IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.8	#314
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.3	#90
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.3	#294

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.5	#311

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	0.9%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.5	15.2

.500 or above	9.3%	11.9%	2.8%
.500 or above in Conference	20.9%	24.1%	12.7%
Conference Champion	0.6%	0.8%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	20.7%	17.3%	29.5%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.7%	0.9%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 71.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 6	2 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 7	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	347	Louisiana Monroe	W	75-69	72%
Nov 07, 2025	26	@ Wisconsin	L	60-87	1%
Nov 10, 2025	78	@ Grand Canyon	L	67-86	4%
Nov 18, 2025	112	@ Northern Iowa	L	62-78	8%
Nov 21, 2025	94	@ Loyola Chicago	L	63-80	6%
Nov 25, 2025	272	@ Austin Peay	L	68-74	31%
Nov 29, 2025	319	Bellarmine	W	75-72	61%
Dec 02, 2025	326	Lindenwood	W	75-71	64%
Dec 06, 2025	107	@ Bradley	L	62-78	8%
Dec 13, 2025	224	@ Elon	L	67-75	24%
Dec 20, 2025	299	Central Michigan	W	73-71	57%
Dec 30, 2025	337	Buffalo	W	78-73	66%
Jan 03, 2026	127	@ Kent St.	L	64-78	12%
Jan 06, 2026	196	Toledo	L	75-79	38%
Jan 13, 2026	292	@ Eastern Michigan	L	72-76	35%
Jan 17, 2026	170	Massachusetts	L	73-78	33%
Jan 20, 2026	152	@ Ohio	L	71-83	15%
Jan 24, 2026	247	@ Ball St.	L	69-76	28%
Jan 27, 2026	282	Western Michigan	W	74-73	53%
Jan 31, 2026	125	@ Miami (OH)	L	68-82	12%
Feb 11, 2026	212	Bowling Green	L	72-75	41%
Feb 14, 2026	299	@ Central Michigan	L	70-74	37%
Feb 17, 2026	337	@ Buffalo	L	75-76	47%
Feb 21, 2026	152	Ohio	L	74-80	31%
Feb 24, 2026	196	@ Toledo	L	72-82	22%
Feb 28, 2026	247	Ball St.	L	72-73	46%
Mar 03, 2026	127	Kent St.	L	67-75	26%
Mar 06, 2026	108	@ Akron	L	71-87	9%
Projected Record						9 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0					2.3	3rd
4th										0.1	0.8	1.4	0.8	0.1							3.1	4th
5th									0.0	1.1	2.2	1.2	0.2	0.0							4.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.1	3.1	1.8	0.3									6.4	6th
7th							0.1	1.1	3.4	2.5	0.4	0.0									7.5	7th
8th						0.0	1.0	3.7	3.7	0.7	0.0										9.2	8th
9th					0.0	1.1	4.1	4.7	1.2	0.1											11.2	9th
10th				0.1	0.9	4.5	5.1	1.8	0.1												12.5	10th
11th			0.1	1.2	4.5	5.7	2.1	0.2	0.0												13.9	11th
12th		0.2	1.8	4.8	5.1	1.8	0.3														13.9	12th
13th	1.1	3.3	4.5	3.1	1.1	0.2															13.4	13th

Total	1.1	3.5	6.4	9.2	11.7	13.3	12.7	11.6	9.6	7.5	5.3	3.7	2.2	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	93.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	61.8%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	30.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	7.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.6%	0.0			0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%		33.3%	33.3%		13.0														0.0				0.0
16-2	0.1%		31.1%	31.1%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.3%		20.4%	20.4%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
14-4	0.6%		8.7%	8.7%		14.0													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
13-5	1.1%		11.6%	11.6%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		1.0
12-6	2.2%		5.1%	5.1%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0		2.1
11-7	3.7%		2.3%	2.3%		16.3															0.0	0.1	0.0	3.6
10-8	5.3%		1.7%	1.7%		17.7															0.0	0.1	0.0	5.2
9-9	7.5%		1.3%	1.3%		16.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	7.4
8-10	9.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.2																	0.0	9.6
7-11	11.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
6-12	12.7%																							12.7
5-13	13.3%																							13.3
4-14	11.7%																							11.7
3-15	9.2%																							9.2
2-16	6.4%																							6.4
1-17	3.5%																							3.5
0-18	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	15.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	99.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%