SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -7.3 286
Results Rating -8.4 297
Consistency 0.12 43
Pace 64.9 276
Improvement +0.9 149

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 330 D- D C- C- D+
Defense C 197 D+ D+ B F+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 295 C- 56% 230 -2.9 288
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 87 D+ 35% 289 +0.7 133
Three Pointers 40% 193 F+ 29% 348 -3.4 297
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 295 D- -4.7 327
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 333
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 268 D 0.94 312 D 0.25 308
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 150
Other Turnovers D 8.4% 315
Turnovers C- 17.5% 244
Freethrows C+ 0.32 149 D- 68% 333 C- 0.21 208
Total Offense D -6.6 330

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 47% 217 D+ 12.3% 260
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 183 C 4.8% 174
Three Pointers D- 75% 336 C 0.9% 207
Total D+ 50% 299 C- 5.9% 218


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 218 D+ 61% 257 +0.5 198
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 116 C 39% 196 +0.7 243
Three Pointers 40% 199 D+ 36% 271 +0.9 236
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 120 D+ +2.3 277
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 252
Second Chance C- 31.5% 241 D 1.12 302 D+ 0.35 291
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.8% 82
Other Turnovers B 8.3% 57
Turnovers B 19.1% 52
Freethrows D- 0.37 346 D 75% 304 F+ 0.28 352
Total Defense C -0.7 197

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 254 C 10.9% 178
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 282 C+ 5.7% 112
Three Pointers C- 85% 235 D- -0.1% 362
Total C- 58% 250 C 5.3% 194

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 239 17.6 235
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 266 0.21 325
Consistency 0.09 5 0.13 252
Improvement +1.9 90 -1.0 243

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 286 286 286
Results Rating Rank 297 297 297
Conference Record 6 - 16 6 - 16 6 - 16
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 70 - 8
Quad 32 - 42 - 12
Quad 46 - 108 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 62 @Mississippi L 58 - 88 4% -12  32% 0 - 1 F+ -18 D- -7 D+ F D+ F -12 F+ D+ B-
 Fri, Nov 7 299 @Louisiana L 52 - 58 43% -9  0% 0 - 2 D -11 F -14 F D- C- C+ +1 F A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 138 @Georgia Tech L 60 - 70 14% -0  53% 0 - 3 D+ -6 F -17 D- F F A+ +12 A- F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 95 @Mississippi St. L 68 - 75 8% -5  21% 0 - 4 C +2 D- -7 F+ F+ C+ A +9 B C+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 113 @UNC Wilmington L 57 - 70 11% +1  59% 0 - 5 D+ -7 F+ -8 D- D- B+ C -0 C+ B C+
