TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.1 177
Results Rating -1.5 188
Consistency 0.11 15
Pace 65.8 255
Improvement +2.8 85

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 255 D+ C- D+ C C+
Defense C+ 121 C C+ B+ F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 18 D 52% 319 +1.3 126
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 58 D+ 36% 260 +0.3 160
Three Pointers 31% 348 C 34% 168 -4.7 330
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 158 D -3.3 294
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 277
Second Chance C 30.0% 191 D+ 0.97 270 C- 0.29 222
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 192
Other Turnovers D- 8.8% 338
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 286
Freethrows C+ 0.32 130 F+ 67% 343 C 0.21 199
Total Offense D+ -3.0 255

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 311 D+ 13.0% 304
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 157 D+ 6.6% 289
Three Pointers C 84% 193 C- 1.1% 246
Total D 48% 320 F+ 7.8% 346


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 63 C- 60% 228 +3.5 298
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 207 C 38% 165 -0.5 149
Three Pointers 37% 283 B- 32% 85 -2.9 53
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 258 C -0.3 166
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 180
Second Chance C+ 28.8% 125 C+ 1.00 133 C+ 0.29 109
Turnovers from Steals B 11.3% 53
Other Turnovers B 8.2% 70
Turnovers B+ 19.4% 35
Freethrows F 0.41 360 C+ 72% 133 F 0.29 356
Total Defense C+ +2.0 121

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 101 D+ 8.4% 274
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 168 C+ 5.6% 115
Three Pointers D- 90% 345 D+ 0.4% 279
Total C+ 53% 142 C- 4.9% 227

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 284 17.0 124
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 154 0.18 234
Consistency 0.12 130 0.12 180
Improvement +3.3 45 -0.6 215

