Lamar
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#224
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#228
Pace64.3#312
Improvement-1.1#258

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#320
First Shot-6.8#348
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#98
Layup/Dunks-7.4#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#265
Freethrows-4.6#358
Improvement-1.2#274

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#107
First Shot+3.0#79
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#266
Layups/Dunks+2.2#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#137
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement+0.0#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.4 14.7
.500 or above 43.3% 53.1% 29.2%
.500 or above in Conference 45.5% 55.6% 30.9%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 6.1% 16.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.9% 3.8% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 59.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 45 @TCU L 65-78 6%     0 - 1 +1.0 +6.9 -7.0
  Mon, Nov 17 358 @Louisiana Monroe W 79-66 77%     1 - 1 +1.7 -1.6 +3.0
  Sun, Nov 23 205 @Montana W 68-63 36%     2 - 1 +5.1 -8.7 +13.6
  Mon, Nov 24 149 Oakland L 68-83 34%     2 - 2 -14.3 -9.4 -4.7
  Wed, Dec 3 325 Louisiana W 65-55 80%     3 - 2 -2.7 -1.7 +0.4
  Sat, Dec 6 215 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 49-57 60%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -14.3 -15.9 +0.3
  Wed, Dec 10 52 @San Diego St. L 71-89 7%     3 - 4 -4.6 -1.5 -1.7
  Tue, Dec 16 208 UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-66 59%    
  Sat, Dec 20 235 Nebraska Omaha W 70-67 63%    
  Mon, Dec 29 274 @Northwestern St. L 66-67 47%    
  Wed, Dec 31 303 @East Texas A&M W 67-66 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 71 @McNeese St. L 58-73 9%    
  Mon, Jan 5 256 @SE Louisiana L 63-64 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 189 Incarnate Word W 67-66 54%    
  Mon, Jan 12 275 Houston Christian W 68-63 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 258 @Nicholls St. L 66-67 45%    
  Mon, Jan 19 245 @New Orleans L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 140 Stephen F. Austin L 65-67 43%    
  Mon, Jan 26 303 East Texas A&M W 70-63 74%    
  Sat, Jan 31 71 McNeese St. L 61-70 22%    
  Mon, Feb 2 256 SE Louisiana W 66-61 66%    
  Sat, Feb 7 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 62-70 24%    
  Mon, Feb 9 274 Northwestern St. W 69-64 68%    
  Sat, Feb 14 215 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-66 38%    
  Mon, Feb 16 208 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 65-69 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 245 New Orleans W 72-68 65%    
  Mon, Feb 23 258 Nicholls St. W 69-64 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 189 @Incarnate Word L 64-69 33%    
  Mon, Mar 2 275 @Houston Christian L 65-66 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 9.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.8 3.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.3 4.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.6 1.4 0.2 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.9 1.7 0.1 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.8 2.2 0.2 9.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 4.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.5 6.0 8.0 9.8 11.9 12.0 12.1 10.4 8.5 6.2 4.0 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
19-3 90.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-4 61.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-5 32.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
16-6 14.2% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.1% 38.1% 38.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.5% 33.1% 33.1% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-5 1.3% 24.4% 24.4% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-6 2.3% 17.5% 17.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
15-7 4.0% 11.6% 11.6% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.6
14-8 6.2% 8.6% 8.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 5.7
13-9 8.5% 4.5% 4.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.1
12-10 10.4% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.1
11-11 12.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.9
10-12 12.0% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 11.9
9-13 11.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.8
8-14 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
7-15 8.0% 8.0
6-16 6.0% 6.0
5-17 3.5% 3.5
4-18 2.1% 2.1
3-19 0.9% 0.9
2-20 0.4% 0.4
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.4 97.0 0.0%