 Fri, Nov 28 361 Gardner-Webb W 76 - 68 84% -2  36% 1 - 5 D -10 F+ -9 F F C C -1 D F A+
 Sat, Nov 29 156 Navy W 69 - 65 23% +7  72% 2 - 5 C+ +4 C +1 A+ C F B +4 B+ C+ C
 Sun, Dec 7 279 Northwestern St. L 68 - 76 60% +3  70% 2 - 6 0 - 1 F+ -18 D- -7 F D+ C+ F -12 D- F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 290 @Houston Christian W 74 - 71 OT 39% +3  77% 3 - 6 1 - 1 C -2 D+ -3 D- D C- C+ +2 D+ D+ A
 Mon, Dec 15 302 East Texas A&M L 69 - 70 66% +1  44% 3 - 7 1 - 2 D- -13 D -4 D F A+ F+ -8 F B C+
 Fri, Dec 19 59 @LSU L 65 - 78 4% -12  1% 3 - 8 C -0 C+ +2 D A+ C+ D+ -5 F A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 267 @Incarnate Word L 70 - 79 33% -4  7% 3 - 9 1 - 3 D- -12 F -12 F F+ C- C +0 D+ F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 106 Stephen F. Austin L 63 - 73 21% -8  5% 3 - 10 1 - 4 D -9 D- -8 F+ C+ C- C -1 B- D A
 Mon, Jan 5 238 Lamar W 60 - 52 52% +9  90% 4 - 10 2 - 4 C +0 D- -6 C+ F A- A- +8 A+ F+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 80 @McNeese St. L 61 - 73 6% -7  13% 4 - 11 2 - 5 C -2 C- -1 D- A D- C- -2 D- A- B
 Mon, Jan 12 201 New Orleans L 76 - 79 42% -1  29% 4 - 12 2 - 6 D+ -8 D+ -2 F C+ B D -6 B- F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 177 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 56 - 68 19% -14  0% 4 - 13 2 - 7 D -10 F -16 D- D- F B+ +6 D+ D- A+
 Mon, Jan 19 134 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 65 - 68 13% -4  6% 4 - 14 2 - 8 C+ +2 D+ -3 C F B- B +5 C+ B- D
 Sat, Jan 24 241 Nicholls St. W 67 - 61 52% +2  46% 5 - 14 3 - 8 C- -2 F -12 F+ F F A +11 A+ B B+
 Tue, Jan 27 80 McNeese St. L 66 - 76 14% -8  8% 5 - 15 3 - 9 D+ -6 D+ -3 C- C D- D+ -3 F+ C+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 106 @Stephen F. Austin L 58 - 85 9% -21  0% 5 - 16 3 - 10 F -20 D+ -4 D- B F F -20 F F B
 Mon, Feb 2 238 @Lamar L 54 - 73 29% -8  1% 5 - 17 3 - 11 F -21 F -12 F C B+ F -12 D F F
 Sat, Feb 7 290 Houston Christian W 55 - 47 62% +6  97% 6 - 17 4 - 11 C- -3 F -12 D+ D F A +11 A+ A- A-
 Mon, Feb 9 267 Incarnate Word W 74 - 62 56% +12  90% 7 - 17 5 - 11 C+ +3 C+ +2 D B+ A B- +2 A- C B
 Sat, Feb 14 279 @Northwestern St. L 66 - 69 37% +2  70% 7 - 18 5 - 12 D+ -7 C- -2 D A+ F D -5 D- C D
 Mon, Feb 16 302 @East Texas A&M L 53 - 70 44% -12  7% 7 - 19 5 - 13 F -23 F -21 F F B C- -2 D- D- C
 Sat, Feb 21 134 UT Rio Grande Valley L 75 - 96 28% -16  0% 7 - 20 5 - 14 F -22 B +7 C+ C A+ F -31 F F+ D+
 Mon, Feb 23 177 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68 - 73 38% -6  2% 7 - 21 5 - 15 D -9 C- -1 B- C C- F+ -8 F+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 28 241 @Nicholls St. L 60 - 68 30% +2  49% 7 - 22 5 - 16 D -10 F -12 F+ F D C+ +1 B+ F+ D+
