SMU
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +13.1 42
Results Rating +11.6 49
Consistency 0.15 159
Pace 71.4 102
Improvement -4.0 315

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 26 A B B C- C-
Defense B- 81 B- B- B- B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 185 B+ 66% 36 +2.8 82
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 123 A 47% 14 +3.6 34
Three Pointers 37% 257 A 40% 6 +1.9 119
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 250 A +8.6 4
1st FG Attempt A 1.18 14
Second Chance A- 37.6% 20 C 1.03 177 B 0.39 43
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 98
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 61
Turnovers B 14.7% 68
Freethrows D+ 0.28 253 C+ 74% 139 C- 0.21 228
Total Offense A- +9.7 26

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 60% 31 A- 7.2% 21
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 61 C 4.8% 176
Three Pointers C- 82% 227 B- 0.6% 104
Total B- 61% 68 B+ 4.2% 37


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 338 B- 55% 95 -5.2 40
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 84 B+ 34% 36 +0.1 199
Three Pointers 45% 57 C 34% 171 +2.0 288
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.9 49 B- -2.1 95
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 72
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 130 B- 0.96 66 B- 0.28 87
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 101
Other Turnovers C+ 7.7% 111
Turnovers B- 18.2% 80
Freethrows B 0.26 61 C+ 71% 111 B 0.19 57
Total Defense B- +3.5 81

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 54% 296 B 14.4% 56
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 41% 350 B- 7.0% 61
Three Pointers C- 85% 241 C 0.8% 174
Total D- 63% 335 C+ 6.5% 104

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.4 27 18.8 348
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 61 0.14 81
Consistency 0.12 117 0.12 176
Improvement -2.0 289 -2.0 286

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status On The Bubble
Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 42 42 41
Results Rating Rank 51 49 48
Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 10
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 48% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 48% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four21% n/a n/a
First Round39% n/a n/a
Second Round15% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 34 - 9
Quad 25 - 49 - 13
Quad 35 - 014 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 229 Tarleton St. W 96 - 76 96% +7  94% 1 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +16 A F+ A+ D+ -3 B B- B-
 Thu, Nov 6 177 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69 - 58 94% +2  63% 2 - 0 B- +7 D -5 F F A+ A+ +12 A+ A D
 Tue, Nov 11 127 Murray St. W 102 - 91 90% +9  97% 3 - 0 B +10 B+ +9 C+ B+ B+ C -0 D+ D+ B+
 Sat, Nov 15 83 Butler W 87 - 85 80% -0  41% 4 - 0 B- +6 B +7 A+ B F C -1 F B A+
 Tue, Nov 18 321 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 106 - 60 98% +24  99% 5 - 0 A+ +33 B+ +9 A+ F+ C+ A+ +18 A A+ B+
