North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#196
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#160
Pace66.6#258
Improvement+2.2#50

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#208
First Shot-6.7#345
After Offensive Rebound+5.2#5
Layup/Dunks-1.3#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#220
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#264
Freethrows-2.1#301
Improvement+0.4#140

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#200
First Shot+0.2#164
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#273
Layups/Dunks-0.6#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#236
Freethrows+1.6#88
Improvement+1.8#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.9% 14.8% 10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 70.4% 80.4% 57.5%
.500 or above in Conference 82.1% 85.8% 77.3%
Conference Champion 15.0% 17.5% 11.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.8% 1.5%
First Four0.8% 0.6% 1.1%
First Round12.5% 14.5% 9.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Away) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 412 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 80 @Mississippi St. L 62-86 12%     0 - 1 -13.7 -7.2 -5.9
  Tue, Nov 11 274 Northwestern St. W 87-83 OT 73%     1 - 1 -4.9 +2.4 -7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 123 East Tennessee St. L 74-78 41%     1 - 2 -4.1 +2.9 -7.0
  Mon, Nov 17 36 @Clemson L 61-81 6%     1 - 3 -4.4 +2.5 -9.2
  Sat, Nov 22 225 @Chattanooga L 57-71 43%     1 - 4 -14.7 -9.2 -7.7
  Mon, Dec 1 252 @Jacksonville St. W 73-66 49%     2 - 4 +4.9 +5.8 -0.5
  Wed, Dec 3 96 @San Francisco W 65-63 16%     3 - 4 +10.4 +1.3 +9.2
  Mon, Dec 15 290 @Alabama A&M W 70-68 56%    
  Fri, Dec 19 134 @Loyola Marymount L 65-72 26%    
  Thu, Jan 1 346 Stetson W 77-65 87%    
  Sat, Jan 3 181 Florida Gulf Coast W 76-74 57%    
  Thu, Jan 8 257 @Eastern Kentucky L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 295 @Bellarmine W 75-73 57%    
  Thu, Jan 15 344 North Florida W 84-72 87%    
  Sat, Jan 17 291 Jacksonville W 73-65 76%    
  Wed, Jan 21 191 @Queens L 75-79 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 283 Central Arkansas W 75-68 74%    
  Thu, Jan 29 181 @Florida Gulf Coast L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 346 @Stetson W 74-68 72%    
  Wed, Feb 4 283 @Central Arkansas W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 193 @Austin Peay L 68-71 38%    
  Wed, Feb 11 315 West Georgia W 77-67 81%    
  Sat, Feb 14 257 Eastern Kentucky W 77-71 70%    
  Wed, Feb 18 191 Queens W 78-76 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 142 @Lipscomb L 69-76 28%    
  Wed, Feb 25 295 Bellarmine W 78-70 75%    
  Sat, Feb 28 315 @West Georgia W 74-70 62%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.2 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.2 15.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.7 5.8 4.1 1.3 0.2 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.3 3.2 0.6 0.0 14.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.8 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.3 2.4 0.4 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 4.9 7.6 10.4 13.2 14.2 14.2 11.8 8.9 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.0
16-2 94.3% 2.6    2.3 0.3 0.0
15-3 75.8% 4.2    2.8 1.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 47.2% 4.2    2.0 1.7 0.5 0.0
13-5 19.6% 2.3    0.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.0% 15.0 8.8 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 49.1% 49.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.0% 41.0% 41.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6
16-2 2.8% 36.4% 36.4% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.8
15-3 5.5% 29.5% 29.5% 13.9 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 3.9
14-4 8.9% 24.6% 24.6% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.0 6.8
13-5 11.8% 18.5% 18.5% 14.6 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.2 9.6
12-6 14.2% 14.6% 14.6% 14.9 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.4 12.1
11-7 14.2% 10.6% 10.6% 15.3 0.1 0.8 0.6 12.7
10-8 13.2% 8.2% 8.2% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 12.1
9-9 10.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.0
8-10 7.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.4
7-11 4.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.8
6-12 3.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 2.9
5-13 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.9% 12.9% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.8 4.9 2.4 87.1 0.0%