IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Washington
Big Ten
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.2	#48
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.8	#153
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+7.2	#37

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.0	#69

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	2.0%	2.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	7.5%	7.5%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	16.3%	16.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	40.6%	40.6%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	39.8%	39.8%	0.0%
Average Seed	7.0	7.0	n/a

.500 or above	62.2%	62.2%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	37.3%	37.3%	0.0%
Conference Champion	1.3%	1.3%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	6.9%	6.9%	0.0%

First Four	4.9%	4.9%	0.0%
First Round	38.2%	38.2%	0.0%
Second Round	23.9%	23.9%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	8.9%	9.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	3.3%	3.3%	0.0%
Final Four	1.2%	1.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 100.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 3	4 - 11
Quad 2	4 - 3	9 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	12 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	97-59	100.0%
Nov 06, 2025	322	Denver	W	84-60	98%
Nov 09, 2025	24	@ Baylor	L	67-74	26%
Nov 14, 2025	128	@ Washington St.	W	80-74	71%
Nov 18, 2025	189	Southern	W	80-64	92%
Nov 27, 2025	104	Nevada	W	71-65	71%
Dec 03, 2025	13	UCLA	L	68-72	38%
Dec 06, 2025	29	@ USC	L	72-78	30%
Dec 13, 2025	271	Southern Utah	W	84-64	96%
Dec 19, 2025	121	@ Seattle	W	72-66	69%
Dec 22, 2025	180	San Diego	W	86-71	91%
Dec 29, 2025	89	Utah	W	78-70	77%
Jan 04, 2026	33	@ Indiana	L	71-76	33%
Jan 07, 2026	2	@ Purdue	L	65-80	10%
Jan 11, 2026	27	Ohio St.	L	74-75	47%
Jan 14, 2026	6	Michigan	L	73-78	32%
Jan 17, 2026	21	Michigan St.	L	71-73	44%
Jan 21, 2026	59	@ Nebraska	L	73-74	46%
Jan 25, 2026	28	Oregon	L	73-74	48%
Jan 29, 2026	15	@ Illinois	L	75-84	22%
Jan 31, 2026	72	@ Northwestern	W	70-69	51%
Feb 04, 2026	34	Iowa	W	78-77	52%
Feb 07, 2026	13	@ UCLA	L	65-75	22%
Feb 11, 2026	90	Penn St.	W	79-71	76%
Feb 14, 2026	87	Minnesota	W	72-64	75%
Feb 21, 2026	40	@ Maryland	L	72-76	36%
Feb 24, 2026	82	@ Rutgers	W	75-73	55%
Feb 28, 2026	26	Wisconsin	L	74-75	47%
Mar 04, 2026	29	USC	L	74-75	49%
Mar 07, 2026	28	@ Oregon	L	71-77	30%
Projected Record						16 - 14	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.1	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.3	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.0				2.1	2nd
3rd													0.0	0.4	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0					2.8	3rd
4th													0.4	1.7	1.2	0.4	0.0						3.6	4th
5th												0.3	1.6	1.8	0.5	0.0							4.4	5th
6th											0.1	1.3	2.5	0.8	0.1								4.9	6th
7th										0.0	0.8	2.8	1.7	0.1	0.0								5.6	7th
8th										0.4	2.5	2.5	0.4	0.0									5.8	8th
9th								0.0	0.2	1.9	3.3	1.0	0.0										6.5	9th
10th								0.1	1.3	3.4	2.1	0.1											7.0	10th
11th							0.0	0.5	3.4	2.9	0.5	0.0											7.4	11th
12th							0.3	2.6	3.3	1.1	0.0												7.3	12th
13th						0.2	1.8	3.9	2.2	0.2													8.3	13th
14th					0.1	1.2	3.7	2.6	0.4	0.0													8.1	14th
15th				0.1	1.0	3.1	2.8	0.8	0.0														7.7	15th
16th			0.1	0.8	2.5	3.0	1.1	0.1															7.5	16th
17th		0.1	0.8	1.9	2.1	0.9	0.1																6.0	17th
18th	0.2	0.7	1.1	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0																3.7	18th

Total	0.2	0.8	2.0	4.0	6.1	8.6	9.8	10.5	10.8	10.0	9.5	8.0	6.8	5.0	3.6	2.1	1.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	85.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	50.0%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
16-4	32.1%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	6.7%	0.1			0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	1.6%	0.1		0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.3%	1.3		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	28.4%	71.6%	1.4		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.3%		100.0%	37.4%	62.6%	1.7		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.6%		100.0%	18.4%	81.6%	2.2		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-4	1.4%		100.0%	13.9%	86.1%	2.9		0.2	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0													100.0%
15-5	2.1%		100.0%	8.7%	91.3%	3.6		0.1	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0												100.0%
14-6	3.6%		100.0%	6.7%	93.3%	4.6		0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
13-7	5.0%		99.6%	2.7%	96.9%	5.5		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.2	1.1	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0							0.0		99.6%
12-8	6.8%		97.9%	2.0%	95.9%	6.7			0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.3	1.7	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0						0.1		97.9%
11-9	8.0%		90.2%	0.6%	89.6%	7.7				0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.6	1.9	1.3	0.9	0.1						0.8		90.2%
10-10	9.5%		75.4%	0.6%	74.8%	8.7				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.6	1.8	1.8	0.6	0.0					2.3		75.2%
9-11	10.0%		46.5%	0.4%	46.1%	9.7						0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.6	1.3	0.1					5.3		46.3%
8-12	10.8%		15.2%	0.1%	15.1%	10.4								0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.0	0.0				9.2		15.1%
7-13	10.5%		2.9%		2.9%	10.8									0.0		0.1	0.2	0.0					10.2		2.9%
6-14	9.8%		0.3%		0.3%	10.5											0.0	0.0						9.8		0.3%
5-15	8.6%																							8.6
4-16	6.1%																							6.1
3-17	4.0%																							4.0
2-18	2.0%																							2.0
1-19	0.8%																							0.8
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		40.6%	1.3%	39.3%	7.0		0.6	1.3	2.3	3.3	4.3	4.5	5.5	5.7	4.8	5.0	3.1	0.2	0.0				59.4		39.8%