 Fri, Nov 21 145 Arkansas St. W 100 - 69 92% +15  89% 6 - 0 A+ +29 A- +10 A+ F A A+ +14 A- F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 252 Radford W 89 - 72 97% +11  100% 7 - 0 B +9 C -0 D+ A D- A- +7 A+ D+ D-
 Fri, Nov 28 95 @Mississippi St. W 87 - 81 OT 67% -1  33% 8 - 0 B+ +15 B- +5 C- A+ C A +9 A+ A- F
 Wed, Dec 3 12 @Vanderbilt L 69 - 88 21% -9  4% 8 - 1 C+ +3 B- +4 C- A+ C C- -2 D A- F
 Sun, Dec 7 35 Texas A&M W 93 - 80 OT 47% +5  73% 9 - 1 A+ +27 B +7 C+ A+ A+ A+ +17 A+ B+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 59 LSU L 77 - 89 63% -7  8% 9 - 2 C- -2 A- +11 A B+ C F -14 F F A-
 Sun, Dec 21 171 Central Arkansas W 99 - 82 93% +11  98% 10 - 2 B+ +14 A+ +21 A A+ B D- -7 D- F A
 Sun, Dec 28 180 Cal St. Fullerton W 110 - 63 94% +25  99% 11 - 2 A+ +43 A+ +24 A+ A A A+ +15 A+ C A+
 Sat, Jan 3 28 North Carolina W 97 - 83 53% +5  83% 12 - 2 1 - 0 A+ +26 A+ +27 A+ C+ A C -1 D- A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 40 @Clemson L 70 - 74 37% -7  0% 12 - 3 1 - 1 B+ +13 B+ +9 D+ A+ C- B- +3 B+ C- C
 Sat, Jan 10 2 @Duke L 75 - 82 7% -4  21% 12 - 4 1 - 2 A +22 A+ +15 A+ B+ F A- +7 C A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 56 Virginia Tech W 77 - 76 72% -0  43% 13 - 4 2 - 2 B- +8 B- +5 B C- B B- +3 B- B C-
 Sat, Jan 17 17 Virginia L 68 - 72 42% -1  41% 13 - 5 2 - 3 B +11 B+ +9 B- A+ A- C+ +2 A+ F B+
 Tue, Jan 20 64 @Wake Forest W 91 - 79 54% +8  89% 14 - 5 3 - 3 A+ +24 A +13 A+ B+ C+ A +10 B A C
 Sat, Jan 24 62 Florida St. W 83 - 80 74% +4  72% 15 - 5 4 - 3 B +9 A- +11 B+ C+ A+ C- -2 B C D
 Sat, Jan 31 19 @Louisville L 74 - 88 22% +1  56% 15 - 6 4 - 4 B- +7 C+ +3 A B- F+ B +5 C A C-
 Tue, Feb 3 34 North Carolina St. L 83 - 84 59% +1  55% 15 - 7 4 - 5 B +10 B+ +9 A+ F+ A+ C+ +1 C+ B+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 91 @Pittsburgh W 86 - 67 65% +7  66% 16 - 7 5 - 5 A+ +28 A+ +20 A+ B- A- A +10 A+ B- B-
 Tue, Feb 10 90 Notre Dame W 89 - 81 83% +5  83% 17 - 7 6 - 5 B +11 A+ +15 A+ A+ F D+ -4 F B+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 82 @Syracuse L 78 - 79 61% +5  92% 17 - 8 6 - 6 B +9 A +13 F A+ A+ D+ -4 D+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 17 19 Louisville W 95 - 85 42% +2  67% 18 - 8 7 - 6 A+ +25 A+ +18 A+ F A B+ +7 A+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 131 Boston College W 94 - 70 90% +8  76% 19 - 8 8 - 6 A +23 A+ +28 A+ C A+ D+ -4 A- D D+
 Wed, Feb 25 74 @California L 69 - 73 58% -3  13% 19 - 9 8 - 7 B- +7 C +0 C+ A+ D- A- +7 A- A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 60 @Stanford L 75 - 95 52% -10  1% 19 - 10 8 - 8 D+ -7 A +12 A D+ A F -21 F C F+
 Wed, Mar 4 31 Miami (FL) L 69 - 77 56% -7  0% 19 - 11 8 - 9 C+ +3 C- -1 C B- C- B +5 C+ C+ A+
 Sat, Mar 7 62 @Florida St. L 78 - 91 53% -11  0% 19 - 12 8 - 10 C -1 C+ +3 A- C C+ C- -3 F F C+
 Tue, Mar 10 82 Syracuse W 86 - 69 72% +6  79% 20 - 12 A+ +24 A+ +19 B+ A+ A+ B+ +7 B B+ B-
 Wed, Mar 11 19 Louisville L 58 - 62 31% +0  49% 20 - 13 B+ +14 C- -2 A C F A+ +15 A+ A+ C+
