TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#215
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#198
Pace68.4#215
Improvement+0.4#161

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#297
First Shot-6.3#336
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#80
Layup/Dunks-0.7#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#315
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement-0.4#211

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#124
First Shot+0.0#172
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#89
Layups/Dunks+3.1#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#250
Freethrows-3.9#352
Improvement+0.7#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 7.5% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 30.8% 51.5% 24.6%
.500 or above in Conference 63.0% 82.1% 57.3%
Conference Champion 4.5% 10.3% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 1.5% 6.1%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round4.3% 7.4% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Away) - 23.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 53 - 11
Quad 49 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 39 @SMU L 58-69 5%     0 - 1 +4.0 -7.9 +11.8
  Sat, Nov 8 199 @Tarleton St. L 77-85 36%     0 - 2 -7.6 +5.8 -13.4
  Tue, Nov 11 17 @Kansas L 46-77 3%     0 - 3 -11.2 -15.8 +5.2
  Sun, Nov 16 53 @Oklahoma St. L 69-85 7%     0 - 4 -2.7 -5.8 +4.7
  Fri, Nov 28 77 @Xavier L 67-88 10%     0 - 5 -10.4 -4.5 -4.5
  Sat, Dec 6 224 @Lamar W 57-49 40%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +7.3 -3.1 +11.7
  Wed, Dec 17 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 65-73 23%    
  Mon, Dec 29 258 Nicholls St. W 72-67 69%    
  Wed, Dec 31 245 New Orleans W 76-71 66%    
  Sat, Jan 3 208 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-72 39%    
  Mon, Jan 5 275 @Houston Christian L 68-69 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 274 @Northwestern St. L 68-69 49%    
  Mon, Jan 12 303 @East Texas A&M W 70-68 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 256 SE Louisiana W 69-64 68%    
  Mon, Jan 19 71 McNeese St. L 64-72 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 189 @Incarnate Word L 68-72 34%    
  Mon, Jan 26 208 UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 275 Houston Christian W 71-65 70%    
  Mon, Feb 2 189 Incarnate Word W 71-69 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 258 @Nicholls St. L 69-70 47%    
  Mon, Feb 9 245 @New Orleans L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 224 Lamar W 66-63 62%    
  Mon, Feb 16 140 Stephen F. Austin L 68-70 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 71 @McNeese St. L 61-75 10%    
  Mon, Feb 23 256 @SE Louisiana L 66-67 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 274 Northwestern St. W 72-66 69%    
  Mon, Mar 2 303 East Texas A&M W 73-65 75%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.6 3.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.8 4.8 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.4 4.9 2.1 0.5 0.1 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 4.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.7 1.8 0.2 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.1 4.9 6.8 8.8 10.6 11.7 12.0 10.8 9.3 7.4 5.4 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
20-2 96.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
19-3 86.6% 0.7    0.6 0.2
18-4 61.7% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0
17-5 32.9% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.0
16-6 14.2% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
15-7 3.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.1% 28.1% 28.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
20-2 0.3% 29.9% 29.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
19-3 0.8% 24.8% 24.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
18-4 1.8% 23.4% 23.4% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4
17-5 3.3% 18.1% 18.1% 14.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7
16-6 5.4% 14.3% 14.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 4.6
15-7 7.4% 10.7% 10.7% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 6.6
14-8 9.3% 7.0% 7.0% 15.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.6
13-9 10.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 10.4
12-10 12.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.8
11-11 11.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.6
10-12 10.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.5
9-13 8.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.8
8-14 6.8% 6.8
7-15 4.9% 4.9
6-16 3.1% 3.1
5-17 1.6% 1.6
4-18 0.8% 0.8
3-19 0.3% 0.3
2-20 0.1% 0.1
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 0.7 95.6 0.0%