 Mon, Mar 2 201 @New Orleans W 82 - 78 22% +1  58% 8 - 22 6 - 16 C+ +5 C +1 C+ F A+ B- +3 F B C
Totals 8 - 22 6 - 16 -7 D -7 F D- D+ C -1 F+ D- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- D+ F+ D- 35% 46% 40% D+ D- D+ D D C- C+ D- C- C D+ C D+ D+ 37% 22% 40% C+ D+ C- D D+ B D- D F+
0.99 56% 35% 29% -5 -1 0.91 27% 0.9 .25 18% .32 68% .21 1.10 61% 39% 36% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.1 .35 19% .37 75% .24
Nov
3		 Mississippi D- B+ F F+ D 30% 12% 58% B+ D+ D+ F F D+ A+ F A F D- F C- F+ 29% 29% 42% D+ F+ F A+ D+ B- F F F
0.87 62% 0% 28% -9 +1 0.86 26% 0.6 .16 20% .47 60% .28 1.32 71% 57% 35% +10 -2 1.19 44% 0.8 .37 15% .53 83% .44
Nov
7		 Louisiana F D F F F 41% 8% 51% B- F C- F D- C- A+ F A+ C+ C- F D- F 22% 46% 32% A+ F A+ A+ A+ A- D+ A+ C+
0.89 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.76 31% 0.8 .26 19% .66 58% .38 1.00 56% 63% 38% +13 -4 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 21% .26 58% .15
Nov
10		 Georgia Tech F F C- D D 26% 31% 43% F+ D- D- F F F D+ A C+ A+ B B+ C- B+ 36% 31% 33% A- A- B- F F A+ F C- F
0.79 43% 35% 30% -7 -2 0.83 23% 0.4 .10 26% .27 80% .21 0.92 53% 31% 36% -3 -2 0.93 30% 1.6 .47 26% .46 73% .34
Nov
15		 Mississippi St. D- B- C F F+ 29% 33% 38% D+ F+ D+ F F+ C+ B- A+ A A F+ A- C B- 27% 31% 41% A B B C- C+ A+ F D+ F
0.92 59% 37% 18% -9 -2 0.79 23% 0.7 .16 14% .28 89% .25 1.02 71% 31% 33% +1 -2 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 22% .40 70% .28
Nov
26		 UNC Wilmington F+ A+ B F D- 21% 27% 52% D+ D- D F D- B+ D F F C F D- A+ C 26% 28% 47% B+ C+ B- B- B C+ F F F
0.91 91% 43% 15% -7 -2 0.85 21% 0.9 .18 11% .22 50% .11 1.12 82% 42% 20% -3 -2 0.93 31% 1.0 .31 16% .57 77% .44
Nov
28		 Gardner-Webb F+ A+ C F F 29% 22% 49% F+ F D F F C A+ B+ A+ C D+ A D+ D- 38% 20% 43% B D B- F F A+ F D F
1.06 79% 36% 21% -4 -1 0.92 31% 0.7 .22 15% .53 78% .41 0.95 60% 25% 35% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 29% .49 72% .36
Nov
29		 Navy C A C+ A+ A+ 26% 42% 33% F A+ D- A C F A- B+ A B D+ A+ A+ A- 43% 29% 29% C B+ A F C+ C F B+ F
1.07 73% 39% 57% +15 -4 1.26 25% 1.2 .29 26% .31 80% .25 1.00 61% 25% 25% -6 -1 0.88 24% 1.3 .29 19% .53 68% .36
Dec
7		 Northwestern St. D- A+ D- F F 35% 28% 37% F+ F D- B D+ C+ A+ D+ A+ F F B F F 36% 38% 26% A- D- F F F A+ F D F
1.03 80% 33% 13% -6 -1 0.88 26% 1.2 .32 17% .55 70% .38 1.15 64% 33% 40% +3 -2 1.03 41% 1.6 .67 23% .53 78% .41
Dec
13		 Houston Christian D+ D+ D C- D- 39% 24% 37% D- D- D+ D- D C- A+ C- A+ C+ C- A+ D+ C- 48% 12% 40% F D+ F+ B- D+ A D- C+ D
1.05 58% 33% 33% -2 0 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 19% .44 72% .31 1.01 58% 17% 35% -2 +2 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 23% .33 67% .22