Totals 20 - 13 8 - 10 +13 A- +10 C+ A C- B- +3 A C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B+ A A A 38% 42% 37% C- A A- C B B D+ C+ C- B- B- B+ C B- 31% 24% 45% B B- C+ B- B- B- B C+ B
1.22 66% 47% 40% +9 0 1.18 38% 1.0 .39 15% .28 74% .21 1.04 55% 34% 34% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.0 .28 18% .26 71% .20
Nov
3		 Tarleton St. A+ A+ A+ A A+ 30% 33% 37% F A D F F+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ F A+ D- C+ 22% 43% 35% A+ B C+ B- B- B- F F F
1.32 79% 53% 41% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.9 .25 15% .68 79% .53 1.04 80% 15% 38% -3 -4 0.87 30% 0.9 .27 21% .61 83% .50
Nov
6		 TX A&M Corpus Christi D D F F+ F+ 40% 30% 30% D- F C+ F F A+ A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ 29% 23% 48% A- A+ C- A+ A D C+ C C+
1.00 53% 29% 29% -7 -1 0.85 31% 0.5 .17 13% .47 82% .38 0.84 47% 8% 32% -12 -1 0.77 31% 0.6 .19 16% .31 67% .21
Nov
11		 Murray St. B+ D B- A+ B- 40% 35% 25% F+ C+ A C- B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C B+ F C+ D+ 39% 17% 44% C- D+ A F D+ B+ D+ C D+
1.25 50% 43% 47% +3 -2 1.05 43% 1.0 .43 14% .43 83% .36 1.12 52% 78% 33% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.6 .39 18% .36 75% .27
Nov
15		 Butler B A- A+ C A 63% 15% 22% A+ A+ A+ F+ B F B B- B C D- A+ F F 35% 17% 48% B+ F F A+ B A+ D+ A+ B-
1.17 68% 50% 33% +8 +3 1.22 42% 0.8 .32 21% .26 73% .19 1.14 67% 22% 48% +10 0 1.23 43% 0.8 .32 23% .40 61% .24
Nov
18		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 36% 19% 46% D+ A+ D- D- F+ C+ C+ C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A 39% 23% 39% D+ A C- A+ A+ B+ B- A+ A
1.32 76% 45% 44% +15 0 1.32 30% 1.0 .30 15% .38 77% .29 0.75 73% 15% 18% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.2 .04 21% .28 56% .16
Nov
21		 Arkansas St. A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 41% 27% 32% C- A+ B- F F A F F F A+ D- F A+ A- 31% 20% 49% B+ A- F C+ F A+ C B C+
1.25 81% 56% 38% +16 -1 1.33 31% 0.2 .05 10% .22 63% .14 0.86 67% 50% 17% -8 -1 0.86 54% 1.0 .54 40% .33 69% .23
Nov
24		 Radford C C+ F C D+ 37% 16% 47% C- D+ B- A+ A D- A+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 15% 56% C+ A+ A F D+ D- A F B
1.14 61% 25% 35% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.4 .49 21% .52 78% .40 0.92 41% 22% 24% -15 0 0.71 21% 1.5 .32 14% .27 83% .22
Nov
28		 Mississippi St. B- C- A F C+ 21% 40% 39% F C- B A+ A+ C A F B A B+ C A+ A+ 29% 29% 43% B+ A+ A+ F+ A- F D- F F
1.09 54% 48% 25% -2 -4 0.90 31% 1.6 .49 14% .33 65% .22 1.01 56% 39% 26% -6 -2 0.87 20% 1.2 .24 9% .34 76% .26
Dec
3		 Vanderbilt B- A+ D+ F C 33% 41% 25% F C- A+ A+ A+ C A C A C- F F A+ D 45% 17% 38% D+ D A+ F A- F A+ D A+
1.02 71% 33% 15% -5 -3 0.86 40% 1.2 .48 19% .42 74% .31 1.30 81% 60% 27% +10 +1 1.24 21% 1.3 .29 7% .19 83% .16
Dec
7		 Texas A&M B B+ B+ F B- 34% 31% 34% D C+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D C+ A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A F A+ F
1.10 65% 44% 25% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.9 .44 13% .38 93% .35 0.94 67% 40% 27% -3 0 0.95 36% 0.7 .24 19% .49 65% .32
Dec
13		 LSU A- B- A A+ A+ 41% 27% 33% C A A+ D B+ C C+ F D+ F C F F F 42% 28% 30% B+ F F F F A- A+ F+ A+
