Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#258
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#309
Pace69.9#171
Improvement+2.0#64

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#283
First Shot-2.3#239
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#302
Layup/Dunks-2.8#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#89
Freethrows-0.1#190
Improvement+2.4#33

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#208
First Shot-1.9#239
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#138
Layups/Dunks+0.0#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#260
Freethrows-1.3#261
Improvement-0.4#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.0% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 6.5% 9.0% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 49.7% 26.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 6.9% 18.8%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round1.3% 1.7% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Home) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 710 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 21 @Kentucky L 51-77 2%     0 - 1 -7.4 -12.3 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 7 333 @Eastern Illinois L 57-65 59%     0 - 2 -15.6 -17.1 +1.5
  Wed, Nov 12 212 @Valparaiso L 63-68 31%     0 - 3 -5.2 -1.1 -4.7
  Sat, Nov 15 100 @Murray St. L 79-99 11%     0 - 4 -12.1 +1.7 -12.3
  Sat, Nov 22 53 @Oklahoma St. L 81-95 5%     0 - 5 -0.7 +2.0 -0.7
  Fri, Nov 28 207 @Tulane L 72-82 30%     0 - 6 -10.0 -2.2 -8.0
  Tue, Dec 2 59 @Creighton L 76-96 6%     0 - 7 -7.7 +9.9 -18.1
  Sat, Dec 6 189 Incarnate Word W 74-67 48%     1 - 7 1 - 0 +2.2 +1.3 +1.4
  Wed, Dec 17 275 Houston Christian W 72-68 63%    
  Sun, Dec 21 129 @Pacific L 65-75 16%    
  Mon, Dec 29 215 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-72 31%    
  Wed, Dec 31 208 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-75 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 303 East Texas A&M W 75-69 70%    
  Mon, Jan 5 274 Northwestern St. W 73-69 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 245 @New Orleans L 74-78 37%    
  Mon, Jan 12 71 @McNeese St. L 62-78 7%    
  Sat, Jan 17 224 Lamar W 67-66 55%    
  Mon, Jan 19 140 Stephen F. Austin L 69-73 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 256 @SE Louisiana L 67-70 39%    
  Mon, Jan 26 245 New Orleans W 77-75 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 303 @East Texas A&M L 71-72 48%    
  Mon, Feb 2 274 @Northwestern St. L 70-72 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 215 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 70-69 53%    
  Mon, Feb 9 208 UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 189 @Incarnate Word L 68-75 27%    
  Mon, Feb 16 275 @Houston Christian L 69-71 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 19%    
  Mon, Feb 23 224 @Lamar L 64-69 34%    
  Sat, Feb 28 256 SE Louisiana W 70-67 60%    
  Mon, Mar 2 71 McNeese St. L 65-75 18%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.5 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 3.9 1.3 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.2 1.7 0.1 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 6.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.1 6.4 8.9 11.1 12.5 12.6 11.7 9.7 7.5 5.2 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 81.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-4 59.3% 0.2    0.2 0.1
17-5 31.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 15.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 3.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 19.0% 19.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-4 0.4% 14.6% 14.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
17-5 0.9% 15.3% 15.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-6 1.8% 13.1% 13.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.5
15-7 3.4% 8.3% 8.3% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.1
14-8 5.2% 4.3% 4.3% 15.6 0.1 0.1 5.0
13-9 7.5% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.3
12-10 9.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.6
11-11 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.6
10-12 12.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.6
9-13 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
8-14 11.1% 11.1
7-15 8.9% 8.9
6-16 6.4% 6.4
5-17 4.1% 4.1
4-18 2.2% 2.2
3-19 0.9% 0.9
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 98.5 0.0%