Dec
15		 East Texas A&M D D- C- A D+ 39% 27% 33% F+ D F+ F F A+ D+ B+ C F+ A+ F F F 30% 26% 43% A F B+ B B C+ F F F
1.07 50% 36% 41% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 11% .30 76% .23 1.08 43% 50% 45% +6 -1 1.11 20% 0.8 .17 19% .32 82% .27
Dec
19		 LSU C+ C A F D 33% 22% 45% C D C+ A+ A+ C+ C- B+ C D+ F A F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F A+ A A+ D+ F A- F
1.06 56% 45% 23% -7 -1 0.88 30% 1.4 .42 15% .29 73% .21 1.27 79% 29% 45% +13 0 1.29 24% 1.0 .24 13% .50 70% .36
Dec
30		 Incarnate Word F D- F F F 50% 16% 34% B- F C+ F F+ C- D A C C B+ A+ F D+ 31% 22% 47% C D+ B+ F F+ C+ C D C-
0.96 54% 22% 21% -11 +1 0.82 34% 0.7 .24 17% .33 80% .26 1.09 47% 17% 46% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.5 .39 17% .26 75% .20
Jan
3		 Stephen F. Austin D- B- F F+ D 30% 34% 36% F F+ D- A+ C+ C- F A+ D+ C A D C- C+ 28% 32% 40% B+ B- F A- D A F F F
0.95 60% 29% 28% -6 -2 0.86 23% 1.5 .34 18% .20 91% .18 1.10 43% 44% 35% -2 -2 0.94 42% 0.9 .37 18% .35 79% .27
Jan
5		 Lamar D- D+ F A- C 49% 11% 41% A- C+ D- F F A- A+ F B+ A- A A+ A+ A+ 27% 34% 39% C+ A+ F C F+ B+ F F F
1.01 56% 25% 40% +1 +2 1.08 25% 0.5 .13 13% .60 52% .31 0.88 42% 20% 24% -17 -3 0.64 42% 0.9 .39 20% .44 86% .38
Jan
10		 McNeese St. C- F F D- F 49% 3% 49% A+ D- C+ A+ A D- A+ F A+ C- D A F+ D- 54% 14% 32% F D- F A+ A- B C+ C+ C+
0.97 47% 0% 29% -10 +3 0.89 37% 1.4 .50 27% .61 64% .39 1.16 63% 29% 38% +3 +2 1.12 41% 0.6 .25 16% .28 73% .21
Jan
12		 New Orleans D+ D F F F 27% 36% 38% F F B- C- C+ B A+ F+ A+ D D- A+ B B- 38% 27% 35% C+ B- D- F F A- F D- F
1.09 50% 31% 24% -11 -3 0.76 38% 1.0 .38 13% .64 67% .43 1.14 64% 20% 31% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.5 .60 23% .73 79% .58
Jan
17		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F D- F B F 57% 19% 23% B D- F+ C D- F F F F B+ A+ F F C 60% 12% 28% F D+ C F D- A+ F C F
0.80 52% 11% 36% -8 +2 0.89 21% 1.0 .21 27% .25 62% .16 0.97 38% 80% 42% -4 +3 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 26% .46 67% .31
Jan
19		 UT Rio Grande Valley D+ B+ F B- C 37% 22% 41% C- C F+ F F B- D+ D D B A- F B C+ 32% 18% 50% B- C+ C+ B+ B- D F A F
0.99 67% 18% 35% -1 0 1.00 24% 0.6 .14 15% .32 67% .22 1.03 50% 63% 32% 0 0 1.02 26% 0.9 .23 15% .45 68% .31
Jan
24		 Nicholls St. F C- B- F F+ 33% 27% 40% F F+ B+ F F F A+ D+ A+ A A+ F+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C A+ C+ A B B+ F F F
0.95 60% 42% 28% -2 -1 0.96 41% 0.5 .19 26% .55 76% .42 0.86 38% 43% 23% -15 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .20 20% .42 75% .32
Jan
27		 McNeese St. D+ B- F A- C 22% 22% 57% D- C- F A+ C D- A+ B A+ D+ F+ F A+ F+ 48% 23% 30% C F+ B+ D C+ A F C+ F