1.20 60% 46% 44% +8 -1 1.16 43% 0.8 .35 16% .31 59% .18 1.38 62% 57% 47% +13 -1 1.26 43% 1.9 .83 19% .23 83% .19
Dec
21		 Central Arkansas A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 36% 12% 53% C+ A A+ A- A+ B F A F D- A- C- F F 31% 27% 42% A D- F D- F A D C D
1.41 86% 71% 32% +12 +1 1.29 55% 1.3 .72 17% .17 80% .14 1.16 50% 36% 50% +7 -1 1.13 34% 1.2 .40 21% .31 71% .22
Dec
28		 Cal St. Fullerton A+ A+ F A+ A+ 31% 26% 43% D- A+ A+ F+ A A C- C C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 25% 27% 47% A A+ F A+ C A+ F+ B D
1.44 84% 31% 54% +19 -1 1.38 50% 0.9 .43 14% .29 74% .21 0.83 31% 50% 25% -10 -2 0.78 36% 0.7 .24 25% .38 68% .26
Jan
3		 North Carolina A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% A- A+ C- A- C+ A B+ C- B+ C D+ C F F+ 29% 20% 51% B+ D- A- A+ A+ B- B- C B-
1.40 79% 56% 52% +23 0 1.49 22% 1.0 .22 10% .26 69% .18 1.20 67% 40% 46% +12 -1 1.25 28% 0.7 .19 14% .32 68% .22
Jan
7		 Clemson B+ D+ F D+ D+ 34% 27% 39% C- D+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ B- D A+ A A 38% 2% 60% F B+ C- C C- C F+ B- D-
1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 -1 0.85 35% 1.3 .44 20% .55 90% .49 1.13 67% 0% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .42 71% .30
Jan
10		 Duke A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 40% 29% F+ A+ A+ C- B+ F C- A+ B- A- C- A+ F D+ 32% 14% 55% A C A+ A+ A+ A- F D- F
1.08 60% 58% 50% +15 -3 1.27 35% 0.8 .26 30% .19 89% .16 1.18 64% 17% 46% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 19% .48 78% .37
Jan
14		 Virginia Tech B- C+ A+ F B+ 41% 35% 24% D- B C+ D C- B A+ D A+ B- D D+ B B- 36% 20% 44% C B- B- B B C- C+ A+ B+
1.11 60% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 16% .39 70% .27 1.10 67% 40% 32% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 14% .30 61% .19
Jan
17		 Virginia B+ F A A+ B+ 40% 40% 19% D B- A- A+ A+ A- C- B C C+ A A+ D+ A 29% 22% 49% A+ A+ D- F F B+ A- F B
1.09 38% 48% 40% -2 -2 0.92 33% 1.2 .39 13% .26 79% .20 1.16 46% 30% 36% -3 -1 0.93 44% 1.4 .61 18% .23 83% .20
Jan
20		 Wake Forest A D+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 25% 47% D- A+ B+ B B+ C+ C C- C- A B B- C B+ 38% 17% 45% C B A+ C+ A C B B+ B+
1.20 53% 57% 46% +12 -1 1.24 35% 1.1 .39 19% .29 72% .21 1.05 55% 40% 35% -1 0 1.02 22% 1.1 .24 15% .28 72% .20
Jan
24		 Florida St. A- B- A+ C+ B+ 34% 17% 49% B- B+ B- C- C+ A+ A+ B A+ C- F+ A+ C+ B- 30% 21% 48% A B F A+ C D A- A- A-
1.22 61% 56% 35% +4 0 1.11 34% 0.8 .29 10% .38 74% .28 1.18 71% 25% 33% +1 -1 1.02 42% 0.9 .37 12% .25 67% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Louisville C+ A+ A C+ A+ 22% 33% 44% D- A C+ B B- F+ F D- F B F A+ B C- 35% 11% 54% B C A B+ A C- D- A C-
0.99 75% 44% 33% +5 -3 1.07 26% 1.1 .29 21% .15 67% .10 1.18 90% 33% 32% +9 +1 1.23 26% 0.9 .24 15% .36 70% .25
Feb
3		 North Carolina St. B+ D+ D+ A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% B A+ B F F+ A+ F F F C+ A B- F C 29% 11% 60% C+ C+ A F+ B+ D C+ A+ A
1.18 54% 33% 57% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.5 .16 14% .20 58% .12 1.20 50% 33% 42% +5 +1 1.13 23% 1.4 .31 10% .32 60% .19
