nov 19 85 @Belmont L 68-75 21%     0 - 4 +2.6 -7.8 +11.1
  Sat, Nov 22 294 Western Carolina W 83-62 86%     1 - 4 +10.7 +1.0 +8.4
  Wed, Nov 26 159 @Marshall W 90-67 42%     2 - 4 +26.1 +9.2 +14.6
  Sat, Nov 29 217 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88-77 56%     3 - 4 +10.6 +4.8 +4.4
  Wed, Dec 3 265 Tennessee Tech W 83-80 82%     4 - 4 -5.6 +2.0 -7.8
  Sun, Dec 7 290 Alabama A&M W 92-58 85%     5 - 4 +23.8 +22.0 +4.1
  Tue, Dec 16 2 @Duke L 61-85 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 78 @Cincinnati L 68-77 19%    
  Thu, Jan 1 291 Jacksonville W 76-65 85%    
  Sat, Jan 3 344 North Florida W 89-73 93%    
  Thu, Jan 8 346 @Stetson W 79-69 82%    
  Sat, Jan 10 181 @Florida Gulf Coast L 77-78 49%    
  Thu, Jan 15 295 Bellarmine W 82-70 86%    
  Sat, Jan 17 193 Austin Peay W 75-69 71%    
  Thu, Jan 22 346 Stetson W 82-66 93%    
  Sat, Jan 24 181 Florida Gulf Coast W 80-74 69%    
  Thu, Jan 29 291 @Jacksonville W 73-68 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 344 @North Florida W 86-76 81%    
  Thu, Feb 5 193 @Austin Peay W 72-71 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 283 Central Arkansas W 79-68 83%    
  Wed, Feb 11 257 Eastern Kentucky W 81-72 81%    
  Sat, Feb 14 191 @Queens W 80-79 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 295 @Bellarmine W 79-73 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 196 North Alabama W 76-69 72%    
  Wed, Feb 25 315 @West Georgia W 78-71 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 257 @Eastern Kentucky W 78-75 62%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 4.2 9.5 12.1 9.8 5.4 1.4 43.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.1 8.0 6.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 21.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.6 3.5 0.8 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.0 3.8 6.1 9.7 12.9 16.2 16.7 14.3 10.1 5.4 1.4 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
17-1 99.8% 5.4    5.3 0.1
16-2 97.0% 9.8    8.9 1.0 0.0
15-3 84.2% 12.1    8.8 3.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 57.3% 9.5    4.7 3.8 0.9 0.1
13-5 26.0% 4.2    1.1 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
12-6 5.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 43.2% 43.2 30.2 10.1 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.4% 59.9% 59.9% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.5
17-1 5.4% 51.9% 51.9% 13.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 2.6
16-2 10.1% 45.2% 45.2% 13.4 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.6
15-3 14.3% 38.5% 38.5% 13.8 0.2 1.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 8.8
14-4 16.7% 31.5% 31.5% 14.1 0.0 1.1 2.6 1.5 0.1 11.4
13-5 16.2% 26.7% 26.7% 14.4 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.8 0.2 11.9
12-6 12.9% 20.5% 20.5% 14.7 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.2 10.3
11-7 9.7% 17.3% 17.3% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.4 8.1
10-8 6.1% 12.8% 12.8% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 5.3
9-9 3.8% 9.3% 9.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.5
8-10 2.0% 6.0% 6.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.9
7-11 0.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
6-12 0.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
5-13 0.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 28.9% 28.9% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 7.2 10.9 7.5 1.5 71.1 0.0%