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 178 177 177
Results Rating Rank 188 188 188
Conference Record 13 - 9 13 - 9 13 - 9
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 30 - 41 - 12
Quad 413 - 314 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 42 @SMU L 58 - 69 6% -2  30% 0 - 1 B- +5 F -12 F D- B A+ +16 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 229 @Tarleton St. L 77 - 85 50% -13  0% 0 - 2 D -9 B- +4 D C- B+ F -13 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 21 @Kansas L 46 - 77 3% -19  0% 0 - 3 D -11 F -18 F F+ D+ A- +8 F+ B- A+
 Sun, Nov 16 58 @Oklahoma St. L 69 - 85 10% -9  4% 0 - 4 C- -3 F -10 F D- C- A +9 B- C- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 88 @Xavier L 67 - 88 16% -12  11% 0 - 5 D- -12 F -11 F D- A- C+ +1 C+ A- F
 Sat, Dec 6 238 @Lamar W 57 - 49 52% +1  55% 1 - 5 1 - 0 B- +6 D- -8 D- C F A+ +15 B+ B+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 106 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 69 21% -1  44% 1 - 6 1 - 1 C- -2 D -5 F+ B- D+ B- +3 C- C+ A
 Mon, Dec 29 241 Nicholls St. L 71 - 76 74% -3  29% 1 - 7 1 - 2 D- -13 C -0 B+ C D- F -13 F F B
 Wed, Dec 31 201 New Orleans W 83 - 69 65% +6  67% 2 - 7 2 - 2 B +9 B- +5 F A+ B B +4 B- B A
 Sat, Jan 3 134 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 63 - 59 29% +1  59% 3 - 7 3 - 2 B +9 D+ -3 D- A D- A+ +12 A+ A C
 Mon, Jan 5 290 @Houston Christian W 81 - 65 63% +8  80% 4 - 7 4 - 2 B +11 B- +5 C B+ B- B+ +7 B D- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 279 @Northwestern St. L 78 - 79 61% +7  91% 4 - 8 4 - 3 C- -5 B- +5 C+ D- A- F+ -10 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 302 @East Texas A&M W 61 - 50 67% +5  88% 5 - 8 5 - 3 B- +5 F -12 F B- F A+ +18 A+ C- B+
 Sat, Jan 17 286 SE Louisiana W 68 - 56 81% +14  99% 6 - 8 6 - 3 C+ +2 F+ -10 D+ C+ F A+ +11 C+ B A+
 Mon, Jan 19 80 McNeese St. L 53 - 69 30% -6  13% 6 - 9 6 - 4 D- -12 F+ -9 D F A D -5 B F A
 Sat, Jan 24 267 @Incarnate Word W 79 - 71 57% +10  94% 7 - 9 7 - 4 B- +5 C +1 C B+ F B +4 F+ B+ A+
 Mon, Jan 26 134 UT Rio Grande Valley L 55 - 64 51% -3  26% 7 - 10 7 - 5 D -10 F -15 F F F+ B +4 A- D- B+
 Sat, Jan 31 290 Houston Christian W 73 - 71 81% +0  45% 8 - 10 8 - 5 D -9 B- +4 B+ F C- F -12 F A+ B
 Mon, Feb 2 267 Incarnate Word L 69 - 71 77% -4  5% 8 - 11 8 - 6 D -11 F+ -9 D- F C- C- -2 F A+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 241 @Nicholls St. W 83 - 76 53% +2  74% 9 - 11 9 - 6 B- +5 A- +10 A C B- D+ -4 D+ F+ D+
 Mon, Feb 9 201 @New Orleans L 78 - 84 OT 43% +1  52% 9 - 12 9 - 7 D+ -5 F -13 F D- F A +9 B- A A+
 Sat, Feb 14 238 Lamar W 76 - 63 74% +12  94% 10 - 12 10 - 7 B- +5 C+ +2 D+ C- A+ B +4 B- A+ A
 Mon, Feb 16 106 Stephen F. Austin L 68 - 78 41% -13  0% 10 - 13 10 - 8 D -9 D+ -3 D- D+ C+ D -6 D- A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 80 @McNeese St. L 54 - 70 14% -5  22% 10 - 14 10 - 9 D+ -6 F -12 B F F B +5 B- D+ B-
 Mon, Feb 23 286 @SE Louisiana W 73 - 68 62% +6  95% 11 - 14 11 - 9 C +1 B- +4 C+ A+ F D+ -3 F D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 279 Northwestern St. W 71 - 59 80% +5  62% 12 - 14 12 - 9 C+ +2 C+ +3 C D- A+ C+ +1 A- F B+
 Mon, Mar 2 302 East Texas A&M W 84 - 71 84% +1  54% 13 - 14 13 - 9 C +1 B+ +8 A+ C D D -6 F C+ B-
 Mon, Mar 9 201 New Orleans W 74 - 61 54% +5  80% 14 - 14 B +11 A- +11 B A+ F B- +2 A+ A- F
 Tue, Mar 10 106 Stephen F. Austin L 58 - 60 30% +1  53% 14 - 15 C+ +2 D- -6 A F+ F A- +8 C A+ D-
Totals 14 - 15 13 - 9 -1 D+ -3 F D C+ C+ +2 C F+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D D+ C D 46% 49% 31% C+ D+ C D+ C- D+ C+ F+ C C+ C- C B- C 43% 20% 37% D+ C C+ C+ C+ B+ F C+ F
1.04 52% 36% 34% -3 0 0.96 30% 1.0 .29 18% .32 67% .21 1.06 60% 38% 32% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 19% .41 72% .23
