SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#256
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#252
Pace67.5#240
Improvement+1.5#78

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#316
First Shot-2.4#241
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#344
Layup/Dunks-2.9#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#337
Freethrows+3.9#15
Improvement+0.9#103

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#161
First Shot+0.8#136
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#241
Layups/Dunks+2.1#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#72
Freethrows-3.2#337
Improvement+0.7#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.7% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 12.0% 15.1% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 33.9% 40.7% 18.2%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 8.2% 24.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Texas A&M (Home) - 70.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 63 - 12
Quad 49 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 60 @Mississippi L 58-88 6%     0 - 1 -17.9 -5.3 -14.1
  Fri, Nov 7 325 @Louisiana L 52-58 56%     0 - 2 -12.7 -10.6 -3.3
  Mon, Nov 10 131 @Georgia Tech L 60-70 17%     0 - 3 -5.2 -11.7 +7.3
  Sat, Nov 15 80 @Mississippi St. L 68-75 8%     0 - 4 +3.3 -3.3 +7.0
  Wed, Nov 26 109 @UNC Wilmington L 57-70 13%     0 - 5 -6.2 -7.3 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 28 357 Gardner-Webb W 76-68 80%     1 - 5 -6.2 -5.4 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 29 204 Navy W 69-65 40%     2 - 5 +1.2 +2.1 -0.5
  Sun, Dec 7 274 Northwestern St. L 68-76 64%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -16.9 -7.1 -10.3
  Sat, Dec 13 275 @Houston Christian W 74-71 OT 41%     3 - 6 1 - 1 +0.0 -2.1 +2.1
  Mon, Dec 15 303 East Texas A&M W 72-66 70%    
  Fri, Dec 19 35 @LSU L 61-82 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 189 @Incarnate Word L 66-73 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 140 Stephen F. Austin L 66-70 36%    
  Mon, Jan 5 224 Lamar W 64-63 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 71 @McNeese St. L 60-76 7%    
  Mon, Jan 12 245 New Orleans W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Jan 17 215 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-69 32%    
  Mon, Jan 19 208 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 67-72 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 258 Nicholls St. W 70-67 61%    
  Mon, Jan 26 71 McNeese St. L 63-73 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 63-73 19%    
  Mon, Feb 2 224 @Lamar L 61-66 34%    
  Sat, Feb 7 275 Houston Christian W 70-66 63%    
  Mon, Feb 9 189 Incarnate Word L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 274 @Northwestern St. L 68-70 41%    
  Mon, Feb 16 303 @East Texas A&M L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 208 UT Rio Grande Valley W 70-69 53%    
  Mon, Feb 23 215 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-66 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 258 @Nicholls St. L 67-70 40%    
  Mon, Mar 2 245 @New Orleans L 71-74 38%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 9 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.2 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.4 1.0 0.1 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.2 1.5 0.1 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.7 2.4 0.2 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.3 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.7 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.5 5.1 7.4 10.7 12.4 13.7 12.7 10.9 8.8 6.3 4.0 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 92.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-4 64.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-5 40.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 19.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 5.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-4 0.2% 20.0% 20.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.4% 20.0% 20.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-6 1.1% 13.9% 13.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-7 2.2% 9.6% 9.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0
14-8 4.0% 5.6% 5.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.8
13-9 6.3% 3.6% 3.6% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 6.1
12-10 8.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.1 0.1 8.6
11-11 10.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.8
10-12 12.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.6
9-13 13.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.7
8-14 12.4% 12.4
7-15 10.7% 10.7
6-16 7.4% 7.4
5-17 5.1% 5.1
4-18 2.5% 2.5
3-19 1.2% 1.2
2-20 0.3% 0.3
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 98.7 0.0%