Feb
7		 Pittsburgh A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 38% 27% 35% D A+ B- B B- A- B C B A C+ A A+ A+ 28% 20% 52% B+ A+ C- A- B- B- F+ F F
1.30 83% 46% 47% +19 -1 1.38 29% 1.0 .29 14% .30 76% .23 1.01 57% 30% 23% -10 -1 0.80 37% 0.9 .32 18% .35 79% .28
Feb
10		 Notre Dame A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 16% 47% B A+ A+ A A+ F C C C D+ F B F F 37% 17% 46% D F A+ F B+ B- A A+ A+
1.29 56% 50% 48% +11 0 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 20% .29 75% .22 1.17 74% 33% 46% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.1 .26 17% .25 57% .14
Feb
14		 Syracuse A F C+ F F+ 37% 31% 31% D- F A A+ A+ A+ C B C+ D+ A F F D 31% 21% 48% B+ D+ C+ A+ A+ D- C+ F D+
1.19 40% 35% 24% -13 -1 0.74 40% 1.7 .68 9% .29 76% .22 1.21 50% 55% 44% +8 -1 1.17 31% 0.5 .17 12% .31 78% .24
Feb
17		 Louisville A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 33% 37% 30% D A+ D- F F A F A+ D- B+ A+ B+ C+ A+ 35% 14% 51% B+ A+ C- F F A+ A- D+ B+
1.24 65% 68% 50% +21 -2 1.38 17% 0.4 .07 13% .18 83% .15 1.11 45% 38% 34% -4 +1 0.95 36% 1.6 .56 22% .25 80% .20
Feb
21		 Boston College A+ A+ A- A A+ 42% 18% 40% B A+ A+ F C A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ B+ A+ D+ A- 23% 27% 50% B+ A- F A- D D+ F+ C D
1.43 90% 44% 40% +18 +1 1.40 41% 0.6 .24 6% .41 72% .29 1.07 50% 14% 35% -8 -2 0.83 43% 0.9 .37 14% .35 65% .23
Feb
25		 California C D F A+ B 30% 26% 43% D- C+ A- A A+ D- A+ F C A- B F+ B+ B+ 23% 26% 51% A- A- B+ A+ A+ D- A D+ A
0.99 50% 25% 40% -2 -1 0.96 35% 1.2 .43 20% .47 42% .20 1.05 54% 47% 31% -1 -2 0.96 23% 0.7 .15 11% .24 80% .19
Feb
28		 Stanford A B+ C A A 46% 23% 31% B- A B+ F D+ A B- D- C F C A+ F F 38% 11% 51% B- F C C C F+ F F F
1.17 64% 36% 40% +5 0 1.13 33% 0.7 .24 14% .36 70% .25 1.48 59% 20% 57% +16 +1 1.36 35% 1.0 .35 11% .56 91% .51
Mar
4		 Miami (FL) C- D- B- C- C- 39% 20% 41% B C A F B- C- D- A+ C- B A+ B+ F B- 54% 18% 28% D+ C+ B- C- C+ A+ C B C+
0.99 50% 40% 33% -3 0 0.96 34% 0.8 .29 20% .20 82% .16 1.11 41% 33% 64% +2 +1 1.10 36% 1.2 .42 23% .34 67% .22
Mar
7		 Florida St. C+ B+ D A+ A+ 21% 29% 50% F+ A- A- F C C+ C+ F D+ C- C+ A+ F F 31% 7% 61% C F A+ F F C+ F+ A+ C-
1.06 64% 33% 46% +9 -2 1.15 39% 0.7 .26 19% .28 59% .17 1.23 59% 25% 45% +10 +1 1.24 21% 2.3 .50 15% .38 63% .24
Mar
10		 Syracuse A+ D A+ C- A- 32% 18% 50% C B+ A+ A A+ A+ F A+ F B+ F D- A B- 20% 24% 56% A+ B B A- B+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.30 50% 60% 32% 0 0 1.02 48% 1.4 .65 11% .14 88% .12 1.04 82% 46% 29% +2 -2 1.04 29% 0.9 .26 17% .13 57% .07
Mar
11		 Louisville C- B- B- B+ A- 36% 17% 47% A- A A F C F F F F A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 24% 42% A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C+ F A D
0.94 59% 38% 36% +2 0 1.06 33% 0.7 .24 23% .06 33% .02 1.01 73% 27% 26% -2 -1 0.96 30% 0.7 .21 16% .39 70% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 47.7% 47.7% 10.5 0.0 0.3 2.8 17.6 26.9 0.2 52.3 47.7%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 47.7% 0.0% 47.7% 10.5 52.3 47.7%