Nov
6		 SMU F F+ F D+ F 29% 23% 48% C F C+ F D- B B+ D- B- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% B- A+ A A+ A+ D+ F F F
0.84 47% 8% 32% -12 -1 0.77 31% 0.6 .19 16% .31 67% .21 1.00 53% 29% 29% -7 -1 0.85 31% 0.5 .17 13% .47 82% .38
Nov
8		 Tarleton St. B- F D+ B+ D- 45% 17% 38% B D B F+ C- B+ A+ F B F A+ F F F 37% 29% 34% B- F D+ F F C- F D F
1.11 48% 38% 39% -2 +1 1.00 38% 0.9 .35 19% .52 62% .32 1.23 40% 58% 50% +8 -1 1.15 35% 1.4 .50 19% .66 78% .52
Nov
11		 Kansas F D F F F 55% 22% 24% A F F C- F+ D+ C- F D- A- F F+ B- F 30% 21% 49% C F+ A D- B- A+ F A+ D-
0.65 47% 17% 8% -20 +1 0.64 14% 0.8 .12 17% .22 54% .12 1.08 92% 44% 33% +11 -1 1.23 26% 1.3 .33 25% .41 68% .28
Nov
16		 Oklahoma St. F F+ F F F 55% 13% 33% A- F D- C- D- C- A+ A- A+ A F D+ A+ B- 47% 10% 43% C- B- C+ D+ C- A+ F F+ F
0.88 47% 14% 22% -15 +2 0.76 21% 1.1 .23 18% .41 77% .31 1.09 79% 40% 18% 0 +2 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 22% .44 81% .36
Nov
28		 Xavier F F+ D- F F 48% 30% 22% C- F C- F D- A- B F D+ C+ B+ A+ F B- 36% 20% 44% D- C+ B- A+ A- F F A+ C
0.89 48% 33% 23% -10 0 0.82 26% 0.6 .16 13% .31 55% .17 1.17 55% 25% 44% +3 0 1.08 25% 0.8 .20 7% .34 58% .20
Dec
6		 Lamar D- F+ B D D- 35% 25% 40% D D- F A+ C F C+ D+ C A+ B+ A+ C B+ 28% 39% 33% B B+ A+ F B+ B- B B- B
0.95 50% 40% 31% -4 -1 0.93 21% 1.5 .32 22% .40 68% .28 0.81 46% 28% 33% -8 -3 0.80 21% 1.1 .24 18% .18 67% .12
Dec
17		 Stephen F. Austin D F+ F D- F 50% 17% 33% B+ F+ A F+ B- D+ A+ F A B- D+ A+ F C- 45% 29% 26% D+ C- B D C+ A F A+ F
0.94 48% 29% 29% -10 +1 0.86 38% 0.9 .35 19% .48 56% .27 1.08 59% 18% 50% +1 -1 1.03 28% 1.1 .31 17% .72 55% .40
Dec
29		 Nicholls St. C C- B A+ B+ 45% 16% 39% C+ B+ C- C+ C D- F+ C- F+ F B+ F F F+ 50% 7% 43% F F D+ F F B D- F F
1.12 60% 43% 47% +9 +1 1.23 32% 1.1 .36 24% .27 77% .21 1.20 50% 67% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 1.7 .48 19% .33 88% .29
Dec
31		 New Orleans B- F F+ C F 60% 23% 17% B F A+ B A+ B A- B A- B B+ C- B B- 36% 34% 30% A- B- C+ B B A F A+ F
1.21 41% 33% 33% -12 +1 0.81 50% 1.1 .56 13% .42 76% .32 1.00 50% 40% 31% -4 -2 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 23% .55 66% .36
Jan
3		 UT Rio Grande Valley D+ F F A+ F 58% 24% 18% B D- B A+ A D- A+ F B+ A+ A- F A+ A+ 40% 22% 38% C+ A+ C+ A+ A C F C- F
1.00 42% 27% 50% -8 +1 0.89 36% 1.1 .39 19% .47 63% .29 0.94 50% 60% 12% -11 0 0.80 26% 0.7 .17 17% .42 77% .33
Jan
5		 Houston Christian B- C+ A+ D C 46% 23% 31% D+ C A+ D- B+ B- D+ C D+ B+ D- B+ A+ B 35% 20% 45% C B D- D D- A+ F D- F
1.17 63% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 45% 1.0 .45 16% .26 73% .19 0.94 65% 30% 23% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.0 .32 25% .36 74% .27
Jan
10		 Northwestern St. B- A- A D B- 40% 26% 34% D C+ F+ C D- A- A+ F A F+ D- D- F F 55% 21% 24% F F D F F A+ F D- F
1.15 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 26% 1.1 .29 13% .48 64% .31 1.16 61% 44% 50% +9 +1 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 24% .46 79% .37
Jan
12		 East Texas A&M F F B F F 36% 32% 32% F F D A+ B- F A+ D- A+ A+ B+ C- A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% D- A+ D- B C- B+ F A F
0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31 0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25
Jan
17		 SE Louisiana F+ F A+ A F+ 60% 12% 28% A+ D+ C- B C+ F A F B A+ B A+ D- B 57% 19% 23% F C+ A- D+ B A+ A- A- A-
0.97 38% 80% 42% -4 +3 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 26% .46 67% .31 0.80 52% 11% 36% -8 +2 0.89 21% 1.0 .21 27% .25 62% .16
Jan
19		 McNeese St. F+ B C+ F D+ 30% 35% 35% F D F F F A A+ F A- D C B+ A+ B+ 51% 24% 24% C B F F F A F B+ F
0.90 64% 38% 23% -4 -2 0.89 17% 0.8 .13 20% .51 67% .34 1.17 58% 33% 22% -6 0 0.92 50% 1.4 .68 19% .54 69% .38