0.99 63% 13% 38% -1 -1 0.97 25% 1.4 .36 27% .74 78% .58 1.14 68% 56% 25% +5 0 1.13 29% 1.1 .32 18% .53 72% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Stephen F. Austin D+ F F B D 33% 33% 35% F D- C A- B F A B- A F F A+ F F 24% 22% 53% C F F+ F F B C+ B B-
0.96 46% 31% 36% -5 -2 0.88 30% 1.3 .37 21% .36 76% .27 1.40 73% 20% 58% +19 -1 1.38 38% 1.8 .67 15% .21 64% .14
Feb
2		 Lamar F F B F+ F 41% 22% 37% C F F A+ C B+ F F F F D C+ D+ D 29% 31% 39% C- D F+ F F F B A+ A
0.89 42% 40% 29% -9 0 0.85 21% 1.6 .32 15% .31 25% .08 1.20 60% 38% 35% +1 -2 1.00 39% 1.1 .45 10% .18 50% .09
Feb
7		 Houston Christian F B- A- D C- 34% 27% 39% F D+ B F D F F F F A B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 23% 31% C- A+ F A+ A- A- F F+ F
0.97 64% 45% 31% +2 -1 1.05 37% 0.8 .30 28% .17 57% .10 0.83 50% 11% 25% -14 0 0.74 37% 0.5 .17 21% .36 75% .27
Feb
9		 Incarnate Word C+ D- A C D+ 32% 26% 43% F+ D C+ A+ B+ A F+ F F B- C- A+ C+ A- 29% 33% 38% A A- D- A- C B D- F F
1.21 53% 50% 35% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.4 .45 11% .30 63% .18 1.01 57% 19% 33% -7 -2 0.83 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 94% .30
Feb
14		 Northwestern St. C- B A+ F C- 35% 38% 28% F D A+ B A+ F A- D- B- D F+ B- D- F 33% 35% 33% B+ D- C+ D C D F+ F F
1.06 64% 53% 18% +1 -2 1.00 46% 1.2 .57 26% .39 67% .26 1.10 63% 35% 38% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.2 .27 14% .37 85% .32
Feb
16		 East Texas A&M F F F F+ F 42% 13% 44% C F F D- F B C F D C- D+ F A- F+ 39% 22% 39% C+ D- B+ F D- C F A+ F+
0.78 27% 14% 30% -19 +1 0.67 20% 1.0 .20 15% .31 61% .19 1.03 61% 60% 28% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.5 .29 18% .41 52% .22
Feb
21		 UT Rio Grande Valley B B- A+ F C+ 46% 21% 33% B- C+ A- D- C A+ A+ D- A+ F F C- F F 26% 17% 57% B F A- F F+ D+ F F F
1.18 64% 50% 25% +1 +1 1.04 39% 0.7 .27 9% .61 66% .40 1.50 83% 38% 56% +25 0 1.51 21% 1.8 .37 16% .35 95% .33
Feb
23		 TX A&M Corpus Christi C- A+ A+ F B+ 27% 34% 39% F B- B- D C C- A+ D- A- F+ B F F F 54% 32% 15% B- F+ F F F A+ F F F
1.05 82% 50% 25% +5 -3 1.07 31% 0.9 .28 20% .52 67% .35 1.13 50% 54% 50% +4 0 1.10 38% 1.5 .58 25% .41 75% .31
Feb
28		 Nicholls St. F D- C+ D- F 47% 11% 43% B F+ F D+ F D F A+ F C+ B+ F A+ A 51% 8% 41% F B+ F C F+ D+ F A+ D+
0.92 55% 40% 30% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.0 .25 23% .18 89% .16 1.04 50% 50% 24% -9 +3 0.88 34% 1.0 .34 15% .36 55% .20
Mar
2		 New Orleans C C F A C+ 40% 19% 40% C C+ F C- F A+ C+ D- C B- F+ F C F 42% 34% 24% B F C+ B B C C- A+ B-
1.10 57% 27% 39% 0 0 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 9% .37 68% .25 1.05 67% 47% 33% +6 -1 1.12 33% 0.9 .30 19% .38 65% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16 100.0% 100.0
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%