Jan
24		 Incarnate Word C F A A+ C 55% 20% 25% C+ C B+ B- B+ F A+ F A+ B C- D- D- F+ 39% 18% 43% D F+ D+ A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ C+
1.15 50% 50% 50% +4 +1 1.13 39% 1.2 .45 22% .67 58% .39 1.03 58% 44% 38% +4 0 1.10 33% 0.7 .22 25% .29 60% .17
Jan
26		 UT Rio Grande Valley F F F F F 41% 38% 21% F F B- F F F+ A+ F A+ B F C- A+ A- 29% 20% 51% B A- F C+ D- B+ F B F
0.86 38% 27% 25% -16 -2 0.67 36% 0.4 .14 20% .81 63% .51 1.01 83% 38% 19% -4 -1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .49 72% .36
Jan
31		 Houston Christian B- A- F B+ B 60% 13% 28% A- B+ B F F C- A+ F+ A F C- D+ F F 29% 24% 46% B+ F F+ A+ A+ B F F F
1.20 71% 17% 38% +7 +3 1.21 37% 0.5 .19 18% .42 67% .28 1.17 58% 40% 53% +14 -1 1.27 34% 0.2 .07 20% .41 85% .35
Feb
2		 Incarnate Word F+ C F C+ D- 43% 28% 30% D- D- F F F C- B+ C+ B+ C- F+ A+ F F 52% 18% 30% F F A+ A+ A+ B F C F
1.05 60% 31% 36% 0 -1 1.00 22% 0.7 .16 17% .42 74% .31 1.08 65% 25% 46% +7 +1 1.18 20% 0.5 .10 18% .45 71% .32
Feb
7		 Nicholls St. A- B+ B+ A+ A 53% 19% 28% C+ A F A+ C B- A B+ A+ D+ F D+ A D+ 39% 16% 45% C- D+ A- F F+ D+ F+ C+ D-
1.23 68% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 25% 1.5 .38 19% .42 83% .35 1.12 70% 38% 26% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.7 .35 15% .35 65% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 New Orleans F B+ F F F 47% 19% 34% C+ F D D D- F A+ D+ A+ A C C+ A+ B 56% 24% 20% F+ B- A+ C A A+ F C F
0.90 64% 10% 17% -11 +1 0.81 30% 0.9 .28 22% .54 70% .38 0.96 56% 36% 22% -5 +1 0.93 23% 1.0 .23 25% .86 75% .65
Feb
14		 Lamar C+ F+ F+ A D- 58% 16% 27% A D+ C- C- C- A+ A+ C- A+ B C- C- A+ B- 39% 37% 24% C- B- A A+ A+ A F F F
1.13 50% 29% 42% -3 +2 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 10% .58 69% .40 0.94 56% 40% 20% -5 -2 0.88 26% 0.5 .13 22% .52 85% .44
Feb
16		 Stephen F. Austin D+ D- A+ F F+ 44% 16% 40% B- D- C+ F+ D+ C+ F+ C+ D- D C+ C- F D 48% 20% 32% F D- B+ A+ A+ F+ F C- F
1.01 50% 56% 23% -7 +1 0.89 30% 0.9 .27 16% .21 75% .16 1.16 54% 40% 44% +3 +1 1.10 27% 0.7 .19 9% .43 69% .29
Feb
21		 McNeese St. F F A+ A+ B- 40% 5% 55% A B F D+ F F F F F B C- A A+ B+ 51% 14% 35% F+ B- C+ F D+ B- F C+ F
0.82 44% 50% 41% +1 +2 1.08 21% 1.0 .21 34% .18 63% .11 1.07 60% 29% 24% -6 +2 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 15% .40 73% .29
Feb
23		 SE Louisiana B- F+ A+ A+ C+ 54% 32% 15% C C+ B+ A+ A+ F B C B D+ F F A F 27% 34% 39% A F D C+ D+ B F C+ F
1.13 50% 54% 50% +4 0 1.10 38% 1.5 .58 25% .41 75% .31 1.05 82% 50% 25% +5 -3 1.07 31% 0.9 .28 20% .52 67% .35
Feb
28		 Northwestern St. C+ C F A C- 41% 14% 45% B- C D D- D- A+ C+ F D+ C+ A+ A+ F A+ 51% 27% 22% F+ A- C F F B+ F F F
1.17 60% 14% 41% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.0 .28 8% .34 63% .22 0.98 38% 18% 44% -12 0 0.78 24% 1.6 .38 20% .43 81% .35
Mar
2		 East Texas A&M B+ A+ F A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% B+ A+ A+ F C D B+ A A D F F F F 40% 13% 48% D F B D C+ B- F A+ D+
1.25 75% 20% 44% +12 +2 1.31 48% 0.8 .37 19% .37 80% .29 1.06 68% 50% 39% +9 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 19% .39 48% .18
Mar
9		 New Orleans A- F A A+ B 46% 21% 33% C+ B A+ A+ A+ F D F F B- B+ D- A+ A+ 35% 23% 43% C A+ F A+ A- F F B+ F
1.27 44% 50% 46% +2 +1 1.08 61% 1.4 .86 29% .32 62% .19 1.05 50% 44% 18% -12 0 0.78 43% 0.6 .26 14% .60 70% .42
Mar
10		 Stephen F. Austin D- B A A+ A+ 33% 35% 33% F A D F F+ F D- D D- A- B F+ C+ C+ 42% 29% 29% D+ C A+ A+ A+ D- B A+ A
0.95 62% 50% 46% +11 -2 1.20 24% 0.8 .20 28% .23 70% .16 0.98 50% 47% 33% -1 -1 0.98 17% 0.7 .11 10% .18 50% .09



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9 0.0%
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9 100.0% 100.0
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%